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Old 05-20-2016, 01:44 PM
 
Location: Sasquatch County
786 posts, read 810,995 times
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In such circumstances, the pilot might attempt to steer by enginethrust imbalance or flap control, which may cause or need speed alterations that could effect stalling. And such could be repeated – until all height be lost. In other words, it may be possible to regain control; but the effort of striking the required balance, in the dark, could cost the plane its entire elevation

Last edited by OldChina; 05-20-2016 at 02:33 PM..
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Old 05-20-2016, 02:10 PM
 
Location: Bel Air, California
23,766 posts, read 29,034,674 times
Reputation: 37337
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lieneke View Post
Can we conclude anything from the fact that the plane swerved first to the left, and then a full 360 to the right?

"An EgyptAir flight lost early Thursday over the eastern Mediterranean with 66 people on board fell 22,000 feet and swerved sharply in Egyptian airspace before it disappeared from radar screens, Greece's defence minister said.

"The plane carried out a 90-degree turn to the left and a 360-degree turn to the right, falling from 37,000 to 15,000 feet and the signal was lost at around 10,000 feet," Defence Minister Panos Kammenos told a news conference."

EgyptAir carried out 90-degree and 360-degree turns before crash - Emirates 24|7
the analysts I've heard attributed this to the plane breaking up and not so much any actions initiated by the pilots.
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Old 05-20-2016, 02:26 PM
 
Location: By the sea, by the sea, by the beautiful sea
68,327 posts, read 54,350,985 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by seain dublin View Post
It was terrorism. Let's call it what it is.
At this point that would be 'unknown cause'.

Quote:
Originally Posted by seain dublin View Post
I remember some idiot on NBC after the second plane flew into the WTC say "I wonder if there are air traffic controller problems".
I remember early speculation that the Rio to Paris Air France flight that crashed into the Atlantic was terrorism, until it turned out it wasn't.
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Old 05-20-2016, 02:38 PM
 
Location: Sasquatch County
786 posts, read 810,995 times
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Another, though unlikelier, possibility is that it was destroyed by the forces of a mischievous or misinformed nation. After all, no terrorist organisation has said that it is responsible for it

Last edited by OldChina; 05-20-2016 at 02:51 PM..
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Old 05-20-2016, 03:21 PM
 
Location: Fort Benton, MT
910 posts, read 1,081,380 times
Reputation: 2730
The pilots never made a mayday call. If the stab detached, the co-pilot would have immediately made the mayday call as the pilot tried to regain control of the aircraft. There was enough time for them to do so. When that Alaska airlines MD-80 went down, even though the aircraft was violently changing altitude, the co-pilot was able to make a mayday call.




IF the voice recorder is recovered all questions will be answered.


However, I would like to add that just because the transponder is reporting a turn, it doesn't mean the entire plane is with the transponder. If the aircraft broke up due to a bomb, the transponder could have been separated from the rest of the aircraft.
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Old 05-20-2016, 03:26 PM
 
Location: Type 0.73 Kardashev
11,110 posts, read 9,804,566 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by burdell View Post
I remember early speculation that the Rio to Paris Air France flight that crashed into the Atlantic was terrorism, until it turned out it wasn't.
And then there was MH370 and the speculation that, maybe, it was aliens...

In this case it might have been terrorism. But it might well have been something else, such as a structural failure. After all, mechanical failures and pilot error still cause more airline crashes than terrorism. And it's not like Egyptian airlines have such a sterling safety record that it's inconceivable that their planes could crash absent someone trying to make one crash.

Of course, some people are so emotionally vested in it being terrorism that they'll just insist it was regardless of the fact that at present we have no idea what caused the crash. And if we find out that it wasn't terrorism, most such people will declare that they were right to assume it was terrorism.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ericsvibe View Post
IF the voice recorder is recovered all questions will be answered.
Maybe, maybe not. Sometimes the CVRs don't shed much or any light on an incident.

The FDR (flight data recorder) is usually of more use in these investigations.
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Old 05-20-2016, 03:50 PM
 
542 posts, read 691,599 times
Reputation: 756
Now they're reporting that they received automated alerts from the plane shortly before it crashed. Here's an article from NBC News, which has this info on it:

Quote:
The report includes the plane-to-ground messages sent in the final minutes of the flight:

00:26Z 2600 SMOKE LAVATORY SMOKE

00:27Z 2600 AVIONICS SMOKE

00:28Z 561100 R FIXED WINDOW SENSOR

00:29Z 2200 AUTO FLT FCU 2 FAULT

00:29Z 2700 F/CTL SEC 3 FAULT

The information would suggest the possibility of smoke or a fire in close proximity to the electronics and equipment bay of the Airbus below the floor of the cockpit.

An "FCU" refers to a unit in cockpit the pilot uses to input instructions into the flight computer. "SEC3" refers to the computer that controls the spoilers and elevator computers of the plane.

Edited to add: I'm assuming those numbers are times? Are they before or after when air traffic control tried and failed to contact the plane?
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Old 05-20-2016, 04:21 PM
 
7,489 posts, read 4,949,345 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tatooine View Post
Now they're reporting that they received automated alerts from the plane shortly before it crashed. Here's an article from NBC News, which has this info on it:

Edited to add: I'm assuming those numbers are times? Are they before or after when air traffic control tried and failed to contact the plane?
From the video that was posted upthread, the plane was okay at zulu 00:27, and at 10,000 feet three minutes later at zulu 00:30.

If everything was okay aside from smoke in the bathroom in the first minute (00:27z), why didn't the pilot send a mayday - or did the fact that they were transitioning between airspaces mean the mayday was lost? Could that happen?

Last edited by Lieneke; 05-20-2016 at 04:30 PM..
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Old 05-20-2016, 04:53 PM
 
Location: By the sea, by the sea, by the beautiful sea
68,327 posts, read 54,350,985 times
Reputation: 40731
Quote:
Originally Posted by ericsvibe View Post
The pilots never made a mayday call. If the stab detached, the co-pilot would have immediately made the mayday call as the pilot tried to regain control of the aircraft. There was enough time for them to do so. When that Alaska airlines MD-80 went down, even though the aircraft was violently changing altitude, the co-pilot was able to make a mayday call.

The first rule is FLY THE AIRPLANE, anything else is secondary.
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Old 05-20-2016, 06:08 PM
 
Location: Type 0.73 Kardashev
11,110 posts, read 9,804,566 times
Reputation: 40166
Here's the ACARS report:


Nothing indicating a sudden decompression.

In total, it seems to suggest a fire on-board the aircraft.

Quote:
Originally Posted by burdell View Post
The first rule is FLY THE AIRPLANE, anything else is secondary.
Aviate, Navigate, Communicate.

Also, given the smoke alerts it is possible that the crew became incapacitated at some point.

Last edited by Unsettomati; 05-20-2016 at 07:07 PM..
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