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Old 09-03-2013, 01:57 PM
Status: "Enjoying the extended daylight." (set 4 days ago)
 
Location: Suburban Dallas
46,820 posts, read 37,004,105 times
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^^^ But let's get back to the NL now. I just don't buy into the idea that the league is a snoozer in the field of play this year. And we've also got to get to the Wild Card races, too, and see how those will stack up when playoff teams get set. Really, there's going to be some drama and some surprises when we get to the playoffs; we just won't know until then. Only one NL division has a real race going on, so we'll be watching that one.
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Old 09-04-2013, 01:22 PM
 
Location: Seattle, Washington
2,533 posts, read 3,954,169 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post

It's important for the Braves that they retain top seed. They have the best W-L record at home and the worst W-L record (among division leaders) on the road. To improve their chances of a win, they need to be at home.
Absolutely... I'm tempted to sign up for the last month of MLB.TV just so I can watch the Braves on the home stretch to home field advantage.

They need it!!!

LOL
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Old 09-06-2013, 02:57 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
13,650 posts, read 8,565,244 times
Reputation: 19858
Quote:
Originally Posted by J.P. View Post
Second best division. AL East is still the best. Even the 4th place Yankees are nine over .500.
True, but does that prove something? Maybe not.
After all 76 games are played within the division; 66 out of the division and only 20 outside the league, so playing a bunch of crummy teams has the same effect as simply being stronger yourself.

We'll find out though. End of regular season we'll find out.
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Old 09-07-2013, 07:58 AM
 
Location: Parts Unknown, Northern California
40,869 posts, read 18,557,746 times
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...and five days later the wild card wannabees outside the NL Central have lost another game. Now the closest team is eight games back and there are five fewer games left in which to try and make up the difference. Washington's estimated chance of reaching the post season has now fallen to 1 %.
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Old 09-07-2013, 12:24 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
13,650 posts, read 8,565,244 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Grandstander View Post
...and five days later the wild card wannabees outside the NL Central have lost another game. Now the closest team is eight games back and there are five fewer games left in which to try and make up the difference. Washington's estimated chance of reaching the post season has now fallen to 1 %.
Are you sensing a little friction in the Nats dugout? Werth and Desmond seems to be the team leaders, and that's a good thing - they are both great players. But I see signs that not everyone buys into their kind of in-your-face baseball. I know Werth gave Gio Gonzales hell for refusing to hit a Braves player after Teheran (Braves) plunked Harper.
And friction costs ballgames, I think. Team spirit wins them, sometimes, but friction can lose games.
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Old 09-09-2013, 09:01 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
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Wow. National League Central division is anything but a snoozer. Might just boil down to a few games or an injury somewhere.......
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Old 09-09-2013, 11:42 PM
 
Location: Parts Unknown, Northern California
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The reigning champs were officially dethroned tonight. Despite defeating Colorado, the Giants were eliminated by LA's win over Arizona.
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Old 09-10-2013, 12:15 AM
 
Location: Trumbull/Danbury
6,536 posts, read 4,488,527 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Grandstander View Post
When I started this thread on August 12th the closest any of the non leading teams to a post season spot was 5.5 games back. Three weeks later the closet any of the non leading NL teams is 7 games back. Arizona lost a game and a half, Washington gained a game and a half, but the leaders have actually put even more distance between them and the hopes of any other teams.

If the Nationals can continue to gain a game and a half every three weeks, then in only seven and a half weeks they will have tied for the wild card. Of course by then the post season will be in its third week of play.

The Nats chance to gain on the Reds was the past week when the Reds played the Cardinals and Dodgers. They went 6-1, Nats went 5-2 vs. the Phillies & Marlins and actually lost 2 games since last Sunday on the Reds. Nats best hope is for Pittsburgh taking now, but after these next 2 with the Rangers, their schedule really opens up (Brewers, Cubs and Reds twice).
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Old 09-10-2013, 05:36 PM
 
Location: Parts Unknown, Northern California
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The Nationals are seven games back with 19 games left. They have a 2.4 % chance of making the post season.

Of note, the quality division between those five NL teams which have had the post season slots locked up for a month now, is reflected not just in their won/loss records, but also in that they are the only five NL teams who have outscored their opponents.

Cardinals..+ 147
Braves..+ 133
Reds..+ 107
Dodgers..+75
Pirates..+40
_____________

The other ten teams have all been outscored by their opponents, the next best scoring differentials are:
Nationals.. -3
Diamondbacks.. -7
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Old 09-10-2013, 08:56 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
13,650 posts, read 8,565,244 times
Reputation: 19858
Quote:
Originally Posted by Grandstander View Post
The Nationals are seven games back with 19 games left. They have a 2.4 % chance of making the post season.

Of note, the quality division between those five NL teams which have had the post season slots locked up for a month now, is reflected not just in their won/loss records, but also in that they are the only five NL teams who have outscored their opponents.

Cardinals..+ 147
Braves..+ 133
Reds..+ 107
Dodgers..+75
Pirates..+40
_____________

The other ten teams have all been outscored by their opponents, the next best scoring differentials are:
Nationals.. -3
Diamondbacks.. -7
Good way to look at it.

I use average runs per game (same thing), and when you do that the Red Sox shine at 5.22 runs.
But in the National League it's Cards at 4.81
MLB Stats - MLB Team Runs per Game on TeamRankings.com
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