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Old 01-30-2007, 03:47 PM
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Default This real estate bubble thing is easy to understand!

Just had a brainstorm! The size of the real estate bubble is related to the size of the national debt versus GNP. If you look at historical data this is always true. Bad news though, unless more products are produced domestically it looks like the real estate bubble will never truly deflate. Our nation is in seriously bad trouble.......
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Old 01-30-2007, 05:41 PM
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Originally Posted by tallrick View Post
Just had a brainstorm! The size of the real estate bubble is related to the size of the national debt versus GNP. If you look at historical data this is always true. Bad news though, unless more products are produced domestically it looks like the real estate bubble will never truly deflate. Our nation is in seriously bad trouble.......
Ummm...could you elaborate a little on this please? How do you think the real estate bubble correlates to the size of the national debt and GNP?

How do you figure the real estate bubble will never truly deflate unless more products are produced domestically?
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Old 01-30-2007, 05:58 PM
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Bad news though, unless more products are produced domestically it looks like the real estate bubble will never truly deflate. Our nation is in seriously bad trouble.......
how does the creation of more jobs cause the bubble to deflate?
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Old 01-30-2007, 06:01 PM
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how does the creation of more jobs cause the bubble to deflate?
Thank you...I was wondering that myself...................
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Old 01-30-2007, 07:14 PM
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No no no no. It's even simpler:

More immigrants = lower housing supply = higher real estate costs.
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Old 01-30-2007, 07:28 PM
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Deportation of all illegals=lower housing costs
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Old 01-30-2007, 08:14 PM
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The reason real estate bubbles up is because the US dollar loses value due to deficit spending. Foreign investment increases, real estate inflates, very simple!
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Old 01-31-2007, 03:50 AM
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What I heard is speculators were driving the price. Low interest rates fueled this. Theres still speculation going on in some of the more affordable cities
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Old 01-31-2007, 08:37 AM
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See how the latest explosions in debt follow the current real estate bubble?
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Old 01-31-2007, 11:28 AM
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That isn't enough to prove causation, though.

I'm not saying the theory is necessarily wrong (although it may be), just that we don't have enough data here to confirm it.

Ice cream sales and crime both spike at the same time---but ice cream sales don't CAUSE the spike in crime. They both just increase in the summer months due to other factors.
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