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View Poll Results: Which ones will cross the 10 million marker?
Chicago CSA 58 53.21%
Washington DC-Baltimore CSA 56 51.38%
the San Francisco Bay Area CSA 45 41.28%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 109. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 03-24-2016, 03:36 PM
 
Location: Tokyo, Japan
6,631 posts, read 8,318,123 times
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- Chicago CSA
- Washington DC-Baltimore CSA
- San Francisco Bay Area CSA

To clarify the premise of this thread. This is not a thread about what feels like a megacity or doesn't (that is a whole different topic altogether, in my opinion). That isn't what this thread is about though. This thread is about which of these three CSAs you could see crossing the 10 million person threshold. I'll make the poll multiple choice, because you're permitted to believe that more than one, none, or even all three will surpass 10 million.

Again, this is not a "what feels like a megacity" thread. This is a technical thread. As in I am asking you a straightforward question. That question being, which area(s) do you think will cross 10 million people in the not-too-distant-future? I'll let you decide what "not-too-distant-future" means.

Again, the poll is multiple choice. You can pick however many you want.

Oh and I'll provide their current standings for you;

03. Chicago-Naperville, IL-IN-WI CSA: 9,923,358
04. Washington-Baltimore-Arlington, DC-MD-VA-WV-PA CSA: 9,625,360
05. San Jose-San Francisco-Oakland, CA CSA: 8,713,914


Thoughts? Which one(s) do you think will cross the 10 million marker? Which ones do you think will not? Which one first? Which one last? You're free to discuss anything, as long as it stays rooted to the premise of the thread (about solely crossing the benchmark).
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Old 03-24-2016, 03:38 PM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
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DC and the Bay Area. Both feel like they still have potential for Growth, whereas it seems like Chicago is an increasingly irrelevant city.
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Old 03-24-2016, 03:40 PM
 
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The bay area CSA make sense to me, because people tend to think of the bay as a unit. DC and Baltimore are too far apart and culturally/economically disparate to be a meaningful CSA.
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Old 03-24-2016, 03:43 PM
 
Location: Illinois
988 posts, read 593,270 times
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So, close, Chicago. So close. Maybe it will get there. I agree that DC/Baltimore shouldn't really count as one metro area. What next, add Philly too?

SF might make it but the affordability of that area is so difficult it's not like people are flocking there.
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Old 03-24-2016, 03:44 PM
 
Location: Tokyo, Japan
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We shouldn't make this into a thread where we discuss the merits of the CSA measurement. It sort of is what it is. You cant change that.

Lets instead answer the thread question.
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Old 03-24-2016, 03:46 PM
 
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I feel like all of them. The Bay Area and Washington are growing at large paces while Chicago CSA is still growing and it is too close to 10 million to fail. I am guessing it will be Washington, followed soon by Chicago, with the Bay Area some notable time later on, if only because of how much smaller its population is.
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Old 03-24-2016, 03:48 PM
 
Location: Tokyo, Japan
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I feel all 3 as well.

I feel Washington DC-Baltimore CSA will do it first because Chicago's slumping at the current moment (I don't expect that to persist for long though).

Chicago literally only has 77,000 left to do and its practically almost there now but yeah. It appears that Chicago will have to wait around a bit before it crosses the 10 million person marker.
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Old 03-24-2016, 03:48 PM
 
7,693 posts, read 4,554,568 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Red John View Post
We shouldn't make this into a thread where we discuss the merits of the CSA measurement. It sort of is what it is. You cant change that.

Lets instead answer the thread question.
I'm a questioning the merits of the CSA, I'm questioning the merits of that specific CSA. It seems almost arbitrary. It's definitely not an organic grouping.
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Old 03-24-2016, 03:51 PM
 
Location: Tokyo, Japan
6,631 posts, read 8,318,123 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gladhands View Post
I'm a questioning the merits of the CSA, I'm questioning the merits of that specific CSA. It seems almost arbitrary. It's definitely not an organic grouping.
Fair, but lets say that you didn't question the merits of that one particular CSA.

So to bring it all back to square one, do you see it, as it is right now, crossing 10 million? If so, do you see the others doing it too? If not, why?
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Old 03-24-2016, 03:53 PM
 
Location: LoS ScAnDaLoUs KiLLa CaLI
1,227 posts, read 1,195,113 times
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Honestly, I can actually see all three areas passing 10 million without having to add a ton of new areas to do so.

What needs to be done is actually making these areas be cohesive
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