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Old 05-06-2017, 09:29 PM
Location: Interior Alaska
1,863 posts, read 1,548,610 times
Reputation: 1344


Is this relatively precise prediction, backed up by science?
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Old 05-07-2017, 01:25 PM
Location: Naptowne, Alaska
15,594 posts, read 33,900,972 times
Reputation: 14613
Not prediction, it's forecasting, and much more precise than any so called scientist has done. Dutch has been bashed by every agency in the nation, but no one else has done or is doing it. Do like I did...watch the nightly updates and forecasts and track them for yourself. It's pretty amazing how accurate Dutch is.

Earthquakes follow lines of progression along plate boundaries starting around Fiji. They then progress to the north toward Japan, Russia, Alaska then down toward the west coast, and to the west toward Indonesia, up and over into Europe. They also progress to the east across the Pacific and hit South America. Long story short, earthquakes start in the western pacific, and terminate along the atlantic ridge. Volcanic action around the globe factors in to earthquakes too. Not only do they relieve pressure, but they equate to about a magnitude 5 earthquake, and can be used to calculate magnitudes of quakes yet to strike in silent zones (areas between previous quakes that have yet to be struck).

The USGS is hoping to give warnings mere seconds to minutes before an earthquake. Dutch is doing it 24 to 48 hours in advance, and doing it with about an 85% accuracy. And he isn't shy about admitting when he is a few miles or magnitudes off. After tracking quakes globally for 7 years, he found there is a pattern to progression, and has a decent track record for forecasting.

And as the earth encounters solar storms, it's crazy how there is a very noticeable increase in earthquakes around the globe.

I could go on for an hour here...but if you have the time...watch some updates for yourself and see what you think.

Last edited by Rance; 05-07-2017 at 01:35 PM..
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Old 05-08-2017, 11:25 AM
Location: Naptowne, Alaska
15,594 posts, read 33,900,972 times
Reputation: 14613
A couple high 5's and a 6.4 at Tanaga, out on the chain already this morning. Could be some action headed this way! Had a nice 5.2 not far from me 2 nights ago, centered off shore from Coho on the Kenai Peninsula. Shook my office trailer pretty good!

No tsunami: http://www.tsunami.gov/

Don't be scared...be prepared!

Last edited by Rance; 05-08-2017 at 12:10 PM..
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