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Old 05-18-2012, 05:30 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,888,139 times
Reputation: 6637

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mircea View Post
No. Minor League Baseball would do well get genuine pitchers, who really know how to pitch. Pitching is about style, antics, finesse, ball placement, pitch selection, and variation in pitches, not speed.
Pitching is about getting batters out. All of the above can contribute to that end.
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Old 06-08-2012, 10:02 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,888,139 times
Reputation: 6637
Hard-earned save by Jon Papelbon today.

With a three-run lead Pap entered the game in the 9th with nobody on base. He faced the murderer's row of Nick Johnson, Robert Andino, Endy Chavez and JJ Hardy allowing only a two-out single.

At the point when Papelbon entered the game the Phillies had a less than 5% chance of losing.


Last edited by filihok; 06-08-2012 at 10:22 PM..
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:10 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,888,139 times
Reputation: 6637
In the Mariners/Dodgers game:

Brandon League came in in the 8th inning with runners on 2nd and 3rd with one out and the Mariners up by 1. League certainly had no room for error. A single hit would likely result in 2 runs and the Mariners losing the lead.

He retired both batters without giving up a run.

In the top of the 9th inning Tom Wilhelmsen came in with nobody on and nobody out. He retired the 3 batters that he faced 'saving' the game for the Mariners.

According to Tom Tango's Run Expectancy Matrix,
when League came in the Dodgers were expected to score about 1.5 runs. He held them to 0.
when Wilhelmsen came in the Dodgers were expected to score about .5 runs. He held them to 0 as well.


When League (8th inning) entered the Mariners' chance of winning was just over 50% (compare to Papelbon's and the Phillies' 95% chance)

When Wilhelsen entered (to start the 9th) the Mariners chance of winning was about 86%

I'd say that League's performance was more critical than both Wilhelmsen's and Papelbon's, yet Wilhelmsen and Papelbon earned saves while League did not.

Last edited by filihok; 06-09-2012 at 12:04 AM..
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Old 06-21-2012, 01:18 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,888,139 times
Reputation: 6637
Francisco entered the game with the Mets leading 4-2 in the 9th inning. The Mets' Win Expectancy was 94%. Francisco didn't pitch well, giving up 2 hits, 2 walks and a run, but not the tying run since it was a 2 run lead.

An inning earlier, Bobby Parnell came into the game with the score 4-2 and 1 out with a runner on first. The Mets' Win Expectancy was 87%. Parnell gave up 1 hit and prevented the Orioles from scoring.

Francisco gets a save for his efforts. Parnell does not.
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