2015 City Proper population estimates are released!

[MetroZetro]

Comparison of growth of the top 50 cities (rates between 2010-2015):

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...tjA/edit#gid=0

[rnc2mbfl]

It's nice to see New Orleans recover. Let's hope that they are being smart about it.

[rnc2mbfl]

Originally Posted by ZnGuy

Looks like Charlotte will hurdle Indy and Columbus in the next 5+ years..

That's a reasonable assumption. When I look at Charlotte, I tend to map it against Raleigh's escalating density metrics for future expectations of its population. For example, at 144 square miles, Raleigh is currently about 3132 ppl/sm. It's reasonable for Charlotte to reach that metric. Doing so and at 297 square miles, that would put Charlotte at @930,000, or about the size of Austin now (which has an almost identical land area to Charlotte). Raleigh in on track to be near 500K by the next census. That pushes its density metric to near 3475. Correspondingly, Charlotte at that density would top a million. It will happen; it's just a matter of time. My gut tells me ten years from now.
Since both Charlotte and Raleigh have rapidly grown in similar development pattens, under the same state laws and with similar cultural expectations, it would seem to me that they'd both be on a similar municipal growth trajectory, albeit with Raleigh's halved due to its much smaller city limits.

[Bobdreamz]

Originally Posted by manitopiaaa

Using the new 2015 Census estimates, here are the 2020 Projections for Florida's 22 Cities over 100k (assuming aggregate growth is constant from 2010-2015 levels)



The top 6 will stay largely the same: Jacksonville, Miami, Tampa, Orlando, Saint Petersburg, Hialeah.

After that, there will be battle royale for #7 b/w Cape Coral, Fort Lauderdale, Port Saint Lucie and Tallahassee. In the end Cape Coral will likely win.

Cape Coral Population Growth
1960: 0
1970: 10,193
1980: 32,103
1990: 74,991
2000: 102,286
2010: 154,305
2020 Est: 194,160

I'm surprised Miami even in the 2020 estimates doesn't even cross the half million mark. The Census underestimated Miami during the 1990-2000 Census and said the city only grew 4,000 people in that time period which is absurd.

Of course Miami is tiny by city standards with only 35 Square miles and is still growing.

[rnc2mbfl]

Originally Posted by Bobdreamz

I'm surprised Miami even in the 2020 estimates doesn't even cross the half million mark. The Census underestimated Miami during the 1990-2000 Census and said the city only grew 4,000 people in that time period which is absurd.

Of course Miami is tiny by city standards with only 35 Square miles and is still growing.

Miami was sitting at about 400,000 in the last Census count. To attain 500,000, it has to densify by 2800 ppl/sm. That's a tall order in 10 years. At its current growth rate, it's going to densify by well over 2000 a square mile this decade and that's really tremendous. 500,000 will come but it probably won't be until 2023 or so.

[Shakeesha]

Originally Posted by ZnGuy

Looks like Charlotte will hurdle Indy and Columbus in the next 5+ years..

No question it will. Charlotte is exploding.

[Los Angeles Gucci Mane]

LA city's gonna hit 4 mil by 2020, but I feel like it is 4 million now because of all the illegal immigrants and homeless that are usually undercounted, I agree LA should be counted as the whole LA/OC/I.E. Area or the "Southland"