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Old 03-23-2016, 09:15 PM
 
Location: Aliso Viejo, Orange County, CA
4,971 posts, read 6,370,801 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pigeonhole View Post
When will India , the Middle east and Africa follow suit ?
Not any time soon.

Africa's population explosion will change humanity - Tech Insider

"More than half of global population growth between now and 2050 is expected to occur in Africa," says the United Nations report. "Of the additional 2.4 billion people projected to be added to the global population between 2015 and 2050, 1.3 billion will be added in Africa."

After 2050, Africa is projected to be the only major area that has a continually growing population, meaning that it will house 25% of the global population in 2010 and 39% in 2100.
In 1950, only 9% of the world's population was African.

Conversely, Europe is projected to have a smaller population in 2050 than in 2015.

Also, India's population is expected to surpass China's.
Daily chart: Growth areas: Global population forecasts | The Economist
India will surpass China as the world's most populous country in 2022, six years earlier than was previously forecast. China's population will peak at 1.4 billion in 2028; India's four decades later at 1.75 billion.
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Old 03-23-2016, 10:07 PM
 
Location: Tucson/Nogales
17,398 posts, read 21,234,308 times
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If you look at the world's fertility rates, you'll still see some 6.0 or 7.0's in Sub Sahara Africa, but worry not, as how many of those children will never see their first, 7th or 12th birthday's.

As far as the Middle East, I was surprised to see the fertility rates in the Muslim world to be in the 3.0-3.5 range. Iran has the lowest fertility rate and Iranian officials are concerned enough to halt any future vasectomies, as this country is headed for 2-child families as well.

India? With more comfort, rising incomes, will follow suit as well.

The Philippines still has a higher fertility rate than the rest of Asia, but recently they approved contraceptive use, and if they ever legalize abortions there, they'll join the rest of Asia.

I work with a number of Filipino's in the healthcare industry and I've yet to meet up with a Filipino family larger than 2 children.
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Old 03-24-2016, 12:25 AM
 
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Nowadays, Japan is nothing great except for being the second largest developed country. South Korea is challeging Japan's top position in many areas in Asia. The second position can easily be replaced by Germany or Russia if working population keeps shrinking and economy being bad.


Policies, enviroment and everything in China are much more worst. Yet they have a higher birth rate than their neigboring developed countries. In China, young people are often pressured by parents to get married and have children early. China is more traditional than both western and asian developed countries. North Korea's birth rate is also similar to China. How do people survive there?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Greysholic View Post
Who's surprised? These 4 countries (plus Hong Kong) have pretty much the most unfriendly child policy, by far the worst work-life balance, arguably the harshest environment for those who are within the age range of having children, extremely low social mobility, and the scariest education system in the entire world.

Who would want to raise kids under such conditions? I know I definitely don't.

Then you hear the government of these countries asking young people to have more kids without even trying to make an improvement. The level of idiocy is off the charts.

They may be right, even if not the best in the world, still is the highest among non Western countries. East Asia is good except North Korea, Mongolia and China. If Asians want to be lazy or relaxing, an attitude which Asian culture look down on, can goto certain rich western countries which are considered heavens by the Asians, but may face discrimination for being Asians there.
Quote:
Originally Posted by theunbrainwashed View Post
But you have Asiaphiles that SWEAR East Asia has the highest quality of life in Earth. They are never wrong, of course

Last edited by Ichibbb; 03-24-2016 at 12:58 AM..
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Old 03-24-2016, 02:21 AM
 
4,684 posts, read 3,613,254 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ichibbb View Post
Nowadays, Japan is nothing great except for being the second largest developed country. South Korea is challeging Japan's top position in many areas in Asia. The second position can easily be replaced by Germany or Russia if working population keeps shrinking and economy being bad.


Policies, enviroment and everything in China are much more worst. Yet they have a higher birth rate than their neigboring developed countries. In China, young people are often pressured by parents to get married and have children early. China is more traditional than both western and asian developed countries. North Korea's birth rate is also similar to China. How do people survive there?



They may be right, even if not the best in the world, still is the highest among non Western countries. East Asia is good except North Korea, Mongolia and China. If Asians want to be lazy or relaxing, an attitude which Asian culture look down on, can goto certain rich western countries which are considered heavens by the Asians, but may face discrimination for being Asians there.
China already has a very low birthrate, for your information, despite the cultural pressures. And, Russia will never be a true economic power that can replace either Japan, Germany or China.
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