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View Poll Results: Do you think NYC will still be the largest city in 2050?
Yes 628 81.56%
No 142 18.44%
Voters: 770. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 06-20-2011, 12:23 PM
 
Location: The City
22,378 posts, read 38,925,770 times
Reputation: 7976

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spade View Post
If they do that, they may combine LA with San Diego.

Also a distinct possibility but even with this it would combine the larger NYC to LA with the larger Philly to SD so would still imagine regardless the NYC metro will be larger. i honestly dont see any others approaching these two for a very long time. Also the wildcards on metro are probably moreso DC/Balt and the Bay. If the Bay becomes one metro it could stay ahead of one or both of the TX metros. I am really curious to see if DFW and Houston will still be growing at their current rates in another 15-20 years. As infill and expense is added to the metros they could become less attractive for new residents
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Old 06-20-2011, 12:47 PM
 
Location: Eindhoven, Netherlands
10,646 posts, read 16,032,303 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kidphilly View Post
I actually missed that and would agree - also at some point in the future NYC and Philly may be one metro by census standards
Yeah then you can add Santa Cruz, San Joaquin, Sacramento & Yolo county to the SF Bay Area.
Tampa-Orlando Metro is a pretty big too with around 8 million people.

Last edited by Davy-040; 06-20-2011 at 01:07 PM..
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Old 06-20-2011, 01:30 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
20,516 posts, read 33,544,005 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kidphilly View Post
Also a distinct possibility but even with this it would combine the larger NYC to LA with the larger Philly to SD so would still imagine regardless the NYC metro will be larger. i honestly dont see any others approaching these two for a very long time. Also the wildcards on metro are probably moreso DC/Balt and the Bay. If the Bay becomes one metro it could stay ahead of one or both of the TX metros. I am really curious to see if DFW and Houston will still be growing at their current rates in another 15-20 years. As infill and expense is added to the metros they could become less attractive for new residents
I think an LA with SD metro will have about 21 million while the NYC with Philly metro could hover around 30 million? Could be wrong. DFW should hit 7 million within a couple years if growth continues as is. If DFW and Houston are still strong job cores, I see no reason why they wouldn't still maintain a healthy but smaller growth rate in 15-20 years.
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Old 06-20-2011, 01:33 PM
 
Location: Southwest Michigan/Miami Beach Miami
1,943 posts, read 3,338,472 times
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Umm..of course NYC will still be the largest city in 2050 if nothing drastic happens.
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Old 06-20-2011, 01:33 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
20,516 posts, read 33,544,005 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Davy-040 View Post
Yeah then you can add Santa Cruz, San Joaquin, Sacramento & Yolo county to the SF Bay Area.
Tampa-Orlando Metro is a pretty big too with around 8 million people.
More like 5.5 million people.
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Old 06-20-2011, 03:13 PM
 
Location: Up on the moon laughing down on you
18,495 posts, read 32,953,051 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spade View Post
If they do that, they may combine LA with San Diego.
I am telling you guys, they are making those metros so physically big that they are gonna have to redefine metros sooner or later.

Maybe they will abandon doing it by county and do urban tracks with commuter patterns instead
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Old 06-20-2011, 05:12 PM
 
Location: L.A./O.C.
573 posts, read 1,361,189 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Razor123 View Post
True, but Im very sure that NYC and Philly would reach that point well before LA and SD.
wrong LA and san diego will combine faster because they are less than 10 miles apart from temecula and murieta (part of LA) and northern san diego county
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Old 06-20-2011, 05:25 PM
 
Location: Louisiana to Houston to Denver to NOVA
16,508 posts, read 26,312,844 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HtownLove View Post
I am telling you guys, they are making those metros so physically big that they are gonna have to redefine metros sooner or later.

Maybe they will abandon doing it by county and do urban tracks with commuter patterns instead
Metropolitan areas are already designated by percentage of commuters. Sounds good, though.
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Old 06-20-2011, 08:25 PM
 
Location: The City
22,378 posts, read 38,925,770 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jorge112597 View Post
wrong LA and san diego will combine faster because they are less than 10 miles apart from temecula and murieta (part of LA) and northern san diego county

10 miles is 10 miles further than the space between NYC and Philly now

The census has already recomended combining the Urbanized of the NYC and Philly metro because they are continuous and have been for years

Glimpse of What the New Urban Area's (UA) will look like in 2010: New York approaching 30 Million
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Old 06-20-2011, 08:27 PM
 
Location: The City
22,378 posts, read 38,925,770 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HtownLove View Post
I am telling you guys, they are making those metros so physically big that they are gonna have to redefine metros sooner or later.

Maybe they will abandon doing it by county and do urban tracks with commuter patterns instead
Oddly HTown this is something I have been arguing about for a while now. Thing is for Philly and NYC they would be combined today if that were the case. And if they forced them seperate Philly would actually pick up another 500K in metro on the attached parts of neighboring counties that are excluded at the MSA level
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