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Old 05-29-2018, 06:19 PM
 
1,047 posts, read 421,113 times
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Didn't previous Census estimates also significantly underestimate growth in parts of Metro Atlanta?

For example, in 1999, the census estimated that Alpharetta only had a population of 27,032 (which was clearly way off, as the actual in 2000 was 46,607). Same thing to a lesser extent happened in 2009, with an estimate of only 51,569 (actual in 2010 being 57,702).
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Old 05-30-2018, 06:45 AM
 
Location: ITP - City of Atlanta Proper
7,797 posts, read 11,733,220 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by citidata18 View Post
Didn't previous Census estimates also significantly underestimate growth in parts of Metro Atlanta?

For example, in 1999, the census estimated that Alpharetta only had a population of 27,032 (which was clearly way off, as the actual in 2000 was 46,607). Same thing to a lesser extent happened in 2009, with an estimate of only 51,569 (actual in 2010 being 57,702).
Yes, it happens all the time in both directions. Estimates are just that between Census years.
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Old 05-30-2018, 12:33 PM
 
Location: Outer Boroughs, NYC
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Originally Posted by bu2 View Post
And the latest census estimates were badly off between 2000 and 2010. Atlanta talked them into ignoring some data.


Presumably they have learned their lesson, but you won't know for sure until the 2020 census comes out.
I agree. U.S. Census does botch its annual estimates at times. They lowballed metro Savannah in 2000-2009. They goofed with the City of Atlanta, too. As you say, it will all come out in the wash: the 2020 Census.
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Old 05-30-2018, 12:56 PM
 
Location: City of Atlanta
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Originally Posted by masonbauknight View Post
I agree. U.S. Census does botch its annual estimates at times. They lowballed metro Savannah in 2000-2009. They goofed with the City of Atlanta, too. As you say, it will all come out in the wash: the 2020 Census.
With this administration? Not a sure bet.
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Old 05-30-2018, 02:00 PM
 
Location: Georgia native in McKinney, TX
6,911 posts, read 9,594,157 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by citidata18 View Post
Didn't previous Census estimates also significantly underestimate growth in parts of Metro Atlanta?

For example, in 1999, the census estimated that Alpharetta only had a population of 27,032 (which was clearly way off, as the actual in 2000 was 46,607). Same thing to a lesser extent happened in 2009, with an estimate of only 51,569 (actual in 2010 being 57,702).
Quote:
Originally Posted by waronxmas View Post
Yes, it happens all the time in both directions. Estimates are just that between Census years.
Quote:
Originally Posted by masonbauknight View Post
I agree. U.S. Census does botch its annual estimates at times. They lowballed metro Savannah in 2000-2009. They goofed with the City of Atlanta, too. As you say, it will all come out in the wash: the 2020 Census.
I am of the personal opinion that they take the lazy way out.... take a percentage of the growth based over some matrix of previous growth, maybe deviate a bit based on some other cobbled figures. Look at the remaining cities in Georgia and nothing stands out as really surging compared to other cities. Every city is growing at a similar steady unspectacular rate. But there is always some city at the next census that stands out and makes you say wow and others that lose and make you scratch your head.
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Old 05-30-2018, 02:38 PM
 
Location: Outer Boroughs, NYC
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Originally Posted by Saintmarks View Post
I am of the personal opinion that they take the lazy way out.... take a percentage of the growth based over some matrix of previous growth, maybe deviate a bit based on some other cobbled figures. Look at the remaining cities in Georgia and nothing stands out as really surging compared to other cities. Every city is growing at a similar steady unspectacular rate. But there is always some city at the next census that stands out and makes you say wow and others that lose and make you scratch your head.
Yes, Georgia will be interesting across the board. U.S. Census estimates say that GA's population growth of past years has slowed down greatly. Several second-/third-tier GA cities show declines in city and metro populations: Columbus, Macon, and Albany. Augusta-Richmond has been pretty flat since 2010. Savannah's city and county figures slowed down just in the last year. Meanwhile, the City of Atlanta has added 60,000+ residents since 2010, without annexation? It's too weird to be accurate, so I will wait to the actual census.
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