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Old 03-18-2015, 12:23 AM
 
4,677 posts, read 7,839,794 times
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I have been waiting for this for the longest. It wil be released to the public on 3/26. The media on the 24th. Here is the link. Most of us nerds have been counting down since last year.

New County and Metro Area Population Estimates to be Embargoed -- WASHINGTON, March 17, 2015 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ --
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Old 03-18-2015, 01:07 AM
 
Location: Zurich, Switzerland/ Piedmont, CA
31,598 posts, read 53,352,280 times
Reputation: 14517
Quote:
Originally Posted by adavi215 View Post
I have been waiting for this for the longest. It wil be released to the public on 3/26. The media on the 24th. Here is the link. Most of us nerds have been counting down since last year.

New County and Metro Area Population Estimates to be Embargoed -- WASHINGTON, March 17, 2015 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ --
+1

Yup. Ive been waiting on this one. Its on my calendar. LOL
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Old 03-18-2015, 10:35 AM
 
Location: Westside Grand Rapids
3,573 posts, read 3,075,480 times
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Yeah i've been checking the CB website every day and considering taking a personal day from work. It's amazing i'm single with such captivating hobbies.
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Old 03-18-2015, 02:39 PM
 
Location: The Left Toast
1,092 posts, read 1,353,951 times
Reputation: 759
Quote:
Originally Posted by mjlo View Post
Yeah i've been checking the CB website every day and considering taking a personal day from work. It's amazing i'm single with such captivating hobbies.
+ 1: LOL!
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Old 03-18-2015, 04:00 PM
 
Location: Tokyo, Japan
6,497 posts, read 7,788,898 times
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Since it's only 7 days away from now. Want to make predictions, you know, for kicks sake?

MSA:
01. New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA Metropolitan Statistical Area: 20,025,000 (officially welcome to the hypercity club New York )
02. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA Metropolitan Statistical Area: 13,210,000
03. Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI Metropolitan Statistical Area: 9,545,000
04. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metropolitan Statistical Area: 6,930,000
05. Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metropolitan Statistical Area: 6,475,000
06. Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD Metropolitan Statistical Area: 6,040,000
07. Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Metropolitan Statistical Area: 6,010,000
08. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL Metropolitan Statistical Area: 5,891,000
09. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA Metropolitan Statistical Area: 5,585,000
10. Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH Metropolitan Statistical Area: 4,710,000

Additional predictions going beyond this census year; 2014 will be the last time Washington DC MSA sits in 7th place. This time next year, by 2015, it will be 6th place, even with an incredible amount of slowing in growth for it. It's median age, immigration, replacement level, fertility rate, and all of these things pretty much guarantee that. By the census, in 2020, Southeast Florida MSA will patently be sitting in 7th place, even if it's growth declines by 20% to 35% since last decade (and barring any economic meltdown, it looks like it wont have to come to that this decade).

For me personally, that would mean that I've lived in the 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th largest MSA's (in 2020) in the United States at various points in my life.

Last edited by Facts Kill Rhetoric; 03-18-2015 at 04:16 PM..
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Old 03-18-2015, 04:37 PM
 
Location: South Beach and DT Raleigh
11,569 posts, read 18,000,907 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Red John View Post
Since it's only 7 days away from now. Want to make predictions, you know, for kicks sake?

MSA:
01. New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA Metropolitan Statistical Area: 20,025,000 (officially welcome to the hypercity club New York )
02. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA Metropolitan Statistical Area: 13,210,000
03. Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI Metropolitan Statistical Area: 9,545,000
04. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metropolitan Statistical Area: 6,930,000
05. Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX Metropolitan Statistical Area: 6,475,000
06. Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD Metropolitan Statistical Area: 6,040,000
07. Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Metropolitan Statistical Area: 6,010,000
08. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL Metropolitan Statistical Area: 5,891,000
09. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA Metropolitan Statistical Area: 5,585,000
10. Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH Metropolitan Statistical Area: 4,710,000

Additional predictions going beyond this census year; 2014 will be the last time Washington DC MSA sits in 7th place. This time next year, by 2015, it will be 6th place, even with an incredible amount of slowing in growth for it. It's median age, immigration, replacement level, fertility rate, and all of these things pretty much guarantee that. By the census, in 2020, Southeast Florida MSA will patently be sitting in 7th place, even if it's growth declines by 20% to 35% since last decade (and barring any economic meltdown, it looks like it wont have to come to that this decade).

For me personally, that would mean that I've lived in the 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th largest MSA's (in 2020) in the United States at various points in my life.
Miami is likely to be over 5.9 million. I'll guess 5,920,000 for 2014. By 2016 or 2017, I'm guessing it takes over the Philly metro. Atlanta probably jumps Philly by 2022. Fortunately for Philly, it will sit at 9th for quite some time before it's ranking is threatened again.
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Old 03-18-2015, 04:40 PM
 
Location: Tokyo, Japan
6,497 posts, read 7,788,898 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rnc2mbfl View Post
Miami is likely to be over 5.9 million. I'll guess 5,920,000 for 2014. By 2016 or 2017, I'm guessing it takes over the Philly metro. Atlanta probably jumps Philly by 2022. Fortunately for Philly, it will sit at 9th for quite some time before it's ranking is threatened again.
Yeah, Greater Boston, Greater San Francisco-Oakland, Greater Phoenix, Greater Detroit, and the Inland Empire (Riverside-San Bernardino) are a long way off from challenging the first nine in population, by MSA.

I do think, however, that the San Francisco-Oakland MSA "could" be poised to directly absorb Stockton or some of the North Bay MSA's in by 2023's redefinition of MSA's (these places are in the San Francisco Bay Area's CSA right now). I think 18Montclair has the statistics for that, it's entirely possible that San Francisco-Oakland MSA hops into the middle 5 million's if it does that and then by natural increase, continues chomping at Philadelphia's coattails.

If that is a real possibility for San Francisco-Oakland, I would imagine that Greater Boston MSA absorbing places from it's CSA like Providence or Southern New Hampshire is also entirely within the realm of possibilities by 2020. If these two places were to get this going, it would change the bottom half of the top 10 immensely.
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Old 03-18-2015, 06:15 PM
 
6,797 posts, read 6,636,267 times
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Atlanta accounts for 90% of Georgia's growth. Georgia grew by 103k this year, up from 76k last year(Atlanta grew 65k out of that 76k). So Atlanta will be over 5.6 Million. Watch. I estimate it has grown 85k-90k from 2013 to 2014 July. So your estimates aren't that great for Atlanta.
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Old 03-18-2015, 06:26 PM
 
1,633 posts, read 1,490,146 times
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So, a thread about estimates that aren't even out yet? Yippee
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Old 03-18-2015, 06:28 PM
 
Location: Maryland
3,947 posts, read 5,090,676 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jdaelectro View Post
So, a thread about estimates that aren't even out yet? Yippee
Estimates of estimates!
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