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Old 02-08-2015, 05:58 PM
 
Location: Toronto
15,102 posts, read 15,877,316 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genealogytime View Post
So you think it'll catch up eventually? And is it more like an msa?
Well the 20 million for NYC is more like its MSA but it is still a pretty large area.. Probably larger than the GTA... The thing with the GTA is its surrounded by farm/marshland that inhibit sprawly growth so it will probably never be the same size as most large U.S cities in area or their CSA's... This is part of the reason you are seeing a lot of highrise growth and densification within the GTA and why Toronto has higher levels of peak density than even L.A and Chicago and I think you will see that even more so as time goes by.

Projections are that the GTA will be around 9 million by 2036 but even than it won't be as large as NYC is now so no I think it would be generatios and generations before the GTA could match the population of NYC's MSA and of course NYC isn't going to be frozen in time - its growing too so no I don't it will.. Chicago on the other hand yes - I do think it will become larger in terms of population - particularly as a dense urbanized area - I don't think it will in terms of overall area or ultra low dense sprawl.. Toronto city proper is already larger than Chicago by a nose but if things continue the gap will widen.
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Old 02-08-2015, 06:00 PM
 
Location: London, UK
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fusion2 View Post
Well the 20 million for NYC is more like its MSA but it is still a pretty large area.. Probably larger than the GTA... The thing with the GTA is its surrounded by farm/marshland that inhibit sprawly growth so it will probably never be the same size as most large U.S cities in area or their CSA's... This is part of the reason you are seeing a lot of highrise growth and densification within the GTA and why Toronto has higher levels of peak density than even L.A and Chicago and I think you will see that even more so as time goes by.

Projections are that the GTA will be around 9 million by 2036 but even than it won't be as large as NYC is now so no I think it would be several generations before the GTA could match the population of NYC's MSA and of course NYC isn't going to be frozen in time - its growing too so no I don't it will.. Chicago on the other hand yes - I do think it will become larger in terms of population - I don't think it will in terms of area.. Toronto city proper is already larger than Chicago.
Toronto could still become a Megacity in the future (megacities have populations of more than 10 million) if population continues to increase.
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Old 02-08-2015, 06:04 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genealogytime View Post
What about the United States is better than Canada
When people in Detroit, Michigan look across the Detroit River to Windsor, Ontario, the people in the U.S. have better views.
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Old 02-08-2015, 06:06 PM
 
Location: Toronto
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Quote:
Originally Posted by P London View Post
Toronto could still become a Megacity in the future (megacities have populations of more than 10 million) if population continues to increase.
Oh absolutely - By 2045-2050 Toronto will most likely become a megacity... When it does it will also likely be quite a bit more dense and compact of a megacity than Chicago or L.A or any other U.S city save for NYC..
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Old 02-08-2015, 06:08 PM
 
Location: London, UK
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fusion2 View Post
Oh absolutely - By 2045-2050 Toronto will most likely become a megacity... When it does it will also likely be quite a bit more dense and compact of a megacity than Chicago or L.A or any other U.S city save for NYC..
What would be the peak population and is the local government preparing for this massive increase in population?

Last edited by P London; 02-08-2015 at 06:16 PM..
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Old 02-08-2015, 06:13 PM
 
Location: San Diego, California Republic
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fusion2 View Post
I was speaking of population mated with density.. Not megaregions with low density sprawl.. As I said, find me a U.S city other than the big 3 that'll put 6.5 million people (The Greater Toronto Area) in 3000 sq miles... What is typical is people quoting massive regions the size of small countries linked by nothing more than highway and attributing them as being a city - that is what I find laughable.. Nobody in Canada is going to claim Vancouver is its most important city btw - everyone knows its Toronto.

Btw I have nothing against Houston...
I agree with you completely. There is a strong tendency on City-Data for people to use a metro. In their opinions, a city proper is "arbitrary", another word that's overused here. The thing is, city boundaries are constant and provide a control when comparing to other cities whereas a metros boundaries can and do change. At least you get it
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Old 02-08-2015, 06:16 PM
 
Location: Toronto
15,102 posts, read 15,877,316 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by P London View Post
What would be the pick population and is the local government preparing for this massive increase in population?
You mean peak population? The following document provides a lot of data on low, middle and high growth projections for Ontario and its cities..

http://www.fin.gov.on.ca/en/economy/...s2012-2036.pdf

In terms of dealing with massive increase in growth.. The Greater Toronto area is no stranger to that and has been steadily growing by about 100K per year for a few decades now anyway so this is just going to continue.. What is happening and its good to see is that transit infrastructure is now being a more regionally focused endeavour (Metrolinx) instead of being left to smaller cities.
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Old 02-08-2015, 06:22 PM
 
Location: Toronto
15,102 posts, read 15,877,316 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gentoo View Post
I agree with you completely. There is a strong tendency on City-Data for people to use a metro. In their opinions, a city proper is "arbitrary", another word that's overused here. The thing is, city boundaries are constant and provide a control when comparing to other cities whereas a metros boundaries can and do change. At least you get it
I get the tendency go outside of just a city proper.. Toronto for example doesn't just stop at the end of its city proper boundary and there's still a lot of higher density cities/boroughs connected to it that are highly built up (Mississauga, Brampton, Vaughn, Pickering etc - but once you start start getting into the boonies and there's wide open areas you have to start saying this is no longer an urban 'city' - its just linked to its anchor by a freeway.. Its kind of like is Pluto a planet or not - who cares!!
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Old 02-08-2015, 06:27 PM
 
Location: East Coast of the United States
27,564 posts, read 28,665,617 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gentoo View Post
I agree with you completely. There is a strong tendency on City-Data for people to use a metro. In their opinions, a city proper is "arbitrary", another word that's overused here. The thing is, city boundaries are constant and provide a control when comparing to other cities whereas a metros boundaries can and do change. At least you get it
So, do you think that a population of 3.9 million accurately reflects the size and feel of Los Angeles? What about a population of 837,000 for San Francisco?

Is that the true extent of the impact of those two cities?
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Old 02-08-2015, 06:39 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fusion2 View Post
I get the tendency go outside of just a city proper.. Toronto for example doesn't just stop at the end of its city proper boundary and there's still a lot of higher density cities/boroughs connected to it that are highly built up (Mississauga, Brampton, Vaughn, Pickering etc - but once you start start getting into the boonies and there's wide open areas you have to start saying this is no longer an urban 'city' - its just linked to its anchor by a freeway.. Its kind of like is Pluto a planet or not - who cares!!
Could Mississauga and other cities create a chain of buildings like manhattan?

Or even larger?
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