Quote:
Originally Posted by Drover
Raw figures are pointless. It's per capita rates that are most illustrative. So with that in mind, let's re-examine your figures based on the most current per-neighborhood census data (2000):
Total Violent Crimes (pretending, for the moment, that a category as broad as "total violent crimes" that lumps everything from mutual fistfights to goonings to shootings/stabbings/murder together in the same category is particularly meaningful):
Austin: 1,555/100,000
Belmont Cragin: 530/100,000
Irving Park: 375/100,000
Albany Park: 366/100,000
Portage Park: 316/100,000
Dunning: 159/100,000
Jefferson Park:151/100,000
Humboldt Park: 1,332/100,000
Robbery:
Austin: 852/100,000
Belmont Cragin: 281/100,000
Irving Park: 223/100,000
Portage Park: 205/100,000
Dunning: 109/100,000
Jefferson Park: 108/100,000
Humboldt Park: 647/100,000
Sexual Assault:
Austin: 91/100,000
Belmont Cragin: 44/100,000
Irving Park: 34/100,000
Albany Park:23/100,000
PORTAGE PARK: 24/100,000
Dunning: 9.5/100,000
Jefferson Park: 15.5/100,000
Humboldt Park: 49/100,000
Homicide:
Austin: 26/100,000
Belmont Cragin: 5.2/100,000
Irving Park: 1.7/100,000
Albany Park: 5.2/100,000
PORTAGE PARK:1.5/100,000
Dunning: 0/100,000
Jefferson Park: 3.9/100,000
Humboldt Park: 25.8/100,000
Being able to compare to city-wide, region-wide and nationwide rates for these figures would supply additional context, but I'm too lazy right now to dig that up. Off the top of my head, I can confidently say that Portage Park is still pretty well below the national average in robbery, sexual assault (even with Chicago's broadened definition of sexual assault) and way below the national average in homicide.
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I don't think anyone will confuse any neighborhood with Disneyland, north or south. The ultimate key to safety in Chicago is density AND number of folks out and about. The reason DT and environs is so safe relative to most residential city neighborhoods is that there are always people milling about. You can say the same about most of the lake front neighborhoods. As you reach the less dense residential neighborhoods in the city, crime shoots up for this very reason. People are not milling about, besides gangbangers, and the areas are less dense. As I mentioned, a very large percentage of residents in these "good" areas are ex-suburbanites, who will move back when they have kids of school age and/or get hitched. A good chunk of the rest are newer arrivals from all over the US, but mostly the midwest. Any look at the bars that cater to all the midwest colleges on saturday game days would be a telling indication of that. Take away the suburbanites and out-of-area midwesterners from the mix, and you would be left with very little. The area of the city they are interested in comprises about 1/6 of the city. That leaves 84% of the city essentially off-the-grid for these people. Much of that 84% is on the north side as well. Now, this is a tough thing to prove or disprove by stats. We could go on and on here with more. I could be totally off. However, the fact is, relocaters are interested and familiar with a very small area of the city, all on a thin slice of the city on the lakefront. This has always reminded me of those facades of cities on movie sets, with nothing behind them but wooden supports. The vast majority of Chicago is minority and/or working class ethnic. Much of it is EXTREMELY dangerous, north AND south. Much of it is also racist, on all sides, possibly the most in the USA. The dynamic swath of the city is very narrow and limited, and polar opposite to what one sees in the vast interior. I think we are trying to say that the north side is safer than the south side here, but, actually, we should properly be speaking of the thin pale of lakefront neighborhoods from the loop to Evanston, as opposed to the far greater interior of the city. Finally, most people that are not lifelong city residents have a very dim idea of what the city as a whole is all about. Most never wander outside the narrow sliver they live in. And most never will...........
Last edited by socrates1234; 12-23-2007 at 03:46 PM.
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