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Old 02-20-2014, 10:16 PM
Location: Parts Unknown, Northern California
40,823 posts, read 18,553,245 times
Reputation: 18653


I finished reading the 2014 Baseball Prospectus the other day and as they always do, they concluded with the presentation of their ranking of the top 100 prospects in the minors.

I have all the BP's going back to 2002, so it struck me that it might be interesting, now that we have hindsight on our side, to revisit their picks from the past.

For the 2002 season they listed their top 40 prospects. The top 15: (Career ML WAR to date listed, no longer active bolded)
1) Hank Blalock 13.5
2) Josh Beckett 33.5
3) Sean Burroughs 5.5
4) Nick Johnson 14.6
5) Wilson Betemitt 3.1
6) Carlos Pena 25.6
7) Joe Borchard -1.5
8) Juan Cruz 5.1
9) Marlon Byrd 20.9
10) Mark Teixeira 47.6
11) Dennis Tankersly -1.8
12) Jacob Peavy 35.2
13) Austin Kearns 12.9
14) Mark Prior 15.7
15) Brandon Phillips 24.2

16 was Adrian Gonzalez, Michael Cuddyer who just won a surprise batting title was 18. Future MVP Justin Morneau was 29, just behind Rafael Soriano.

The next most distinctive names on the list are tied for the 40th spot....Carl Crawford and Josh Hamilton.

Joe Mauer appears on their Honorable Mention list.

I think that we have to give them high marks for their selections. All of their top 15 choices did make it to the big leagues, Beckett, Teixeira and Peavy have been frequent All Stars, only Borchard and Tankersly could be called complete busts.

Jack Cust was the # 20 pick, BP's comment on him included.."If you've longed for the days when Greg Luzinski and Lonnie Smith put a thrill into the mundane act of catching a routine fly ball, then you are going to find Cust a treat."

Having watched Cust when he was an A, I know what they meant. Even though most of his career was at as a DH, in the 231 games in which he did take his glove to the outfield, he managed to compile -6.4 defensive WAR.

If any of this is found interesting, over time I'll look at their selections from the following years.
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