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Old 08-19-2015, 11:20 PM
 
Location: The canyon (with my pistols and knife)
12,996 posts, read 17,152,354 times
Reputation: 14307

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Extrapolated population by state (2020)

41,125,316 - California
29,674,054 - Texas
21,531,278 - Florida
20,298,415 - New York
12,955,502 - Illinois
12,914,454 - Pennsylvania
11,680,652 - Ohio
10,711,878 - Georgia
10,556,686 - North Carolina
9,949,233 - Michigan

9,157,597 - New Jersey
8,814,187 - Virginia
7,567,015 - Washington
7,240,685 - Arizona
7,042,077 - Massachusetts
6,854,223 - Tennessee
6,766,435 - Indiana
6,280,690 - Maryland
6,175,582 - Missouri
5,863,431 - Wisconsin

5,845,871 - Colorado
5,687,045 - Minnesota
5,143,159 - South Carolina
4,953,839 - Alabama
4,824,132 - Louisiana
4,524,592 - Kentucky
4,178,987 - Oregon
4,068,101 - Oklahoma
3,630,547 - Connecticut
3,211,428 - Utah

3,198,283 - Iowa
3,046,921 - Nevada
3,042,046 - Arkansas
3,034,252 - Mississippi
2,980,376 - Kansas
2,125,162 - New Mexico
1,964,246 - Nebraska
1,846,324 - West Virginia
1,734,787 - Idaho
1,508,451 - Hawaii

1,342,328 - New Hampshire
1,332,681 - Maine
1,074,825 - Montana
1,059,082 - Rhode Island
992,134 - Delaware
911,668 - South Dakota
839,819 - North Dakota
776,484 - Alaska
627,794 - Vermont
614,944 - Wyoming


States with higher rankings

+4 - Utah
(34th to 30th)

+3 - Nevada
(35th to 32nd)

+2 - Arizona
(16th to 14th)

+1 - Florida
(4th to 3rd)

+1 - Georgia
(9th to 8th)

+1 - North Carolina
(10th to 9th)

+1 - Tennessee
(17th to 16th)

+1 - Maryland
(19th to 18th)

+1 - Colorado
(22nd to 21st)

+1 - Nebraska
(38th to 37th)

+1 - New Hampshire
(42nd to 41st)

+1 - Montana
(44th to 43rd)

+1 - North Dakota
(48th to 47th)


States with lower rankings

-1 - New York
(3rd to 4th)

-1 - Massachusetts
(14th to 15th)

-1 - Missouri
(18th to 19th)

-1 - Minnesota
(21st to 22nd)

-1 - Iowa
(30th to 31st)

-1 - Arkansas
(32nd to 33rd)

-1 - West Virginia
(37th to 38th)

-1 - Maine
(41st to 42nd)

-1 - Rhode Island
(43rd to 44th)

-1 - Alaska
(47th to 48th)

-2 - Michigan
(8th to 10th)

-2 - Indiana
(15th to 17th)

-2 - Kansas
(33rd to 35th)

-3 - Mississippi
(31st to 34th)
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Old 08-19-2015, 11:36 PM
Status: "waite untill next year. It was fun while it lasted !" (set 18 days ago)
 
Location: Beautiful Northwest Houston
4,655 posts, read 4,498,775 times
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Where are the people from Mississippi going ? Or is it that nobody is going to Mississippi anymore ?
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Old 08-19-2015, 11:36 PM
 
Location: Savannah GA
13,151 posts, read 15,957,344 times
Reputation: 9167
So EXTRAPOLATED is just a fancy word for anticipated or predicted?
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Old 08-20-2015, 01:29 AM
 
Location: The canyon (with my pistols and knife)
12,996 posts, read 17,152,354 times
Reputation: 14307
Quote:
Originally Posted by Newsboy View Post
So EXTRAPOLATED is just a fancy word for anticipated or predicted?
Step one: I subtracted the 2014 Census estimates for each state from the official 2010 Census numbers.

Step two: I multiplied the difference by 2.5 to extrapolate four years of growth over 10 years.

Step three: I added the product to the official 2010 Census numbers to get the extrapolated 2020 Census numbers.


Basically, it's a way of illustrating what each state's population will be in 2020 at the rate it grew between 2010 and 2014.
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Old 08-20-2015, 01:44 AM
 
Location: Sumner County,Tn
604 posts, read 559,605 times
Reputation: 459
Tennessee is going to pass Massachusetts a lil after 2020 and then will eventually catch New Jersey and Michigan Tennessee is never going to catch up with Washington and Arizona, On the flip side Colorado is probably going to catch Tennessee in the long term and in the even longer term term Nevada those are the only 2states I see surpassing Tn
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Old 08-20-2015, 03:30 AM
 
6,385 posts, read 10,387,568 times
Reputation: 6533
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueRedTide View Post
Tennessee is going to pass Massachusetts a lil after 2020 and then will eventually catch New Jersey and Michigan Tennessee is never going to catch up with Washington and Arizona, On the flip side Colorado is probably going to catch Tennessee in the long term and in the even longer term term Nevada those are the only 2states I see surpassing Tn
Nevada? Is Las Vegas going to be as big as Chicago in 2050 or something?
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:22 PM
 
Location: Nashville, TN
4,292 posts, read 3,361,722 times
Reputation: 3011
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueRedTide View Post
Tennessee is going to pass Massachusetts a lil after 2020 and then will eventually catch New Jersey and Michigan Tennessee is never going to catch up with Washington and Arizona, On the flip side Colorado is probably going to catch Tennessee in the long term and in the even longer term term Nevada those are the only 2states I see surpassing Tn
I don't see Colorado passing Tennessee, and definitely not Nevada. Denver and Vegas can only carry those respective states so much.
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Old 08-21-2015, 10:54 PM
 
Location: Washington State desert
4,723 posts, read 2,951,073 times
Reputation: 3306
The US census also projects these populations, not only for 2020, but for 2030, and beyond. Not sure if they use the same formula as the OP, but at this point I would trust them more. (Unless OP is using the same formula!).
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Old 08-22-2015, 01:22 AM
 
Location: Philadelphia/ Rehoboth Beach
262 posts, read 199,059 times
Reputation: 251
Your numbers are off by a little because your not adding each 4 years growth rate into the new total . To get a better picture , take the 4yr growth rate + 1 then rise it to the power of 1.5 . say the 4yr rate was 4.2 so (1.042) to the 1.5 power times the last census total . del growth 4.2% 1.5 conversions 14 census count 935,000 =994,500

Last edited by kingtutaaa; 08-22-2015 at 02:11 AM.. Reason: corrected exponent 2.5 to 1.5
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Old 08-23-2015, 08:53 AM
 
Location: Jonesboro
3,175 posts, read 3,041,792 times
Reputation: 3407
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueRedTide View Post
Tennessee is going to pass Massachusetts a lil after 2020 and then will eventually catch New Jersey and Michigan Tennessee is never going to catch up with Washington and Arizona, On the flip side Colorado is probably going to catch Tennessee in the long term and in the even longer term term Nevada those are the only 2states I see surpassing Tn

Looking at past patterns & more recent growth rates, it will be a long, long time before Tennessee ever passes New Jersey & Michigan. Think in terms of this happening decades down the road actually.
Tennessee's growth so far this decade has not been particularly fast & a struggle as compared to it's neighbors who have Atlantic coast lines.
Looking back over the last few decades, the growth of Tennessee has been very uneven as in growing in fits & starts with some lean years causing the irregularity.
Other than fast-growing Georgia to it's south/southeast, all of Tennessee's other neighbors to it's south,west & north have also performed in similar patterns & are currently missing out on any sense of the sun belt boom, wherever it is occurring.
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