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Old 05-30-2012, 08:57 PM
 
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In an earlier posting, I mentioned how bad the Rockies pitching was, and along that vein it was reported today that 49-year old Jamie Moyer has been designated for assignment. In all likelihood his career is over. He sat out all of the 2011 season due to elbow surgery, and I've been critical from the start of the Rockies for hiring him. For the season, he is 2-5 with a 5.70 ERA.
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Old 05-31-2012, 05:47 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,820,918 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike from back east View Post
In an earlier posting, I mentioned how bad the Rockies pitching was, and along that vein it was reported today that 49-year old Jamie Moyer has been designated for assignment. In all likelihood his career is over. He sat out all of the 2011 season due to elbow surgery, and I've been critical from the start of the Rockies for hiring him. For the season, he is 2-5 with a 5.70 ERA.
Moyer looks like the same pitcher that he's been recently.

2011/Career
K% 14.2/14.1
BB% 7.1/6.7
LD% 18.9/19.9
GB% 42.6/39.7
FB% 38.4/40.4

Hardly any difference. The biggest difference is in his BABIP. It's .342 this season and .283 in his career.

Coors field inflates BABIP, especially on flyballs (I don't have the numbers at the minute though). The Rockies got a bunch of pitchers this season that have had low BABIPs (Jeremy Guthrie) hoping (I assume) that they would be able to sustain those low BABIPs. Well, the whole point of BABIP is that pitchers don't control it. The pitchers that the Rockies acquired have, predictably, gotten roughed up.

Now, with Moyer, there is always that possibility that his BABIP is inflated because hitters are making solid contact. His fastball is about 3 miles per hour slower than it was in 2010. A 77 MPH fastball, just might not be good enough for the bigs.

I hope it's not the end for Moyer. Maybe he can get a chance in San Diego or Seattle, places that really help the pitcher. Coors was a worst case scenario for him.
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Old 06-10-2012, 06:53 PM
 
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Well, the Rockies just got swept a 3-game inter-league series with the Angels, and have now lost 5 games in a row. Yuck.

In these past five games, the Rockies were outscored by 44 to 16. Even while scoring EIGHT runs today, they lost, because the pitching today gave up TEN runs to the Angels. When you score 8 runs but still lose it's got to kill the morale of the team.

Rockies have the worst pitching record (ERA) in ALL of baseball.

As far as scoring goes, the Rockies are 4th in RBIs in all of baseball.

The Jamie Moyer experiment failed badly, they let him go, with Moyer garnering a minor league spot with Baltimore.

The Jeff Francis experiment started badly, he only went 3.1 innings in his "debut" yesterday, giving up 8 runs, earning a loss.

I'm surprised that no heads have rolled yet. I'm expecting something to happen by the All Star Break, but who knows...
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Old 06-11-2012, 06:30 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike from back east View Post
Rockies have the worst pitching record (ERA) in ALL of baseball.

As far as scoring goes, the Rockies are 4th in RBIs in all of baseball.
This is why we should consider park factors. Of course a team playing in Coors will have a higher ERA and more RBI than if they weren't playing in Coors.

The Rockies' ERA is 23% worse than the league average.
However, their park adjusted numbers are only about 5% worse than average (FIP- and xFIP-).
Major League Team Stats 2012 Pitchers Advanced Statistics | FanGraphs Baseball

Meanwhile, their adjusted offense (wRC+) comes in at exactly average.
Major League Team Stats 2012 Batters Dashboard | FanGraphs Baseball

Quote:
The Jeff Francis experiment started badly, he only went 3.1 innings in his "debut" yesterday, giving up 8 runs, earning a loss.
He stuck out 5% of batters and walked 5% of batters.
Walking 5% is about what we'd expect. Striking out 5% isn't enough.
His swinging strike percentage was 7%, about what it was last year when he was a totally usable pitcher. It's a small sample, but encouraging.

I don't have his pitch f/x numbers so I can't comment on his pitches.

He generated a lot of groundballs, which is good and what he does.

A .526 BABIP (unless he was totally throwing meatballs) should come down.

I really wanted LA to get Francis instead of Harang or Capuano this year. Those guys have pitched well, so I'm rooting for Francis (somewhat...he is a Rockie afterall).

Quote:
I'm surprised that no heads have rolled yet. I'm expecting something to happen by the All Star Break, but who knows...
As I mentioned earlier, the Rockies plan of getting low BABIP pitchers didn't make a lot of sense.
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Old 06-11-2012, 08:52 AM
 
Location: Greenbelt, MD
8,985 posts, read 6,521,506 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike from back east View Post
Well, the Rockies just got swept a 3-game inter-league series with the Angels, and have now lost 5 games in a row. Yuck.

In these past five games, the Rockies were outscored by 44 to 16. Even while scoring EIGHT runs today, they lost, because the pitching today gave up TEN runs to the Angels. When you score 8 runs but still lose it's got to kill the morale of the team.

Rockies have the worst pitching record (ERA) in ALL of baseball.

As far as scoring goes, the Rockies are 4th in RBIs in all of baseball.

The Jamie Moyer experiment failed badly, they let him go, with Moyer garnering a minor league spot with Baltimore.

The Jeff Francis experiment started badly, he only went 3.1 innings in his "debut" yesterday, giving up 8 runs, earning a loss.

I'm surprised that no heads have rolled yet. I'm expecting something to happen by the All Star Break, but who knows...
I'm an Orioles fan who happened to see this topic on the front page.

Moyer's first outing with Norfolk was a gem. 5 shutout innings and as one writer put it - "pin-point control."

I still think the guy can pitch but time is not on his side. Assuming his next outing is also good I think the Orioles will bring him up.
I'm hoping he just needs a little time to find his rhythm and that the Rockies gave up on him too quickly.

Have to root for the old guys!
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Old 06-20-2012, 08:01 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
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Default Colorado Rockies to go to 4-man rotation

Reeling Rockies go with unconventional four-man rotation - The Denver Post

Quote:
This is what the Rockies' season has come to: The rotation is so bad that the manager would rather see middle relievers soak up important innings than having the opening-day starter perform the task.
In a season defined by surprises and disappointment, Jim Tracy provided both Tuesday, explaining that Jeremy Guthrie was going to the bullpen and that the team was moving forward with four starters on a 75-pitch count.
Rockies' starters
16.5% K, 8.8% BB, 5.15 FIP, 4.44 xFIP, 6.61 tERA, 4.32 SIERA in 342 innings

Rockies' relievers
22.5% K, 9.9% BB, 3.71 FIP, 3.62 xFIP, 4.84 tERA, 3.29 SIERA in 238 innings

Maybe not a bad idea to utilize the teams' best pitchers as much as possible.

The 4 starters will be:
Juan Nicaso: 21%, 8.6%, 3.95, 3.92, 5.40, 3.81
Alex White: 15%, 7.8%, 4.95, 3.99, 6.27, 3.87
Christian Friedrich: 22%, 8.7%, 4.06, 3.79, 5.92, 3.73
Josh Outman: 24%, 9.85, 4.14, 3.35, 5.02, 3.33

No Cy Young candidates but these guys are a lot better than:
Jeremy Guthrie: 11%, 8.1%, 6.72, 5.38, 8.09, 5.09
who is being dropped from the rotation.

Might expect the Rockies' starters to become a bit more productive as they will be facing batters fewer times per game. Not sure how the bullpen will respond to the increased workload.

We'll see how long the 4-man rotation lasts.
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Old 06-20-2012, 11:45 AM
 
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They had to do something, the pitching sucks this year; Rockies score a LOT of runs but lose a LOT of games, and it's the pitching.

I thought they'd wait for the All-Star game to make changes, hire / fire, but better they do something now rather than later. Regardless, I think the season's lost.
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Old 06-20-2012, 10:45 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,820,918 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike from back east View Post
They had to do something, the pitching sucks this year; Rockies score a LOT of runs but lose a LOT of games, and it's the pitching.
It's the park. The hitting is average, the pitching is a bit below average.

Quote:
I thought they'd wait for the All-Star game to make changes, hire / fire, but better they do something now rather than later. Regardless, I think the season's lost.
The front office brought in totally the wrong kinds of pitchers for this season. A bunch of soft-tossing lefties who give up fly balls. That's an exact recipe for disaster in Coors. You need pitchers that limit contact. When a batter hits a ball in Coors it's more likely to be a hit (or homerun) in Coors than in any other stadium in baseball. Best not to let them hit it. Worst to let them hit it in the air.
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Old 08-18-2012, 11:42 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,820,918 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike from back east View Post
The Jeff Francis experiment started badly, he only went 3.1 innings in his "debut" yesterday, giving up 8 runs, earning a loss.
Rockies will likely make push to bring back lefty Jeff Francis - The Denver Post
Quote:
Jeff Francis won't solve the Rockies' myriad pitching woes. He's not the rotation's savior and he's never again going to be an ace like he was during the 2007 World Series season.
But there are strong indications that the club will make a push to bring back the veteran left-hander next season.
Francis hasn't had good results with the Rockies this year. He's 4-4 with an ERA above 6. He has possibly pitched better than that however. His style doesn't seem to be a great match for Coors. He doesn't strike anyone out which means a lot of balls in play. Balls in play turn into hits in Coors field more often than in any other stadium in baseball. The league average BABIP (batting average on balls in play) is .293. Francis' BABIP is .323.

Part of the problem may be Coors, but part of the problem may be Francis. Prior to 2009 Francis had a career .309 BABIP. A bit hight, but considering Coors probably about what should have been expected.

Francis missed 2009 with injury.

Over the next 3 seasons Francis' BABIPS have been .320, .316, .323. He's also lost velocity on his fastball. It's possible that his pitches are more hittable now than they were before his arm troubles.

I like Francis, I advocated for the Dodgers signing him for this season. I don't think he's a good fit for Coors field.

Other notes:
Francis at Coors: 6.99 ERA, 4.75 expected ERA based on K,BB and batted ball rates, .338 BABIP
Francis outside Coors: 5.09 ERA, 4.55 expected ERA, .308 BABIP
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Old 10-08-2012, 11:59 AM
 
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Manager Jim Tracy retired this weekend. The Rockies went 64-98 this year, ending up in last place and stinking up the NL West.

I KNOW that I read somewhere during the season that the team owner gets rid of players who aren't strong evangelical christians. That dude needs a wake up call; this is Major League Baseball, not the church league.
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