Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Aviation
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 03-10-2015, 06:11 PM
 
14,611 posts, read 17,532,401 times
Reputation: 7783

Advertisements

Currently there are only three nonstops
  1. Seoul-Sao Paulo on Korean Air.
  2. Tokyo-Mexico City on Aeromexico,
  3. Shanghai to Tijuana, continuing to Mexico City, Aeromexico
    (routing via Tijuana is because of Mexico City’s altitude and the distance)

Aeromexico is considering adding Seoul to it's lineup in the next four years.

Of the 32 million international passengers flying to and from Mexican airports last year, the nationality of the airline is broken down:

7.81 Total Mexican
2.26 Total European
2.61 Total Centro y South American
2.63 Total Canadian
16.94 Total USA
32.25 Total

Since Mexican airlines only control less than one quarter of the passengers flying in and out of their country, they are obviously interested in increasing that share. Right now Aeromexico flies to London, Madrid, and Paris but in the past they have tried Barcelona and Rome.

Share of passenger traffic between Mexico and Europe of each scheduled service air carrier Jan 2015
Spain and Mexico
47% Iberia
25% Aeroméxico
14% Air Europa
7% Evelop Airlines
7% Pullmantur

France and Mexico
51% Air France
28% Aeroméxico
21% XL Airways

45% British Airways
28% Thomas Cook
15% Virgin Atlantic Airways
12% Aeroméxico

Another possibility is that Emirates will attempt to include Mexico into it's growing worldwide web. Given that Dubai to Mexico City would become the longest commercial flight in the world, they may attempt a stop over in Barcelona. Of course, Emirates is also interested in pursuing it's fifth freedom rights to carry wealthy passengers from Spain to Mexico.

Does anyone else foresee Asia-Latino nonstops?

Last edited by PacoMartin; 03-10-2015 at 06:26 PM..
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 03-12-2015, 12:33 AM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
2,033 posts, read 1,982,352 times
Reputation: 1437
Doesn't that KE flight from GRU stop in LAX before continuing on to ICN?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-13-2015, 01:17 PM
 
14,611 posts, read 17,532,401 times
Reputation: 7783
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fastphilly View Post
Doesn't that KE flight from GRU stop in LAX before continuing on to ICN?
Yes it does, my mistake. I guess there are only two nonstops from Latin America to Asia.

Possibly once the bridge is completed to TIJ airport over the border fence, KE should think about refueling in TIJ. They would get the San Diego county traffic to both Seoul and to Brazil, plus the Tijuana traffic to either place, and maybe some of the Mexico city traffic flying domestically MEX-TIJ to connect.

While in general there is much more of that fifth freedom traffic at LAX, there is also a lot more competition for the same routes.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-15-2015, 11:00 AM
 
605 posts, read 669,143 times
Reputation: 1129
Quote:
Originally Posted by PacoMartin View Post
Currently there are only three nonstops
  1. Seoul-Sao Paulo on Korean Air.
The Korean Air flight to Sao Paulo is not a nonstop since it stops in Los Angeles along the way.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-16-2015, 10:18 AM
 
14,611 posts, read 17,532,401 times
Reputation: 7783
Quote:
Originally Posted by beasley106 View Post
The Korean Air flight to Sao Paulo is not a nonstop since it stops in Los Angeles along the way.
See my post just before yours.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-18-2015, 12:33 PM
 
Location: Denver, CO
1,421 posts, read 1,635,093 times
Reputation: 1751
Doubtful. Range is a large issue (these are all 8000+ mile routes), along with the lack of demand. In addition, stopping in SEA, SFO, or LAX isn't really out of the way. See below:

Panama to Tokyo crosses right over Seattle


Colombia to Beijing is within a few hundred miles of Chicago

Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-19-2015, 01:34 PM
 
14,611 posts, read 17,532,401 times
Reputation: 7783
Quote:
Originally Posted by caverunner17 View Post
Doubtful. Range is a large issue (these are all 8000+ mile routes), along with the lack of demand.
Emirates is flying to Sao Paolo and Rio directly from Dubai. The Rio flight continues on to Buenos Aires. The equipment is 777-200LR. The connection stop in Rio adds 4 hours. But the nonstop to EZE would be 8,507 miles, just under the 8,580 SYD-DFW A380 route (the longest commercial flight in the world).
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-19-2015, 08:03 PM
 
Location: Denver, CO
1,421 posts, read 1,635,093 times
Reputation: 1751
Quote:
Originally Posted by PacoMartin View Post
Emirates is flying to Sao Paolo and Rio directly from Dubai. The Rio flight continues on to Buenos Aires. The equipment is 777-200LR. The connection stop in Rio adds 4 hours. But the nonstop to EZE would be 8,507 miles, just under the 8,580 SYD-DFW A380 route (the longest commercial flight in the world).
Refrain. It's not that the routes aren't possible physically, but that due to the range, the cost to operate them is very expensive.

On these types of Ultra Long Haul (ULH) routes, you end up burning a lot of extra fuel to carry the fuel you'll need later on in the flight. The only way to make up for that is to have a large amount of premium demand flying business or first class.

None of the Latin American countries are all that wealthy, nor have cultural ties to Asia like they do with Europe.

The question becomes, "Who is willing to pay extra for a non-stop flight to Asia, over a short stop in the US, Mexico or Canada?" who all already have Asian service. We can see the ULH flights of SIN-LAX and SIN-EWR didn't work.

Also, BOG-ICN is 9,243 miles, BOG-PEK is 9,275 miles, BOG-NRT is 8,865 -- PTY-ICN is 8,822 miles etc

All of which are as long or longer than the longest flight in the world. There just isn't enough demand on either end, when as I noted, the greater circle flight paths are within a hundred miles or so of major international gateways in the US and Canada that have both Latin American and Asian service.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 04-15-2015, 09:02 PM
 
14,611 posts, read 17,532,401 times
Reputation: 7783
Quote:
Originally Posted by caverunner17 View Post
Refrain. It's not that the routes aren't possible physically, but that due to the range, the cost to operate them is very expensive.

The question becomes, "Who is willing to pay extra for a non-stop flight to Asia, over a short stop in the US, Mexico or Canada?" who all already have Asian service. We can see the ULH flights of SIN-LAX and SIN-EWR didn't work.

Also, BOG-ICN is 9,243 miles, BOG-PEK is 9,275 miles, BOG-NRT is 8,865 -- PTY-ICN is 8,822 miles etc
Air New Zealand is going to put in a flight to Buenos Airea (6415 miles). That will make Argentina significantly closer to Singapore which has no nonstops to California any more. It will also be much closer to Sydney and about 10% closer to Hong Kong.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 04-16-2015, 03:14 PM
 
Location: Denver, CO
1,421 posts, read 1,635,093 times
Reputation: 1751
Quote:
Originally Posted by PacoMartin View Post
Air New Zealand is going to put in a flight to Buenos Airea (6415 miles). That will make Argentina significantly closer to Singapore which has no nonstops to California any more. It will also be much closer to Sydney and about 10% closer to Hong Kong.
New Zealand isn't in Asia.

Buenos Aries is impossible to fly nonstop. It's 11,458 miles and goes over the south pole, which is a no-fly zone. Auckland is in a position where it can be a potential transfer point for the bottom part of South America to Asia.




Flying from Rio/San Paulo through Dubai / Abu Dhabi / Doha to Hong Kong adds less than 100 miles than a non-stop (which is impossible). And from Buenos Aires, it's only 100 miles more than from Auckland.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Aviation

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 12:11 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top