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Old 02-11-2019, 01:20 PM
 
Location: Myrtle Creek, Oregon
15,293 posts, read 17,671,176 times
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The road map for the next century is already online. America's military and political empire is fading like the British Raj in the last century. Foreign policy is tied to a 4 year political cycle, and economic policy is tied to quarterly reports. Other countries have longer term strategies.

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/...oad-explainer/
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Old 02-11-2019, 01:27 PM
 
Location: San Diego CA
8,479 posts, read 6,878,349 times
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Ah yes. Mandarin is the new lingua franca. Empires rise and fall.
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Old 02-12-2019, 07:59 PM
 
Location: Earth
7,643 posts, read 6,471,209 times
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How many countries are speaking manadarin?


How many people are watching mainland chinese movies?


How many people outside of china use wiebo?


I don't see china taking over.


Plus, they might grow old before they grow rich. They are having demographic problems that japan and europe are having.


https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-...st-11549717201

I'm not scared. We merely just have to outlast them.
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Old 02-13-2019, 10:06 AM
 
14,993 posts, read 23,877,846 times
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No one is learning Mandarin, the Chinese are learning English.

Larry Caldwell how many times have you been to China Peoples Republic of? Many of us here have (obviously, since this is the Asian forum and not the prepper forum with sensationalist posting about wars and such), I've spent 30 days in the last year there on business in various trips and talk to my colleagues there at least weekly.
China should develop it's silk road because there economy, currently not based on communism but mercantilism, is heading into the gutter:
https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/09/econo...sks/index.html
However one element of communism remains - the government manages the financial books, all of it, no one really knows how bad China is underperforming.
Now, China is a huge economy no doubt, a trade competitor to the US, they aren't going anywhere. But they are also a partner. This can be viewed in how many western companies (including mine) have interests in China. Our economies are more intertwined than you can imagine. Also as China reaches out and expands more, they face pushback, not from the US, but all these other international economies who are also bidding for a peace of the pie. You think India is just letting them take over there trade partners? Another example is the Spratly Island disputes, possible a rich source of oil as well as fishing source. Here it's China vs. every other country in S.E. Asia. Such is the dispute that you now have Vietnam aligning with the US. In short, as they grow in international influence, they will face the same challenges that the US faces.

As far as the military empire - well the US has an annual military expenditure of over $700 billion, PRC has a military budget of $170 billion and can't even field a battle ready AirCraft Carrier. You do the math (not to say I forsee any chance of military conflict between these two countries with our economies so intertwined - such nonsense comes from people that have never been to China, or the prepper goofballs).
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Old 02-13-2019, 06:02 PM
 
1,141 posts, read 1,207,084 times
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As China goes from devloping to developed, it will begin to face a whole new set of challenges that more developed countries face. China has a long way to go to become the next "Empire". Just look at its Education system, health care and judicial system.


Its one thing to read positive articles on their economy and cherry pick, its another thing to be in China seeing factual evidence.


That being said, you can't ignore the progress and development that has been made over the last 15 years. Its remarkable.
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Old 02-14-2019, 03:23 AM
 
3,109 posts, read 2,967,960 times
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The Chinese have an extremely flawed food chain, where there is little trust. Hard to be number one with such a scarcity of safe nutrition.
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Old 02-14-2019, 08:33 AM
 
Location: Taipei
8,864 posts, read 8,435,567 times
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The New Silk Road is so 2015.

One Belt, One Road, One Big Mistake

2018 WAS MEANT TO BE XI JINPING’S YEAR. THEN CHINA’S BELT AND ROAD UNRAVELLED

China’s Belt and Road Initiative is falling short


At this point the only thing China can do is pray that the impact of the impending crash could be contained. As in it would only be as bad as USSR in the 90s instead of China in the 60s.
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Old 02-15-2019, 08:21 AM
 
Location: Metro Phoenix
11,039 posts, read 16,851,256 times
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Eh. They fumbled the ball on this one. There have been a ton of missteps in the last few years that have come to a head recently... I doubt that this will be the "Chinese Century" that many on both sides said it would be, with a dominant and effectively invincible China running global affairs. China's rise is nothing short of extraordinary and deserves praise and it will continue to be an influential global player for the foreseeable future, but at this point even the powers that be are bracing for stormy seas.
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Old 02-15-2019, 09:24 PM
 
Location: Metro Phoenix
11,039 posts, read 16,851,256 times
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Article on CNN about this very topic.

https://edition-m.cnn.com/2019/02/15...ion.cnn.com%2F
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Old 02-16-2019, 12:50 AM
 
Location: Earth
7,643 posts, read 6,471,209 times
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can never trust a communist


The only options are to hope their demographic problems cause a decrease in potential power projection and to boycott chinese products except wushu weapons and chinese classical literature.


Hong kong is lost
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