Quote:
Originally Posted by Lookout Kid
Austin will literally be one of the last places in the city to gentrify. Why?
1. It's not close to downtown.
2. It's currently one of the worst crime-ridden neighborhoods in the city, often mentioned in the same breath as Englewood, Woodlawn, Garfield Park, etc.
3. It's actually one of the more recent "white flight" flipovers. In 1960, Austin was almost entirely a white neighborhood, and it flipped to 90% African American EXTREMELY rapidly. There is nothing that points to any changing demographics there.
4. Crime crime and more crime! Get the point? It's one thing for a neighborhood with ten murders a year to flip over, but Austin still has over 30! It's an urban war zone.
5. There are no new jobs coming to Austin any time soon, and the poor residents there have few opportunities.
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For one, I don't think it matters that Austin is "not close to downtown." It's no further from downtown than, say, Andersonville. Distance hasn't kept Oak Park from exploding. It's not distance so much as travel time and convenience that matters, and that's well taken care of by two L lines and a Metra line.
For another, I don't know that it matters if there are no opportunities for the poor people of the neighborhood, since one of the effects of gentrification is to push them out anyway. Job opportunities in the immediate area is of little concern to the upper-middle-class professionals who are the driving force behind gentrification.
Obviously, the inertia of crime is the biggest obstacle. And there's just no telling if that inertia will ever be overcome by the forces of gentrification. But as one person said, be careful not to rely on raw numbers when declaring Austin to be the worst neighborhood in the city, since it's also the largest both geographically and in terms of population.