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The idea that China will become more liberal with friendlier relations, investment, and trade was a gross miscalculation on the part of the U.S. Xi has shown his stripes. It's high time to fix that error and take away the CCP's mandate of heaven. We fed the tiger, now it's time to starve the beast.
So, it will be better when China has exactly two parties, both of which are absolutely committed without dissent to exactly the same form of capitalist economy, represented by power-abusing congressmen who differ only in tabloid personality and possess no expertise, who shut down the government in a petty squabble over $15 per person for a symbolic wall.
So, it will be better when China has exactly two parties, both of which are absolutely committed without dissent to exactly the same form of capitalist economy, represented by power-abusing congressmen who differ only in tabloid personality and possess no expertise, who shut down the government in a petty squabble over $15 per person for a symbolic wall.
Actually the theory is right. Chinese people desire political freedom after they achieve economic freedom and social freedom. But they don't pursue political freedom at home, but abroad.
Most nouveau riche in China try to immigrate to countries like US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and UK where there are more political freedom. Do you see anyone from China immigrate to North Korea where there is zero political freedom?
In Chinese history, most regime changes had been very bloody (with the exception of Qing => ROC with relatively less bloodshed). So these newly rich don't want to take the risk and choose the easier option -- immigrate to western countries by whatever means.
Actually the theory is right. Chinese people desire political freedom after they achieve economic freedom and social freedom. But they don't pursue political freedom at home, but abroad.
Most nouveau riche in China try to immigrate to countries like US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and UK where there are more political freedom. Do you see anyone from China immigrate to North Korea where there is zero political freedom?
In Chinese history, most regime changes had been very bloody (with the exception of Qing => ROC with relatively less bloodshed). So these newly rich don't want to take the risk and choose the easier option -- immigrate to western countries by whatever means.
Can you prove nouveau riche move to western countries in order to pursue "political freedom"?
North Korea is a bad argument because it is dirt poor.
Singapore has limited political freedom (compared to western countries) but many Chinese move there.
I don't think that a very large number of wealthy Chinese people move abroad because of political freedoms. Most Mainland Chinese I've ever met are generally fairly apolitical.
Most of the ones I meet who to prefer life abroad prefer it because of the lifestyle, such as economic or educational opportunities.
The idea that China will become more liberal with friendlier relations, investment, and trade was a gross miscalculation on the part of the U.S. Xi has shown his stripes. It's high time to fix that error and take away the CCP's mandate of heaven. We fed the tiger, now it's time to starve the beast.
I have to be careful what I say because I am still in China, and things are quite sensitive these days...
Basically everyone, even in the gov't here, agrees that we're in for a rough ride in the coming years as China simultaneously grapples with a cooling/correcting economy and measures to re-centralize power via society and the economy. Of all major nations, China is probably better equipped to handle the difficulties facing it within its own legal and cultural frameworks - the US or EU are facing issues with a divided public and there isn't much that they can do to rein in either end of the social-political spectrum.
I have a vested interest in China's continued success, in no small part since my business, family, and life are centered here. But, I think that China played its hand a decade early in terms of its projections of strength and exceptionalism abroad; had it waited, then I think that much of what it's trying to achieve in global influence would have been a given. Because of how things are playing out now, it can still achieve its goals, but it's going to be more difficult.
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