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Old 10-14-2014, 09:01 PM
 
Location: Hawaii-Puna District
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Here is the most current view of the various forecast models. Only one looks slightly promising.




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Old 10-14-2014, 09:10 PM
 
Location: Moku Nui, Hawaii
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Too bad they don't specify what all the alphabet soup indicates. COTC? GFDN? DFDL? Etc.
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Old 10-14-2014, 10:57 PM
 
Location: Southernmost tip of the southernmost island in the southernmost state
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hotzcatz View Post
Too bad they don't specify what all the alphabet soup indicates. COTC? GFDN? DFDL? Etc.

Here's a link to make sense of them

Hurricane Forecast Model Output :: [Model Identifiers]
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Old 10-15-2014, 12:30 PM
 
Location: Hawaii-Puna District
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Hopefully, some positive news on this storm. It is showing signs of tracking further south and west of where the estimates were a couple of days ago.

- - - - - -

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Old 10-15-2014, 12:57 PM
 
Location: Kahala
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mdand3boys View Post
Hopefully, some positive news on this storm. It is showing signs of tracking further south and west of where the estimates were a couple of days ago.
That is a far worse case scenario - much worse.

Not only is the BI potentially impacted greatly more so than Iselle (strongest winds are northwest, directly at Puna), it now is tracking for a huge impact on Oahu and potentially greater impact on Kauai.
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Old 10-15-2014, 11:17 PM
 
Location: Na'alehu Hawaii/Buena Vista Colorado
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I think that if it heads south, there's less chance of the mountains breaking up the storm. I'm hearing reports of potentially 10 to 20 foot high waves in both Puna and Ka'u. And a storm surge of up to four feet.
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Old 10-16-2014, 12:22 AM
 
Location: Pahoa Hawaii
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This evening Guy Hagi, weatherman, (KGMB) said up to 40' waves ! Guess we'll see.
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Old 10-16-2014, 01:40 AM
 
Location: mainland but born oahu
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dreaming of Hawaii View Post
I think that if it heads south, there's less chance of the mountains breaking up the storm. I'm hearing reports of potentially 10 to 20 foot high waves in both Puna and Ka'u. And a storm surge of up to four feet.
I will be concerned for you all with possible highwinds and the lavaflow, its a great potential for a runaway fire or fires.
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Old 10-16-2014, 01:56 AM
 
Location: Pahoa Hawaii
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Not much chance of fire with the consistant rain. The latest brush fire was mostly in Uluhe fern, burning towards Ainaloa which burned dramatically. but did no real damage, only adding a little ash fertilizer. We're more worried about being cut off, maybe for years.
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