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Old 04-05-2012, 06:03 AM
 
Location: The 12th State
22,974 posts, read 58,642,963 times
Reputation: 14932

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The last couple days noticing how the Iris already blooming (its a typical May flower) and the 80 degrees days had me thinking it is going to be a scorching Summer with possible drought conditions and alot of Hurricanes.

However reading to news stories this morning my guessing may be wrong.

The article mentions.
Quote:
In reality the Jetstream retreats north during the summer and really never plays a huge role in our weather in the Carolinas. The main driving forth is the sub-tropical high off the east coast of the U.S.This is called the “Bermuda high” which depending on the position can mean a hot dry summer or a mild and wet summer.
The article shows that there is no connection between warm Winter to Summer it also gives stats of Charlotte warmest Summers & Winters.
Warm Winter Does Not Equal Warm Summer | @wxbrad Blog

I also saw this article that states there will be fewer hurricanes.
Forecasters predict fewer hurricanes this year - CNN.com
Now this one Im questioning and will have to wait and see. IMO the water is warm and warmer more northern in the Atlantic it just seems to me this ripe for Hurricanes.
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Old 04-05-2012, 06:49 AM
 
Location: Wouldn't you like to know?
9,114 posts, read 15,684,436 times
Reputation: 3695
i agree that there is no correlation between a warm winter and a warm(er) summer.

Regarding hurricane predictions, its almost impossible to get this right.
Reason being, 1. you have to be accurate on NUMBER of hurricanes predicted. Also, if you get the # correct, there's a chance that many hurricanes in atlantic don't even make landfall in US....how many times have hurricanes made the hard turn to Bermuda or hit Latin America instead of US? Plenty....

I don't pay attention to hurricane predictions at all....
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Old 04-05-2012, 10:16 AM
 
9,585 posts, read 8,898,326 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CouponJack View Post
i agree that there is no correlation between a warm winter and a warm(er) summer.

Regarding hurricane predictions, its almost impossible to get this right.
Reason being, 1. you have to be accurate on NUMBER of hurricanes predicted. Also, if you get the # correct, there's a chance that many hurricanes in atlantic don't even make landfall in US....how many times have hurricanes made the hard turn to Bermuda or hit Latin America instead of US? Plenty....

I don't pay attention to hurricane predictions at all....

Agree...hurricane predictions equal USELESS!
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Old 04-06-2012, 05:16 AM
 
218 posts, read 441,561 times
Reputation: 100
They should just talk about either active or not active seasons, coming up with an exact number is futile.
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Old 04-06-2012, 09:14 AM
 
Location: Union County
5,789 posts, read 8,441,860 times
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Why are hurricane predictions any different from any other weather modeling that we all rely on? i.e. checking the forecast
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