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San Diego at 1,683,961? Don't think. San Diego can gain more than that. 2,200,000.
But Dallas and Philly, same thing. How is Dallas ahead of Philly while San Diego isn't? San Diego should, at least, be over Philadelphia in 2050. And San Diego has a population of 2,200,000, while Philly should have 1,900,000.
I. Am. Simply. Going. By. The. Numbers. Of. The. Last. Decade. It's. Not. My. Fault. The. Cities. Grew. The. Way. They. Did. It's very possible that they will grow more than what they did the last 10 years... but it's also possible they may not. So I just went with the current trends. What is the contention?
I. Am. Simply. Going. By. The. Numbers. Of. The. Last. Decade. It's. Not. My. Fault. The. Cities. Grew. The. Way. They. Did. It's very possible that they will grow more than what they did the last 10 years... but it's also possible they may not. So I just went with the current trends. What is the contention?
Honestly, I think it's pretty hard to predict the top ten most populous. New York will remain the most populated city for obvious reasons, but outside there it gets pretty iffy. And most of these lists are based off the growth these cities are experiencing now.
I didn't include Philadelphia in the list because if you look back in the past 60 years, Philadelphia has lost about 700,000 people. NY will probably grow about 3,000,000. Los Angeles will grow about 1,000,000 people and then stop growing. Phoenix will probably do the same.
1) New York, NY 11,300,00
2) Los Angeles, CA 4,900,000
3) Houston, TX 4,400,000
4) Chicago, IL 4,200,000
5) Phoenix, AZ 3,300,000
6) San Antonio, TX 2,900,000
7) Dallas, TX 2,500,000
8) San Jose, CA 1,800,000
9) San Diego, CA 1,700,000
10) San Francisco, CA 1,000,000
I think cities gain a lot of population during that time. That New York City gaining 3,000,000.. maybe more. San Diego will gain 650,000, San Jose with maybe 910,000 (SD over SJ)
Location: Austin, TX/Chicago, IL/Houston, TX/Washington, DC
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So you really think Houston and Phoenix will infill to a density of 7,000 and 5,000 - there are only a hanful a places in the US that have this level of density over as large an area and most are largely driven by a super dense core - outlier being LA but even LA is far denser than either two in toward the core. Just seems unattainable unless they would rebuild much of each of these cities over that timeframe
Haha, How about we let Jan have his predictions instead of nitpicking what he thinks about it, its really not fair to him or anyone else here? Unless you have a device that shows you what 2050 looks like Jan is just about right as anyone else here. His guess is honestly as good as any of ours. And you may not know this but the inner loop is 96 square miles, population 527,386 with a density of 5,493 people per square mile.
In Houston no one cares about the city outside of inner loop where everything besides Energy Corridor is located and inner loop is also where almost all the developments are taking place, and where all of the rail expansion will be and connect every district in it. Thats the real city, so who cares if its density ever reaches 8,000 or not? The inner loop is going to reach that density regardless.
My guess for 2050:
01. New York City (duhhhh everyone should have guessed this )
02. Los Angeles (4,800,000, In my opinion I never see Los Angeles passing 5 million)
03. Chicago (4,100,000 I personally think by Mid-century it will see some large stroke of influx and will surpass its 1950 peak, but it depends solely if it can keep its growth going)
04. Houston (3,600,000 wont surpass Chicago as far as I can tell if Chicago STARTS to keep its growth going)
I personally think trying to guess the population outcomes for 2050 are pointless, none of us can ever guess what it will be like even tomorrow little less 2050. And since this thread is for fun, it would probably be more fun if people can say what they want without any nitpickings and people getting so carried away with their theories, THEIR theories not a generalized fact.
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San Diego will gain 650,000, San Jose with maybe 910,000 (SD over SJ)
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