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01-07-2009, 01:13 PM
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Cantankerous
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Los Angeles Area
3,306 posts, read 1,148,368 times
Reputation: 592
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Suckers rally over?
How long do you think the current sucker's rally will last? Or of course do you think the current rally is here to stay.
Its down today, so this could be the end of it. But it could turn around pretty easily. I would be surprised if the S & P went much past 1000.
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01-07-2009, 07:12 PM
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Stand Up For Yourself; Express Yourself
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Join Date: Feb 2008
779 posts, read 384,772 times
Reputation: 113
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It looks like crap to me; I think investors are smarter than this. Apparently, many are buying based on the belief that huge government spending will bring the country out of recession. Well, spending is paid for with taxes and high taxes don't bring countries out of recession, they make them worse and they take a lot of the steam out of recoveries.
Others believe, it is all about "perception." So, if we can just make people believe the economy will recover, then it will. This of course, is nonsense 
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01-07-2009, 07:47 PM
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Didactic Member
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Hunkering down atop Mt Shasta
1,228 posts, read 1,095,723 times
Reputation: 303
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It'll probably go up around Inauguration Day and maybe for a little while after that, until investors finally start noticing a few weeks from now that some of the corporation they're in have filed for bankruptcy, and U6 unemployment is creeping toward 30%.
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01-07-2009, 08:32 PM
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Senior Member
Status:
"I didn't take the "Blue" pill"
(set 28 days ago)
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Great State of Texas
11,143 posts, read 4,149,165 times
Reputation: 2257
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Didn't you know ? Obama promises to save the economy. The world will be bright and wonderful and "fixed" on 1/21/2009.
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01-07-2009, 08:41 PM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Fort Myers Fl
1,226 posts, read 593,244 times
Reputation: 344
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I am enjoying this market. A traders paradise. This month should be a good chance to make money.
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01-07-2009, 09:27 PM
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part-time ninja
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Keller, TX
797 posts, read 507,288 times
Reputation: 224
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thebigr
I am enjoying this market. A traders paradise. This month should be a good chance to make money.
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Agreed, I like the way many days the market seems to generally pick a direction and go with it. Made a modest $153 today after commissions on a $3000 trade in DUG. Look what happened to crude after the supply report.
Sucker's rally? That nomenclature doesn't mean much to me, but I remain a trader, not an investor, in the equities market. I wouldn't go long OR short anything past the bell right now.
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01-07-2009, 09:49 PM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Los Angeles, Ca
1,046 posts, read 633,360 times
Reputation: 638
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Technically, it doesn't look good.
The Dow needs to break it's november high. And the S&P has a long ways to go, another 100 points to break 1,000.
Maybe it meanders around until inauguration. Then people realize the stimulus is faultering, and weak. And unemployment keeps creeping up. Then a retest of the november bottom.
But this "rally" looks like a pittance on a long term chart.
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01-07-2009, 09:51 PM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Fort Myers Fl
1,226 posts, read 593,244 times
Reputation: 344
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepenthe
Agreed, I like the way many days the market seems to generally pick a direction and go with it. Made a modest $153 today after commissions on a $3000 trade in DUG. Look what happened to crude after the supply report.
Sucker's rally? That nomenclature doesn't mean much to me, but I remain a trader, not an investor, in the equities market. I wouldn't go long OR short anything past the bell right now.
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When I started in the market over twenty years I was an investor. Being a hyperactive person putting my money in a position and holding it just was not working for me. My mother, knowing me well and with alot of experiance in the market suggested I try being a trader. Best advice I ever took, like the stress and doing pretty well. And I must say, the last 3 or 4 months have been very good. Would not bother me a bit if we had another year of this market. 
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01-07-2009, 10:53 PM
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Senior Member
Status:
"I didn't take the "Blue" pill"
(set 28 days ago)
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Great State of Texas
11,143 posts, read 4,149,165 times
Reputation: 2257
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I'm an investor and this is just not my market !
I did buy Walmart months ago and that seems to be holding up pretty good.
I'm doing research though on the companies to pick out some strong ones that might thrive in a recession and have solid balance sheets and have a nice watch list to look at everyday.
I think there's alot of hope riding on Obama and the markets will ride this for a few months..through the spring at least, maybe into the summer.
The Dow today didn't fall much considering ADP announced that almost 700K jobs were lost in December. That's a pretty big number to just shrug off but the Obama rescue is playing hard.
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01-07-2009, 11:06 PM
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Do Not Steal, the socialists hate competition
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Here today, gone tomorrow
5,613 posts, read 2,694,680 times
Reputation: 1297
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Really, you think it will rally in the spring time? I do know that traditionally there is a honeymoon period with stocks after a new president takes over but to be honest... the Obama plans seem to make the situation worse than help, I am predicting losses and that the honeymoon period is cushioning it but as I said, I see the Obama plans almost tearing up the stock market... I expect heavy losses perhaps as low as 5000-6000 in DOW sometime this year... I guess we will wait and see...
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