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Old 12-06-2010, 10:20 AM
 
3,811 posts, read 4,688,884 times
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Too high of a contract for Barajas IMO. I really like Barajas as a back up. He's got power and could come up big off the bench in key situations. But they are paying him like a starter IMO.
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Old 12-06-2010, 11:12 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,296,560 times
Reputation: 6658
Quote:
Originally Posted by Statz2k10 View Post
Too high of a contract for Barajas IMO. I really like Barajas as a back up. He's got power and could come up big off the bench in key situations. But they are paying him like a starter IMO.
They are paying him like a player worth a little less than one WAR

Barajas need to play pretty regularly to get 1WAR

For his career Barajas has been worth 7.8 WAR in 3985 Plate Appearances. That's 510 PAs for 1 WAR

Over the last 3 years he's been worth 3.4 WAR in 1214 PA's. 350 PA's for 1 WAR
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Old 12-07-2010, 12:56 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,296,560 times
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Dodgers, Padilla close on new contract | dodgers.com: News

Quote:
The one-year deal [For Vicente Padilla] is believed to be for $2 million, plus incentives.
The Dodgers already have 5 established starters, so could Padilla be headed to the bullpen?

For $2 million he'd be cheap enough. Then, there is the most interesting part of the idea

In his career vs lefties Padilla has:
K/9=5.81, BB/9=4.34, HR/9=1.33, WHIP=1.64
In his career vs righties Padilla has:
K/9=6.65, BB/9=2.03, HR/9=.85, WHIP=1.12

In short, he's MUCH better vs righties than vs lefties.

As a starter he has to face whatever left-handed hitters are in the lineup.

As a reliever he could be brought in to face only right-handed batters.

This'd be a good deal for LA as he could still pitch multiple innings if needed, and make some spot starts but play more to his strength
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Old 12-07-2010, 01:01 PM
 
Location: NE PA
7,931 posts, read 15,815,234 times
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Back when Padilla came up with Arizona and even after being traded to the Phillies, Padilla was being considered as a future closer. Could he be Plan B if (or when) Broxton has another meltdown?
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Old 12-07-2010, 01:11 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,296,560 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by go phillies View Post
Back when Padilla came up with Arizona and even after being traded to the Phillies, Padilla was being considered as a future closer. Could he be Plan B if (or when) Broxton has another meltdown?
Plan C

Kuo is much better than Padilla

In the last 2 years Kuo:
90 innings pitched, 50 hits, 3 HR, 18 ER, 31 walks, 105 K's, 1.80 ERA, 2.31 FIP
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Old 12-07-2010, 04:03 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,296,560 times
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I wanted a good defensive CFer

Twitter / Tom Krasovic: #Dodgers sign outfielder T ...
Quote:
#Dodgers sign outfielder Tony Gwynn Jr. to one year major league deal.
but, one that could hit a little bit. I certainly hope there isn't more than a million bucks involved
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Old 12-07-2010, 05:37 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
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Twitter / Dylan Hernandez: Tony Gwynn Jr.'s deal with ...

Quote:
Tony Gwynn Jr.'s deal with the #Dodgers would be for $675k.
Fair deal. Say goodbye to Xavier Paul
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Old 12-09-2010, 12:55 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,296,560 times
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Source: Los Angeles Dodgers near 1-year deal with Dioner Navarro - ESPN Los Angeles

Quote:
LAKE BUENA VISTA, Fla. -- In a development that probably eliminates any chance two-time All-Star and former Gold Glove catcher Russell Martin will remain with the Los Angeles Dodgers, the club is close to a one-year agreement with the catcher Martin replaced more than four years ago, free agent Dioner Navarro, according to a source with knowledge of the situation who spoke on the condition of anonymity
I don't mind this move. Navarro is coming off of a terrible year, so he should come cheap. I still think he is a talented player.

It'll be interesting to see what he gets. Hopefully another less than $1 million deal
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Old 12-15-2010, 03:25 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,296,560 times
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Twitter / Ken Rosenthal: #Dodgers near-deal with Gu ...

Quote:
#Dodgers near-deal with Guerrier confirmed. Will be $12M over 3 years if it gets completed. Not final yet.
Ridiculous. Guerrier is not much more than an average reliever.

Doesn't strike people out
http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/2061_P_season_mini_1_20101003.png (broken link)

Walk rate isn't spectacular
http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/2061_P_season_mini_2_20101003.png (broken link)

Batted ball rates are nothing special
http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/2061_P_season_mini_9_20101003.png (broken link)

He's been the beneficiary of some extreme low BABIPs. In fact, look how closely his ERA follows his BABIP

http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/2061_P_season_mini_7_20101003.png (broken link)http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/2061_P_season_mini_0_20101003.png (broken link)

2005-2006: Steady BABIP, steady ERA
2007: Low BABIP, low ERA
2008: High BABIP, high ERA
2009: Low BABIP, low ERA
2010: Slightly higher BABIP, slightly higher ERA

Since he doesn't get many K's, most of his pitches are put into play. If the defense catches them, he's fine. If they don't, he's in trouble.

Dodgers have a good infield defense, but a poor outfield defense (unless Gwynn plays a lot of center with Kemp in right and Ethier in left).

Don't like this signing. Too many years for a non-elite pitcher
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Old 12-15-2010, 03:31 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,285 posts, read 15,296,560 times
Reputation: 6658
Quote:
Originally Posted by filihok View Post
Dodgers, Padilla close on new contract | dodgers.com: News



The Dodgers already have 5 established starters, so could Padilla be headed to the bullpen?

For $2 million he'd be cheap enough. Then, there is the most interesting part of the idea

In his career vs lefties Padilla has:
K/9=5.81, BB/9=4.34, HR/9=1.33, WHIP=1.64
In his career vs righties Padilla has:
K/9=6.65, BB/9=2.03, HR/9=.85, WHIP=1.12

In short, he's MUCH better vs righties than vs lefties.

As a starter he has to face whatever left-handed hitters are in the lineup.

As a reliever he could be brought in to face only right-handed batters.

This'd be a good deal for LA as he could still pitch multiple innings if needed, and make some spot starts but play more to his strength
Lots of incentives to this deal

Russell Martin Escapes To New York; Vicente Padilla's Contract Incentives Revealed - True Blue LA

Quote:
Relief Incentives

$250,000 for each of 40 and 50 relief appearances
$500,000 for each of 60, 70, and 80 relief appearances (there have been five Dodgers to pitch 80 games since 2000)
$750,000 for each of 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, and 55 games finished
$150,000 for each of 35 and 45 games in "which he enters games with the Dodgers leading by three or fewer runs" (this is by far my favorite Dodger performance bonus to date)
Starting Incentives

$1 million for 12 starts and 70 innings pitched as a starter*
$1 million for each of 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, and 33 starts
He's likely to earn a lot more than the $2 million
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