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Old 05-28-2012, 03:56 PM
 
Location: Socialist Scandinavia
88 posts, read 122,887 times
Reputation: 87

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I doubt it will happen anytime soon.

1) Syria is different to Libya in term of the population trusting the outside interference.
Why foreign intervention is not welcome in Syria | Chris Doyle | Comment is free | guardian.co.uk

This leaves out a lot of possible strategies for intervention.

2) The west doesn't have the same motives for interfering i.e. Oil. Also remember it was on initiative from France that the intervention was enforced... Whos going to take the initiative in Syria? the US wont since it has no interest in destabilising another neighbouring country to Israel. The situation in Egypt is tense enough as it is.

3) And the Perhaps main reason for no intervention. It will HAVE to go through official channels i.e. the UN security council, which is very unlikely to happen. The intervention in Libya was extensively critised by e.g. China and Russia for going beyond its mandate.
The consensus on intervention in Libya has shattered | Simon Tisdall | Comment is free | guardian.co.uk
and as result they vetoed a resolution, condemning Syria for its attack last October.
BBC News - China and Russia veto UN resolution condemning Syria
Although the security council unanimously condemned the attack in Houla the other day.
UN condemns Syria over Houla massacre - Middle East - Al Jazeera English
Russia is continously shipping arms to Syria, which is its only ally in the Middle-East and have no interest in losing neither an ally nor revenues. So despite them condemning the attacks, they are not likely to be in favour of another intervention.
Syrian Carnage Fails to Budge Russia From Mideast Ally - Businessweek
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Old 05-29-2012, 02:40 AM
 
Location: The Midst of Insanity
3,225 posts, read 6,302,156 times
Reputation: 3221
Sigh. No, US should stay out.
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Old 05-29-2012, 03:20 AM
 
Location: Vancouver, B.C., Canada
10,907 posts, read 23,204,756 times
Reputation: 5319
I think Russia will be the Country that has the most influnce and well China is not really a factor since they have no naval and military bases in Syria..Russia is just trying to keep thier deep water naval base and some good relations in the region and they are getting major pressure from the U.N. but then again why should Russia or the west step in if the Arab league is not doing anything.

I mean if the Arab league is not going to anything then why should the West or Russia and China help out a issues the Arab league is more suited for since they have the military and are effected by it.

well one thing is for sure the U.N. is useless but as long as we stay out then the U.N. leaders take the blame since this was their plan and it has failed.
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Old 05-29-2012, 04:12 AM
 
Location: Belgium
1,173 posts, read 1,676,170 times
Reputation: 1413
The thing is, the "west" cannot do good in this case: if they don't intervene, people say they're letting innocent civilians being slaughtered by a barbarious regime. If they do intervene however, people (well, Arabs that is) will say that another western crusader army is fighting another war with a muslim country.
And as others above mentioned: airstrikes alone won't do. You'll need to get boots on the ground and you'll have to expect lots of casualties.

I for one hope the Arab League will create a force and step in. Although knowing their history of cowardness, I doubt that very much Or maybe Turkey will intervene. I have no idea how this bloody story will unfold itself.
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