U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > U.S. Forums > Oregon > Bend
 [Register]
Bend Deschutes County
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 09-15-2018, 10:34 AM
 
2,767 posts, read 3,455,224 times
Reputation: 2118

Advertisements

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/

Warmer than normal. Dry start of winter, then turning toward average precipitation.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 09-15-2018, 10:58 AM
 
2,358 posts, read 2,831,623 times
Reputation: 3443
Long range forecast are fun to look at but they aren't very reliable.

https://snowbrains.com/noaas-useless...r-outlook-usa/

Quote:
Donít get me wrong, NOAA is great. Really great. But their long term winter forecasting hasnít been impressive the past 5 years. Nobodyís has. But that doesnít stop all of us from getting excited about seeing a winter forecast in July and it never will.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-16-2018, 11:52 AM
 
2,767 posts, read 3,455,224 times
Reputation: 2118
Yes, NOAA is not very reliable, largely because the weather isn't. But the headline "most useless" forecast is a little extreme. The NOAA article mentioned within this article says they were way better than random guess on temperature and slightly better than random on precipitation. Did anyone do better? Until I find them, I'll look at NOAA, knowing it is a guess but one of the most researched and probably one of the better ones.


At minimum, if you are interested in the topic, it is better to know how to get to NOAA's long range forecast than not.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-17-2018, 11:12 AM
 
Location: Bend OR
625 posts, read 448,115 times
Reputation: 1007
yesterday..... dry and dusty in Bend, raining in the mountains just a few miles away. In fact a few rain drops occasionally being blown our way.
The Bend weather pattern definitely complicates any predictions applying to Bend itself.
I am finally figuring out that my home weather station predicting rain might just be picking up the weather over the crest, just a few miles away, but we will be sunny and just watching the ominous "Wall-o-weather" looming to the West.


tr1090361RainInTheMountains by Thom I, on Flickr
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-17-2018, 05:25 PM
 
2,358 posts, read 2,831,623 times
Reputation: 3443
As the crow flies Bend is roughly 20 miles from the mountains. There are micro-climates along the way and all around us. Makes forecasting with accuracy a major challenge and long range forecasting nearly impossible.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Options
X
Data:
Loading data...
Based on 2000-2016 data
Loading data...

123
Hide US histogram

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > U.S. Forums > Oregon > Bend
View detailed profiles of:
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2018, Advameg, Inc.

City-Data.com - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35 - Top