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And when will they make up a significant portion (10%) of total vehicles on public roads?
I will go on a venture and say that the first self-driving cars will be released to consumers in the 2023 - 2026 period, with such cars making up a considerable percentage of vehicles on the road by the 2033 - 2036 period.
And when will they make up a significant portion (10%) of total vehicles on public roads?
I will go on a venture and say that the first self-driving cars will be released to consumers in the 2023 - 2026 period, with such cars making up a considerable percentage of vehicles on the road by the 2033 - 2036 period.
Completely autonomous cars where you punch in a destination and it whisks you there without any further intervention are probably a decade-plus away. But as for largely self-driving cars requiring minimal input from the driver... they've already started coming. Mercedes now offers cars that are basically self-driving (provided lane markings are adequate) and the only reason the car requires you to put your hands on the steering wheel every once in a while is because federal regulations won't allow manufacturers to sell fully self-driving cars yet.
Unfortunately, not very far away, the technology already exists in abundance. Now its just a matter of waiting for manufacturers to do a good job integrating it.
Again, not really looking forward to it. Who here has seen the movie "Wall-E"? You know what i'm talking about...
If it works as good as the auto steer on agriculture tractors it will be unbelievable. The big tractors on my parents farm all have it now, my Dad was such an old school guy but the first time he saw it in operation he had it installed on his 2 big tractors (at $35,000 a piece).
First vehicles that get it will be over the road trucks. Truck driving jobs are going away.
How can there be more liability issues over having a human drive the vehicle? When the system is in place the auto-drive cars will be about a million times safer. Google has been testing this technology in trucks for the last 5 years. They have a truck with over 5 million test miles on it and not only has it not had an accident, it hasn't even had a close call.
Imagine the profound impact this could have on transportation from just a minute. Carpooling will become so much easier. The car drops off 4 workers at their offices and then drives itself to a nearby parking lot to park for the day and then is at it's first drop when the owner sends it a message by smartphone.
It also drives itself to the dealership for maintenance during the day when the owners are at work.
It drives to the grocery store so some forward thinking grocer can steal market share by putting the orders together and packing the car for the owners so they don't have to waste time getting food.
The possibilities are endless.
I work for a public utility and many of our workers drive their service vehicles home at night. When they need an oil change or update on the computer they drive it into the shop and have a couple of hours of downtime. Imagine the truck starting itself up at midnight and driving in and the nightshift at the garage changes the oil, replaces brakes and updates the computer and the truck is back at his house at 7AM when he starts his shift?
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