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Old 10-22-2009, 12:40 PM
Destroyer of Limbaugh Loonies & F#x Fools
Status: "Bring the Bush/Cheney war criminals to justice!" (set 24 days ago)
 
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Default Worse housing collapse in 2010


YouTube - The Housing Collapse of 2010 Will Be Worse Than 2008

Resetting Alt-A's and Options ARMs could make 2010 worse than 2008. The implications for the economy are pretty scary.
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Old 10-22-2009, 01:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by geos View Post

The implications for the economy are pretty scary.
Scary is a once great and proud country whose ruling class and citizens let themselves and a critical mass live irresponsibly for too many years.

Reassuring is, or at least would be, a gradual return to the basics, living according to such time-tested formulas as current revenues - current expenses = income.

A good portion of that excess stock of housing should be converted to bakeries, small textile and footwear factories, wood shops and metal shops, for example, even in the midst of so-called residential neighborhoods, and the incomes of the workers - who could sleep on the top floors - should reflect the real economic value of their labor - village people, like it used to be.

Of course unemployment is still rising, there are still too many pencil pushers and ambulance chasers out there trying to steal a larger piece of the pie rather than contributing real work to expand it.

Aaaamen!

Last edited by bale002; 10-22-2009 at 01:48 PM..
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Old 10-22-2009, 01:42 PM
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I wonder if this is a way to start another crash for the speculators going short on housing.
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Old 10-22-2009, 01:54 PM
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Um, folks, that piece is from nearly a year ago.

Definitely not going to say "everything is rosy now", but it does not take an especially sinister minded person to think that maybe folks like Mr. Tilson sorta kick themselves that they have not been able to make the deals that a Warren Buffet has and maybe they sorta try to milk the headlines to raise their profile (and maybe their funds under management too...)

1440 Wall Street
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Old 10-22-2009, 02:08 PM
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Time to buy commodities, precious metals, ammo, canned goods....? Hopefully I can time the shifting of 401(k) investment allocations better this time around...when might we see things start sliding again?

Dow 6700...??
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Old 10-22-2009, 02:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Shuffler View Post
Time to buy commodities, precious metals, ammo, canned goods....? Hopefully I can time the shifting of 401(k) investment allocations better this time around...when might we see things start sliding again?

Dow 6700...??
I'm buying lumber and land in South America, easier to construct a dwelling and grow fresh food under warmer temperatures than take nasty dumps on canned food then freeze it off up north.

Hahahaha!!!
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Old 10-22-2009, 02:24 PM
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So wait...


what you're saying is, there's gonna be a mortgage crisis???




When that comes, I'll bet it'll take down ALL the big banks.
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Old 10-22-2009, 03:52 PM
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http://www.city-data.com/forum/busin...-bust-2-a.html

Actually we've been talking about this issue for some time.
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Old 10-22-2009, 04:12 PM
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Not going to happen, the government and FED has made it clear they are going to support the housing market. They can't keep prices inflated forever, but they can drag out the correction for many years Japanese style.

The rapid collapse seen in 2008 was actually atypical, real estate is usually pretty sticky. Nobody wants to buy when prices are declining 2~3% a month, but most don't notice if prices decline .3~.5% a month.
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Old 10-22-2009, 04:17 PM
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They havent done much to support the housing market to date. What are you expecting the Fed to do?
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