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Old 10-08-2012, 08:13 PM
FBJ
 
Location: Tall Building down by the river
39,615 posts, read 50,267,937 times
Reputation: 9451

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The Orioles have to break the game open right now since it's

no outs and a man on base


Wait a min, now it;s 1 out
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Old 10-08-2012, 08:32 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,787,720 times
Reputation: 6636
Quote:
Originally Posted by filihok View Post
I wouldn't let Chen start the 5th inning.

It'll be his 3rd time through the line up. The meat of the Yankees' line up is due up. Ichiro, A-Rod and Cano.

And Chen has a marked difference in his results the 3rd time he faces a hitter.
1st time: .704 OPS
2nd time: .704 OPS
3rd time: .774 OPS

He's been on the ropes all night. The only thing in his favor is that 2 of the 3 scheduled hitters are lefties.
4 pitch inning.

of course
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Old 10-08-2012, 09:09 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,787,720 times
Reputation: 6636
Chen survives thorough the 3rd time through the order.

Now it's time for Darren O'Day.
15% more line drives, 22% less ground balls, 20% more fly balls and 48% more infield flies. 36% less walks and 20% more K's. Should give up 21% less runs than the average AL reliever.
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Old 10-08-2012, 09:17 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,787,720 times
Reputation: 6636
Quote:
Originally Posted by filihok View Post
Chen survives thorough the 3rd time through the order.

Now it's time for Darren O'Day.
15% more line drives, 22% less ground balls, 20% more fly balls and 48% more infield flies. 36% less walks and 20% more K's. Should give up 21% less runs than the average AL reliever.
O'Day gets A-Rod.

Now in Brain Matusz.
2% less line drives, 20% less ground balls, 27% more fly balls, 3X the number of infield flies, 13% less walks and 84% more K's. He should give up runs at 45% the rate of an average AL reliever.

Compare that to his starting numbers
5% less line drives, 10% less ground balls, 16% more fly balls, 9% more infield flies. 28% more walks and 14% less strikeouts. Expected to give up 16% more runs than the average AL starter.
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Old 10-08-2012, 09:19 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,787,720 times
Reputation: 6636
Quote:
Originally Posted by filihok View Post
O'Day gets A-Rod.

Now in Brain Matusz.
2% less line drives, 20% less ground balls, 27% more fly balls, 3X the number of infield flies, 13% less walks and 84% more K's. He should give up runs at 45% the rate of an average AL reliever.

Compare that to his starting numbers
5% less line drives, 10% less ground balls, 16% more fly balls, 9% more infield flies. 28% more walks and 14% less strikeouts. Expected to give up 16% more runs than the average AL starter.
You bring him in to walk Cano. Putting the go-ahead run on base? Yuck.

Then a wild pitch to put the go-ahead run in scoring position. Double yuck.

Went from a 74% Win Expectancy to a 67% WE without the Yankees doing a thing


Survived it, though.
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Old 10-08-2012, 09:44 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,787,720 times
Reputation: 6636
On for the Yanks, David Robertson

10% less line drives, 3% more ground balls, 2% more fly balls and 12% more infield flies. 16% less walks, 49% more K's. 37% less expected runs allowed than the average AL reliever. He's good.
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Old 10-08-2012, 09:55 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,787,720 times
Reputation: 6636
Jim Johnson on to close

21% less line drives, 44% more ground balls, 42% less fly balls, 30% less infield flies. 37% less walks, 29% less K's. And 13% less expected runs.
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Old 10-08-2012, 09:59 PM
FBJ
 
Location: Tall Building down by the river
39,615 posts, read 50,267,937 times
Reputation: 9451
The Orioles with the much needed win
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Old 10-08-2012, 10:04 PM
 
Location: Brooklyn,NY
1,961 posts, read 4,299,936 times
Reputation: 1190
Arod's swings were terrible.
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Old 10-09-2012, 06:26 AM
 
Location: Victoria TX
42,663 posts, read 74,212,583 times
Reputation: 36087
Maddux was a ompletely unrelated play. Maddux ran straight toward the plate, without leaving the direct baseline, but missed the plate and had to go back to it. Missing a base when going directly to it and stepping over it is not all similar in any way to running at least 6 feet out of the baseline, behind the carcher's box. And missing a base is governed by completely different rules from going out of the baseline.

Martinez would be arguable. Martinez was never more than 3 feet from a straight line between 3B and HP, but probably was after eluding the tag. Nevertheless, Martinez was within 3 feet of the baseline at the point of eluding the initial tag. His momentum carried him past the plate, but before reaching the plane of the plate, he stayed within the 3-foot basepath. He didn't need to go further than that, because the catcher was sprawled on the ground and could not chase him.

Last edited by jtur88; 10-09-2012 at 06:38 AM..
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