Is Redoubt fixin' to blow? (Kenai, Hope: houses, beach, car)

[Nephler]

Weekly Update:
Unrest at Redoubt Volcano continues, though no eruption has yet occurred. Seismic activity at the volcano remains above background levels and has waxed and waned over the last week. Yesterday from 11:18 to about 16:00 AKST, there were several periods of more intense seismic tremor. Since then, nearly continuous low-level seismic tremor has been recorded.

Clear web camera images currently show no activity at the volcano. Observers on overflights during the past week reported intermittent steam plumes from the area of the 1989-90 lava dome, continued melting of the upper Drift glacier, and increased water discharge along the lower Drift glacier and into the Drift River. Airborne gas measurements on January 31 and February 2 recorded levels of the magmatic gas CO2 several times greater than the value recorded on November 2, 2008.

Gas and heat flux, combined with ongoing seismic activity, suggest that new magma has been emplaced within the crust below Redoubt and that it is actively degassing. We do not know the exact depths or volume of the magma; nor is it certain that the magma will continue to rise to the surface. On the basis of current activity, however, the most likely scenario is an eruption similar to or smaller than the 1989-90 eruption. It is somewhat less likely that no eruption will occur or that the volcano has an eruption larger than that of 1989-90.

[aurorawatcher]

2009-02-09 17:20:29

Unrest at Redoubt Volcano continues, though no eruption has yet occurred. Volcanic tremor and small distinct earthquakes are ongoing. Clear webcam images today showed a steam plume rising up to several hundred feet above the crater throughout the day.

AVO staff members continue to monitor the volcano 24 hours a day

[HighlandLady]

When I glanced at it earlier, via webcam, there was a nice plume and lenticular clouds forming about the summit.

[Rance]

If redoubt was a movie...I'd want my money back!

I can't complain...as long as it maintains it's current status I'll get out of Anchorage Thursday.

[Nephler]

She'll blow just as everyone stops paying attention to what is going on with her.

[aurorawatcher]

2009-02-10 05:51:51

Redoubt Volcano continues to be in an elevated state of unrest. The seismic activity is dominantly volcanic tremor with occasional small earthquakes.


Rance you don't want it to go now.

[aurorawatcher]

2009-02-10 18:13:47

Unrest at Redoubt Volcano continues. No eruption has occurred. Volcanic tremor with variable amplitude is ongoing. AVO staff were in the field today making visual observations and improving the monitoring network.

AVO staff members continue to monitor the volcano 24 hours a day

[Candle]

this could go on for years and we'd never see an eruption.

I sure hope it doesn't blow until September.

[Nephler]

2009-02-13 10:12:10 - Information Statement
On the basis of current activity, the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) continues to expect that the most likely outcome of current Redoubt activity is an eruption, similar or smaller in scale to the 1989-1990 eruption. It is not currently possible to determine exactly when such an eruption might occur. Based on observations of past eruptions of Redoubt, ongoing analysis of the current activity, and studies of similar volcanoes worldwide, the current period of elevated unrest could persist for some time, possibly many months. However, as long as substantial volcanic-gas emission, prolonged periods of tremor, and intermittent discrete, shallow earthquakes occur, notable escalation of activity immediately prior to an eruption might only be on the order of hours or less.

[Dusty Rhodes]

Originally Posted by Candle

this could go on for years and we'd never see an eruption.

I sure hope it doesn't blow until September.

Yeah, that's the trouble with events that occur in Geological time frames, sometimes the human life span isn't great enought to witness what will, in time, occur. The proposition, "yup, it's gonna shed some energy" is a given, it's the time frame that is, figuratively speaking of course,... "up in the air"