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View Poll Results: Will Houston surpass Chicago as the 3rd largest city by 2020?
Yes 473 41.35%
No 671 58.65%
Voters: 1144. You may not vote on this poll

 
 
Old 12-30-2012, 07:41 AM
 
Location: ITL (Houston)
9,223 posts, read 13,446,220 times
Reputation: 3545

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Amercity View Post
Houston would need to gain 600 K in 10 years to be at chicago's population. Plus chicago is changing so im pretty sure chicago will gain a decent amount of people by 2020. So the answer is no. Will houston surpass chicago as the 3rd largest city eventually? Yes, it will probably be in 2030 or so
Chicago is changing by replacing larger families with more singles and couples. It's a reason why the city still lost population from 2000-2010, despite a bunch of shiny new buildings and redevelopment in the city.
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Old 02-17-2014, 04:49 AM
 
437 posts, read 468,691 times
Reputation: 255
Yes it will, but MSA tells the real story.
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Old 02-17-2014, 06:04 AM
 
Location: Earth
2,549 posts, read 3,112,959 times
Reputation: 1198
Quote:
Originally Posted by dispo4 View Post
Yes it will, but MSA tells the real story.
Keep in mind that Detroit's MSA is also growing but not the city (the most urban part). Houston has a ways to go before passing Chicago in city population anyway. I just don't see it happening in 6 years time. Could I see it in my life time if the growth rate continues the same in both cities then yes. However, a lot can happen and Chicago could make a stronger come back who knows. Unfortunately, I don't have a crystal ball in front of me. Anything is possible though.
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Old 02-20-2014, 10:05 PM
 
1,015 posts, read 738,510 times
Reputation: 1611
I see Houston continue to grow and get denser, but the vast majority of the growth will be outside of city limits. Houston hasn't really annexed much land since the late 1990's, when the Republicans took over the legislature and made it much more difficult for cities to annex unincorporated county land (they didn't want suburbanites with a wealthy tax base to have to subsidize poorer city neighborhoods). Prior to that, it was really easy for cities in Texas to annex land, even against the objection of the people living in the annexed areas. That's why all of the cities in Texas have fairly large geographic areas compared to cities in other states. Houston was preparing at the time to annex land all the way out to FM 1960, but now all of that area remains unincorporated Harris County.

Since the change in the laws, most of the land inside city limits has been built up, although there is still room for increasing density. From 1990 - 2000 when Houston was still annexing land, it grew by almost 20%. Despite a booming economy in much of the 2000's, it only grew another 7.5% from 2000-2010, mostly building out undeveloped land already in city limits. Now, most of that land in the city is built up, although a lot of it is fairly low density. Without the ability to annex undeveloped land, there is no way Houston passes Chicago anytime soon. I think the city of Houston will continue to grow, but much more slowly than in the past 50 years. The metro area such as far out suburbs in Montgomery and Ft. Bend County will continue to grow quickly. The city of Houston itself will have a hard time passing Chicago anytime soon. That's despite the fact I think Chicago will continue to slowly lose population, mainly because the growth on the Northside will be less than the population losses of the Southside.
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Old 02-20-2014, 11:43 PM
 
Location: Austin/Houston
2,819 posts, read 4,234,126 times
Reputation: 2072
houston gets hammered for its annexation. Glad its not trying to annex anymore. The Woodlands had its victory by managing to keep itself from being taken over by Houston. Congrats to The Woodlands, TX
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Old 06-19-2015, 01:17 PM
 
Location: Seattle aka tier 3 city :)
1,078 posts, read 894,310 times
Reputation: 667
According to this article, Houston is less than 15 years away from dethroning Chicago, pretty sad, although visiting the 2 would have never guessed it.

https://kinder.rice.edu/Keatts061615/

Last edited by Calisonn; 06-19-2015 at 01:26 PM..
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Old 06-19-2015, 01:29 PM
 
Location: Milwaukee
3,451 posts, read 3,160,601 times
Reputation: 2854
Why is that "sad?" I'll bet it takes several decades myself, if it ever happens.
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Old 06-19-2015, 01:41 PM
 
Location: Seattle aka tier 3 city :)
1,078 posts, read 894,310 times
Reputation: 667
Quote:
Originally Posted by cheese plate View Post
Why is that "sad?" I'll bet it takes several decades myself, if it ever happens.
Just think of it from a tourist's perspective, also Chicago was the last great white hope for the Midwest.
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Old 06-19-2015, 01:49 PM
 
Location: Maryland
3,919 posts, read 5,040,632 times
Reputation: 4167
Quote:
Originally Posted by Calisonn View Post
Just think of it from a tourist's perspective, also Chicago was the last great white hope for the Midwest.
How does Houston having a larger population than Chicago in its municipal boundaries change Chicago's importance in the world?
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Old 06-19-2015, 01:53 PM
 
Location: Seattle aka tier 3 city :)
1,078 posts, read 894,310 times
Reputation: 667
Quote:
Originally Posted by Maintainschaos View Post
How does Houston having a larger population than Chicago in its municipal boundaries change Chicago's importance in the world?
It's called status, and wether you agree with me or not, Chicago already suffers from international recognition.
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