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Old 03-07-2014, 12:46 AM
 
5,365 posts, read 6,335,752 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by botticelli View Post
Why not?

In 1980, China's GDP per capita ($300) is 2.5% of America's, which means 40 Chinese were as productive as one America.

From 2.5% to 25% in 40 years, a new massive middle class created. Many families have cars, from struggling to buy a bicycle. Quality of life dramatically improved. Life expectancy 5 years longer, roads, higways, subways, high speed trains built, many areas becoming world leaders. In the 1980s, a typical Chinese family would be lucky to have meat on the table every day, today, they are traveling to the US, Canada, Europe, South America, Africa with their expensive camaras.

I think the Chinese should be proud. What have the US achieved during the 40 years? Are middle class enjoying a better life?

China will never have the same quality of life Americans enjoy, if you look at their population, habitable land, resources etc. I think China will stablize when it reaches what Taiwan currently has now in terms of per capita wealth.
Taiwan isn't doing bad though. GDP per capita is almost $40,000. Higher than most of Europe. If China can reach that level then that isn't too shabby at all.
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Old 03-07-2014, 12:56 AM
 
1,392 posts, read 2,133,498 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tall Traveler View Post
Boy, 3 or 4 excellent posts in a row that really veered somewhat from the thread topic but interesting nonetheless. As far as spending habits, my father was frugal and taught me to be frugal and I have tried to teach the same to my kids. So a generalization about Americans spending doesn't really apply much to me and I know plenty like myself that aren't always trying to buy the latest marketed thing (however, I do like tech stuff).

I worked in China (Shanghai & Beijing), Seoul, Mongolia, and spent time in Philippines & Thailand so I think I have some knowledge about Asian spending habits. Whether in Seoul, Shanghai, Mongolia, Manila, Bangkok, the newest phones and tech are bought and other status items are even more obviously displayed compared to what you see in the USA imho. I knew ladies that made 10% or less of my salary that would automatically buy the latest Iphone or Galaxy and also spend a huge amount on personal appearance items like makeup and clothes.

On education and its role in economy, Asians as noted rely on rote memory and you also see that they don't venture well outside their "lane" if they need to improvise from the planned way of doing something. But the work product of what is their standard assignment is almost universally impressive. Americans don't test as well but always seem to be creating the tech breakthroughs but I'm not exactly sure why other than independence of thought is encouraged in the USA and not so much in China or Asia from what I observed. Whether or not this continues for the next generation is anyone's guess. I encouraged my kids to learn Mandarin but unfortunately, they did not have enough interest to do so. I am concerned about their future with the increasing competition from China and Korea and how that will affect them working in the new world economy. It's going to be interesting to observe.
This isn't exactly true. It depends on which ethnic group you are evaluating. IIRC, White Americans outscore most Europeans while Asian Americans outscore most Asians. Black Americans and Hispanic Americans on the other hand score at third world levels. Since Blacks and Hispanics comprise close to 30-35% of the population (more for younger generations), the average American scores are obviously going to be lower. Of course, this shows you how horrific the education inequality in the US really is and the US should really focus on narrowing the gap or eliminating it.

Here is an old article mentioning the racial gaps which leads to the lower American average:

Robert J. Samuelson - To foster high-achievers, think beyond the classroom
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Old 03-07-2014, 03:08 PM
 
10,839 posts, read 14,722,274 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Camlon View Post
Then you will have a short lifetime.

China is already at 9.25 billion dollars (2013 CIA). China was at 2.235 billion in 2005.

My estimation is that China will surpass 15 billion dollars in 2020 or earlier.
IMF forecast China GDP in PPP terms to surpass the US by 2016. It is 85% of US now.

List of countries by future GDP (PPP) estimates - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In nominal terms, IMF forecasts it to be 13.7T in 2018, compared with 21.6 for the U.
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Old 03-07-2014, 09:02 PM
 
Location: M I N N E S O T A
14,773 posts, read 21,494,000 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Camlon View Post
Then you will have a short lifetime.

China is already at 9.25 billion dollars (2013 CIA). China was at 2.235 billion in 2005.

My estimation is that China will surpass 15 billion dollars in 2020 or earlier.
China would have to keep its high growth rates for a very long period of time, which is very rare...
I don't know a country where its "economic boom" lasts for very long periods of time.

GDP growth rates always change
https://www.google.com/#q=china+gdp+growth+rate
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Old 03-07-2014, 09:41 PM
 
4,698 posts, read 4,072,959 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iNviNciBL3 View Post
China would have to keep its high growth rates for a very long period of time, which is very rare...
I don't know a country where its "economic boom" lasts for very long periods of time.

GDP growth rates always change
https://www.google.com/#q=china+gdp+growth+rate
If you don't know that, then I will mention some countries for you

Taiwan
1980: 3,601
1990: 9,895
2000: 20,321
2013: 39,580

South Korea
1980: 2,322
1990: 7,858
2000: 16,528
2013: 33,156

Chile
1980: 2,947
1990: 5,014
2000: 9,745
2013: 19,105

Singapore
1980: 7,152
1990: 17,963
2000: 33,195
2010: 62,428

Estonia
1993: 5,722
2003: 13,284
2013: 22,352

China
1980: 253
1990: 799
2000: 2,382
2013: 9,828

Now tell me exactly, why won't China be able to grow to 15K? What exactly makes China so special it can't grow like other countries?

List of countries by past and future GDP (PPP) per capita - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Old 03-07-2014, 10:01 PM
 
Location: M I N N E S O T A
14,773 posts, read 21,494,000 times
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Sorry i was going by GDP nominal

List of countries by past and future GDP (nominal) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Old 03-07-2014, 10:27 PM
 
4,698 posts, read 4,072,959 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iNviNciBL3 View Post
Same thing

China
1980: 300B
1990: 390B
2000: 1,2T
2013: 8,9T

If China gdp per capita (ppp) grows to 15K, then the nominal gdp is likely to reach 15T as well.

I don't see any reason why China can't get richer. In fact I see it as unavoidable. Cities like Tianjin, Beijing, Shanghai, Suzhou, Shenzen, Guangzhou already have a gdp per capita of 20-30K and they are still growing. When people are moving from less productive areas of china to more productive areas the country will grow.
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Old 03-07-2014, 10:31 PM
 
Location: M I N N E S O T A
14,773 posts, read 21,494,000 times
Reputation: 9263
Quote:
Originally Posted by Camlon View Post
Same thing

China
1980: 300B
1990: 390B
2000: 1,2T
2013: 8,9T

If China gdp per capita (ppp) grows to 15K, then the nominal gdp is likely to reach 15T as well.

I don't see any reason why China can't get richer. In fact I see it as unavoidable. Cities like Tianjin, Beijing, Shanghai, Suzhou, Shenzen, Guangzhou already have a gdp per capita of 20-30K and they are still growing. When people are moving from less productive areas of china to more productive areas the country will grow.
Of course China will keep getting richer, just don't see it reaching the levels of the United States
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Old 03-07-2014, 10:37 PM
 
4,698 posts, read 4,072,959 times
Reputation: 2483
Quote:
Originally Posted by iNviNciBL3 View Post
Of course China will keep getting richer, just don't see it reaching the levels of the United States
I think you might be confusing the terms GDP and GDP per capita. GDP per capita is the GDP divided by the total population.

China gdp per capita is not going to reach US level anytime soon, their GDP is. That is because China has a lot more people.
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Old 03-13-2014, 07:51 AM
 
Location: World
4,204 posts, read 4,688,411 times
Reputation: 2841
Cost of living in countries like China is way way lower then living in USA. A person can live comfortably in China, India for 1000 dollars per month but will have a massive struggle to raise a family in USA for the same amount of money. Millions of Americans have little savings and investment. Just because one can take a loan to buy a car or go to an expensive College doesnt mean that one is doing good in his/her life. How many people in USA can survive on the money they earn without being dependent on Welfare or Loan???
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