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Old 02-19-2013, 10:51 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
13,293 posts, read 12,800,524 times
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Baseball America | Blog | Baseball America Prospects Blog | 2013 Top 100 Prospects List

No surprise, Jurickson Profar is the #1.

The Houston Astros have 4 of the top 50.

2 Dodgers in the top 50. Korean starter Hyun-Jin Ryu at 42 and Cuban OFer Yasiel Puig at 47.

The St. Louis Cardinals are also quite well represented with 4 in the top 50
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Old 02-20-2013, 07:15 AM
 
Location: Parts Unknown, Northern California
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I notice that Zack Wheeler is # 11, and the Giants have no one in the top 50. Wheeler is the pitcher Sabean gave up in 2011 for two months, well two months less the three weeks he was on the DL, of Carlos Beltran.

Some info the site provides in case anyone is wondering how meaningful these forecasts are:
Quote:
Of the 1,146 players to be on a Top 100 Prospects list from 1990-2009, 1,020 (89 percent) made the major leagues.

• Top 100 Prospects players have won 29 MVP awards, 19 Cy Young Awards and 38 Rookie of the Year awards.

• Of the 74 2012 all-stars, 49 (66 percent) appeared on a Top 100 Prospects list, and 23 were ranked in the top 10.
Baseball America | Blog | Baseball America Prospects Blog | Top 100 Prospect Tidbits
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Old 02-21-2013, 04:28 AM
 
Location: Bel Air, California
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Twins fans (me) have at last some reason for optimism with 6 players in the top 72 and 2 in the top 10.
Miguel Sano, who they signed as a 16 year old, after much scrutiny concerning his age, has moved up since 2010 from #94 to #60 to #18 to #9. They moved him from ss to 3B and he is apparently still growing, having gained 40 some pounds and there have been talks of even moving him to 1B or OF. Apparently still committing too many errors but may add some desperately needed power to that side of the infield in a couple years.

TwinsCentric: The progress of Miguel Sano | StarTribune.com


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Old 02-22-2013, 04:35 PM
 
Location: Phila Pa
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Two guys I observed a lot in the Marlins organization to watch out for #5 the Cuban defector Jose Fernandez, and #15 Christian Yelich.
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Old 02-23-2013, 09:01 PM
 
Location: Back and Forth FRANCE
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Billy Hamilton(Reds). This guy is the fastest guy in the league. Already broken a few stolen base records. 155 steals in 2012.
I Want to see what Bundy, Gausman do for the Orioles. But Hamilton seems like someone who will be fun to watch.
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Old 02-23-2013, 11:38 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jermaine88 View Post
Billy Hamilton(Reds). This guy is the fastest guy in the league. Already broken a few stolen base records. 155 steals in 2012.
I Want to see what Bundy, Gausman do for the Orioles. But Hamilton seems like someone who will be fun to watch.
He's got to get on base in order to steal bases.
He's got to play enough defense to stay in the line up.

Neither of those things are assured.
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Old 04-02-2013, 11:33 PM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by filihok View Post
Filihok: Debut Review: Hyun-Jin Ryu


Quote:
Hyun-Jin Ryu's first major league appearance was...

...interesting.


He went 6 and a third innings. That's good.

He gave up 1 earned run. That's good.

He didn't walk anybody. That's good.

He struck out 5. That's good.

He induced 11 groundballs and only 3 fly balls. That's good.

He gave up 10 hits. That's not so good.

He only had a single 1-2-3 inning. That's not so good.

He gave up 2 unearned runs. Not so good.


The overall numbers on Ryu might look ok: 0 - 1 with a 1.42 ERA, 7.1 K/9 and a infinite K/BB ration. But we know he didn't pitch that well. Using Tom Tango's Batted Ball FIP, Ryu would have been expected to give up 3.64 runs per 9 innings. That's certainly doable. That's mostly due to the high number of groundballs (11 of 20 batted balls, 55%). 6 line drives (30%) is pretty high. That'll have to come down. Too many Giant hitters were squaring him up. If he keeps getting hit like that, he won't be successful.

Ryu faced 26 hitters and K'd 5 of them. That's 19%. The average NL starter (they get to face pitchers while AL pitchers face DH's) K'd 19.2% of the hitters they faced last season. So Ryu is right about average in that (through 1 game). The walk rate is great (through 1 game).

Ryu induced 9 swings and misses - 11% of Ryu's pitches induced a swing and miss. Major league average last year was 9%. Again, Ryu looks about average with his stuff.

Ryu threw 80 pitches. 55 were strikes. That's a 69% rate. All major league starters through strikes 63% of the time last season. Ryu threw a good number of strikes, not a great number. Not a number that would make one think that Ryu would go the entire season without walking a batter.

According to Brooks Baseball, Ryu threw:
43 4-seam fastballs. They averaged 89.2 MPH with the fastest coming in at 92.3 MPH
7 2-seam fastaballs. They averaged 89.5 MPH with the fastest coming in at 91.4 MPH
23 changeups. They averaged 80.8 MPH. That's about an 8 MPH difference from his fastball.
7 curveballs. They averaged 69.9 MPH.

The changeup was tabbed as Ryu's best pitch. He threw it 23 times and Giant hitters swung and missed 4 times (18%).

Felix Hernandez also has a pretty good changeup. Hitters have swung on and missed Felix's changeup about 20.5% of the time in his career.

So Ryu's not Felix Hernandez. I don't think anyone expected that.

Ryu looked like an average to slightly above pitcher with his command and ability to generate swings and misses. If he can continue getting ground balls that translates into a pretty good pitcher.

If he keeps giving up line drives it's going to be a rough season.
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Old 04-03-2013, 07:06 AM
 
Location: Parts Unknown, Northern California
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On the plus side, all ten of the hits which Ryu surrendered were singles. He's an extra base hit prevention machine.
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