03-31-2016, 08:58 AM
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I strongly believe a higher percentage would take a short walkable train/town core western springs/la grange location (still awesome schoools) over a further out hinsdale home where you need to drive to get into town or to train for work commute. Speaking at the 1m budget...
I would avoid oakbrook burr ridge - they are not in the same league when considering all elements, more than just schools...
When we searched we took each town core and drew a .5m radius for that micro area - also putting us in desirable historic districts...
04-01-2016, 11:02 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
chet everett
I am probably one of the strongest advocates for folks that relocate to the broader Chicago region with school-aged kids given serious thought to the most desirable school districts and I fully agree that any home in D181 will be an excellent situation from both the educational needs of kids of school age and a smart financial move for their parents.
That said, I also think that LK's point about finding a community that makes sense for your situation is excellent, though given the horrendous fiscal issues of Illinois it is important to understand that "future values" are almost certainly going to see some horrendous headwinds -- it is not just that the corrupt practices of Illinois political insiders have made pensions into a ticking time bomb, it is that the very foundation of public financing of education in Illinois is really on the precipice of disaster. Despite solid property values in nice towns like those served by D181 the majority of Illinois schools are thisclose to financial ruin and the power-brokers preferred methods of addressing these problems will NOT be friendly to folks in affluent areas -- it will result in more money being shifted from local resources and into the coffers controlled by the long time power hungry tyrants. The way I see things playing out it is frankly foolhardy to think that you'll have any shot at all of parlaying a costly home into a "custom dream home" down the road in 3-5 years unless you have wealth of the kind only associated massive stock grants --
Google chief’s pay tops $100M in first year | New York Post
The relative drop in value that I expect to be a widespread result of the needs to boost revenues controlled by Illinois corrupt political power brokers may actually be less profound in towns with a wider range of home prices -- that would include the still very desirable towns like LaGrange and Western Springs. The fact is BNSF travel from those towns is even speedier than from Hinsdale. Of course there is not exactly of surplus of ready to move in 5Br homes in either of those towns even for folks with a $1M++ budget...
A pull back in local real estate prices over the next few years is not necessarily a bad thing for the OP even if they buy now (or any others looking to move up to a larger more expensive home in the near future). In fact, for move up buyers a pull back is a financial BENEFIT assuming they have enough cash for a down payment on the future purchase and they stay in the same market. Consider the following example:
1. BUY $1,000,000 home in 2016
2. Market depreciates by 15% over the next 5 years
3. SELL home purchased in 2016 for $850,000 ($150,000 loss) in 2021 but at the same time BUY a larger more expensive home for $1,700,000 (which would have cost $2,000,000 in 2016).
So the buyer lost $150k on the first purchase but SAVED $300k on the next purchase (net $150k gain). Looks like a win-win assuming the buyer has enough cash for the down payment on the second purchase.
04-01-2016, 11:09 AM
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And, yes, it is hard to find a decent 5 bedroom home in Hinsdale for around $1M, which is why I am considering adding on to my current residence rather than moving (I'd be content with 4 bedrooms). As mentioned above, for me, it depends on how the market performs over the next few years. If real estate prices continue climbing, it's a slam dank to pull out some equity through a home equity loan at a fixed rate (which are still very low) to cover the expansion/reno costs. If real estate prices decline significantly, I would likely sell and move to a larger more expensive home that would otherwise be priced above my current budget but more affordable with a drop in prices. I already have a sizeable amount of equity built up and decent cash savings so I am not overly concerned about the future down payment if we were to move.
04-01-2016, 11:37 AM
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Hinsdale is one of the most expensive towns in Chicagoland. It's probably the most expensive area, excepting Gold Coast/Lincoln Park and the very best parts of Winnetka/Kenilworth/Glencoe. So obviously you aren't going to get a ton of product.
$1.2 million means you have a bigger budget than the VAST majority of people, but you still aren't going to get something in perfect condition/size/location for a five bedroom at that price. You are looking at the top 1% of areas, and then looking for a somewhat unusual type of house within that area.
Luckily, with such a big budget, you can go to a somewhat cheaper suburb and have your pick of almost everything. But in Hinsdale you'll probably need to compromise.
04-01-2016, 11:51 AM
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Your math neglects to consider reality ...
Quote:
Originally Posted by
My Kind Of Town
A pull back in local real estate prices over the next few years is not necessarily a bad thing for the OP even if they buy now (or any others looking to move up to a larger more expensive home in the near future). In fact, for move up buyers a pull back is a financial BENEFIT assuming they have enough cash for a down payment on the future purchase and they stay in the same market. Consider the following example:
1. BUY $1,000,000 home in 2016
2. Market depreciates by 15% over the next 5 years
3. SELL home purchased in 2016 for $850,000 ($150,000 loss) in 2021 but at the same time BUY a larger more expensive home for $1,700,000 (which would have cost $2,000,000 in 2016).
So the buyer lost $150k on the first purchase but SAVED $300k on the next purchase (net $150k gain). Looks like a win-win assuming the buyer has enough cash for the down payment on the second purchase.
If you had any experience with folks that were underwater as recently as 5 or so years ago you might understand that buyers are responsible for the amount of the mortgage they took out -- one does not merely lose their down payment when the value of their home falls, one must also cover the indebtedness they incurred on the mortgage if they want to purchase another home. Even if the lender agrees to a short sale the seller would likely not be allowed to finance a replacement home regardless of how much cash they managed to hide from the lender swallowing the short sale...
It makes much sense for anyone in the OP's situation to focus on home that will serve their longer term needs regardless of market fluctuations.
04-01-2016, 11:57 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
chet everett
If you had any experience with folks that were underwater as recently as 5 or so years ago you might understand that buyers are responsible for the amount of the mortgage they took out -- one does not merely lose their down payment when the value of their home falls, one must also cover the indebtedness they incurred on the mortgage if they want to purchase another home. Even if the lender agrees to a short sale the seller would likely not be allowed to finance a replacement home regardless of how much cash they managed to hide from the lender swallowing the short sale...
It makes much sense for anyone in the OP's situation to focus on home that will serve their longer term needs regardless of market fluctuations.
Assuming the OP makes a min 20% down payment on the first purchase, there is no need for a short sale and they would not be underwater unless real estate prices drop more than 20% from current levels. Considering this market hasn't experienced the same big comeback (some say bubble) as other markets throughout the country, I highly doubt it drops more than 20% over the next few years unless the country falls into another great recession/depression.
You are using a once-a-generation collapse as the basis for disputing my example. I'll take the odds that we don't experience that same type of collapse over the next few years over the odds we do.
I should add it sounds like the OP has a sizeable sum of cash available for this and any future purchase based on their previous posts so I am assuming the down payment conditions I outlined are valid. There are cases where a down payment of less than 20% makes sense, but generally this only exposes one to higher risk (if real estate prices drop), higher interest rates, and PMI so it's typically not advisable.
Last edited by My Kind Of Town; 04-01-2016 at 12:50 PM ..
04-08-2016, 09:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
tolovefromANFIELD
Hard to view this as a credible source when it states sold prices have appreciated by 31% in the past year in Hinsdale.
04-09-2016, 06:30 PM
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Respecctfully, as someone active in real estate for over three decades, I have never seen a listing in Hinsdale from "Bowers Realty", which apparently is located in Plainfield, a rather different market.
I might suggest a wee grain salt for their conclusions --
04-10-2016, 10:06 AM
Location: In a city within a state where politicians come to get their PHDs in Corruption
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
chet everett
Respecctfully, as someone active in real estate for over three decades, I have never seen a listing in Hinsdale from "Bowers Realty", which apparently is located in Plainfield, a rather different market.
I might suggest a wee grain salt for their conclusions --
What conclusions? What are you talking about? And, why does it matter that this real estate company is located in Plainfield, or that they have never listed a property in Hinsdale?
They do this report for every single suburb in Chicagoland. I presume they go into the MLS (that every realtor has access to), and perform 1st grade arithmetic (divide homes on the market by homes sold in any given month) and voila, they come up with their "conclusion" of 29.5 months of supply. Or, is that in your case, and your holly towns of Hinsdale, and Clarendon Hills, principles of Economics and Mathematics do not apply?
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People in Group quarters - Nursing homes (%)
People in Group quarters - Hospitals/wards, hospices, and schools for the handicapped (%)
People in Group quarters - Hospitals/wards and hospices for chronically ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Hospices or homes for chronically ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Military hospitals or wards for chronically ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Other hospitals or wards for chronically ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Hospitals or wards for drug/alcohol abuse (%)
People in Group quarters - Mental (Psychiatric) hospitals or wards (%)
People in Group quarters - Schools, hospitals, or wards for the mentally retarded (%)
People in Group quarters - Schools, hospitals, or wards for the physically handicapped (%)
People in Group quarters - Institutions for the deaf (%)
People in Group quarters - Institutions for the blind (%)
People in Group quarters - Orthopedic wards and institutions for the physically handicapped (%)
People in Group quarters - Wards in general hospitals for patients who have no usual home elsewhere (%)
People in Group quarters - Wards in military hospitals for patients who have no usual home elsewhere (%)
People in Group quarters - Juvenile institutions (%)
People in Group quarters - Long-term care (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes for abused, dependent, and neglected children (%)
People in Group quarters - Residential treatment centers for emotionally disturbed children (%)
People in Group quarters - Training schools for juvenile delinquents (%)
People in Group quarters - Short-term care, detention or diagnostic centers for delinquent children (%)
People in Group quarters - Type of juvenile institution unknown (%)
People in Group quarters - Noninstitutionalized population (%)
People in Group quarters - College dormitories (includes college quarters off campus) (%)
People in Group quarters - Military quarters (%)
People in Group quarters - On base (%)
People in Group quarters - Barracks, unaccompanied personnel housing (UPH), (Enlisted/Officer), ;and similar group living quarters for military personnel (%)
People in Group quarters - Transient quarters for temporary residents (%)
People in Group quarters - Military ships (%)
People in Group quarters - Group homes (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes or halfway houses for drug/alcohol abuse (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes for the mentally ill (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes for the mentally retarded (%)
People in Group quarters - Homes for the physically handicapped (%)
People in Group quarters - Other group homes (%)
People in Group quarters - Religious group quarters (%)
People in Group quarters - Dormitories (%)
People in Group quarters - Agriculture workers' dormitories on farms (%)
People in Group quarters - Job Corps and vocational training facilities (%)
People in Group quarters - Other workers' dormitories (%)
People in Group quarters - Crews of maritime vessels (%)
People in Group quarters - Other nonhousehold living situations (%)
People in Group quarters - Other noninstitutional group quarters (%)
Residents speaking English at home (%)
Residents speaking English at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking English at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking English at home - Foreign born (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking Spanish at home - Foreign born (%)
Residents speaking other language at home (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Foreign born (%)
Class of Workers - Employee of private company (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed in own incorporated business (%)
Class of Workers - Private not-for-profit wage and salary workers (%)
Class of Workers - Local government workers (%)
Class of Workers - State government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Federal government workers (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed workers in own not incorporated business and Unpaid family workers (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - No fuel used (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - No fuel used (%)
Armed forces status - In Armed Forces (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Veteran (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Nonveteran (%)
Fatal accidents locations in years 2005-2021
Fatal accidents locations in 2005
Fatal accidents locations in 2006
Fatal accidents locations in 2007
Fatal accidents locations in 2008
Fatal accidents locations in 2009
Fatal accidents locations in 2010
Fatal accidents locations in 2011
Fatal accidents locations in 2012
Fatal accidents locations in 2013
Fatal accidents locations in 2014
Fatal accidents locations in 2015
Fatal accidents locations in 2016
Fatal accidents locations in 2017
Fatal accidents locations in 2018
Fatal accidents locations in 2019
Fatal accidents locations in 2020
Fatal accidents locations in 2021
Alcohol use - People drinking some alcohol every month (%)
Alcohol use - People not drinking at all (%)
Alcohol use - Average days/month drinking alcohol
Alcohol use - Average drinks/week
Alcohol use - Average days/year people drink much
Audiometry - Average condition of hearing (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear a whisper from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear normal voice from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - Ears ringing, roaring, buzzing (%)
Audiometry - Had a job exposure to loud noise (%)
Audiometry - Had off-work exposure to loud noise (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high blood pressure (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Checking blood pressure at home (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Frequently checking blood cholesterol (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high cholesterol level (%)
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at supermarket/grocery store
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at other stores
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on eating out
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on carryout/delivered foods
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at supermarket/grocery store (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at other stores (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on eating out (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on carryout/delivered foods (%)
Current Health Status - General health condition (%)
Current Health Status - Blood donors (%)
Current Health Status - Has blood ever tested for HIV virus (%)
Current Health Status - Left-handed people (%)
Dermatology - People using sunscreen (%)
Diabetes - Diabetics (%)
Diabetes - Had a blood test for high blood sugar (%)
Diabetes - People taking insulin (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Diet health (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Milk product consumption (# of products/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals not home prepared (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals from fast food or pizza place (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Ready-to-eat foods (#/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Frozen meals/pizza (#/month)
Drug Use - People that ever used marijuana or hashish (%)
Drug Use - Ever used hard drugs (%)
Drug Use - Ever used any form of cocaine (%)
Drug Use - Ever used heroin (%)
Drug Use - Ever used methamphetamine (%)
Health Insurance - People covered by health insurance (%)
Kidney Conditions-Urology - Avg. # of times urinating at night
Medical Conditions - People with asthma (%)
Medical Conditions - People with anemia (%)
Medical Conditions - People with psoriasis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with overweight (%)
Medical Conditions - Elderly people having difficulties in thinking or remembering (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever received blood transfusion (%)
Medical Conditions - People having trouble seeing even with glass/contacts (%)
Medical Conditions - People with arthritis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with gout (%)
Medical Conditions - People with congestive heart failure (%)
Medical Conditions - People with coronary heart disease (%)
Medical Conditions - People with angina pectoris (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had heart attack (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had stroke (%)
Medical Conditions - People with emphysema (%)
Medical Conditions - People with thyroid problem (%)
Medical Conditions - People with chronic bronchitis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with any liver condition (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had cancer or malignancy (%)
Mental Health - People who have little interest in doing things (%)
Mental Health - People feeling down, depressed, or hopeless (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble sleeping or sleeping too much (%)
Mental Health - People feeling tired or having little energy (%)
Mental Health - People with poor appetite or overeating (%)
Mental Health - People feeling bad about themself (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble concentrating on things (%)
Mental Health - People moving or speaking slowly or too fast (%)
Mental Health - People having thoughts they would be better off dead (%)
Oral Health - Average years since last visit a dentist
Oral Health - People embarrassed because of mouth (%)
Oral Health - People with gum disease (%)
Oral Health - General health of teeth and gums (%)
Oral Health - Average days a week using dental floss/device
Oral Health - Average days a week using mouthwash for dental problem
Oral Health - Average number of teeth
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to control insects (%)
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to kill weeds (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People walking or bicycling (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - Average hours a day doing sedentary activities
Physical Activity - Average hours a day watching TV or videos
Physical Activity - Average hours a day using computer
Physical Functioning - People having limitations keeping them from working (%)
Physical Functioning - People limited in amount of work they can do (%)
Physical Functioning - People that need special equipment to walk (%)
Physical Functioning - People experiencing confusion/memory problems (%)
Physical Functioning - People requiring special healthcare equipment (%)
Prescription Medications - Average number of prescription medicines taking
Preventive Aspirin Use - Adults 40+ taking low-dose aspirin (%)
Reproductive Health - Vaginal deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Cesarean deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Deliveries resulted in a live birth (%)
Reproductive Health - Pregnancies resulted in a delivery (%)
Reproductive Health - Women breastfeeding newborns (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had a hysterectomy (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had both ovaries removed (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever taken birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women taking birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used Depo-Provera or injectables (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used female hormones (%)
Sexual Behavior - People 18+ that ever had sex (vaginal, anal, or oral) (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had anal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had any sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had anal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had any kind of sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first had sex
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female vaginal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a woman (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of woman performed oral sex on in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male anal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a man (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male oral sex partners in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - People using protection when performing oral sex (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of times people have vaginal or anal sex a year
Sexual Behavior - People having sex without condom (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male vaginal sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Circumcised males 18+ (%)
Sleep Disorders - Average hours sleeping at night
Sleep Disorders - People that has trouble sleeping (%)
Smoking-Cigarette Use - People smoking cigarettes (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with smell (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with taste (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had wisdom teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had tonsils teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a loss of consciousness because of a head injury (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a broken nose or other serious injury to face or skull (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had two or more sinus infections (%)
Weight - Average height (inches)
Weight - Average weight (pounds)
Weight - Average BMI
Weight - People that are obese (%)
Weight - People that ever were obese (%)
Weight - People trying to lose weight (%)