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View Poll Results: Do you think NYC will still be the largest city in 2050?
Yes 626 81.51%
No 142 18.49%
Voters: 768. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 05-07-2009, 03:00 PM
 
14 posts, read 45,155 times
Reputation: 18

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spire View Post
I thought it would be interesting to see what people think the 5 largest United States cities will be in 2050. Post populations and comments as to why you feel this way, don't just order them off in a list!

1. New York, New York
Population: 9,400,000
I don't see anything passing New York by 2050. I know some people are going to say the city will be well over 10,000,000 by then, but I don't see anywhere for NYC to grow. Growing up takes so much time and money that I just don't see it happening.

2. Los Angeles, California
Population: 5,000,000
I think the growth L.A has experienced is going to start to slow down as Hispanic Immigrants become more and more "Americanized".

3. Chicago, Illinois
Population: 3,800,000
Chicago's population has the reputation for going up, and then falling right back down, but with Urban living making a comeback, I think it will keep a slight lead over Houston.

4. Houston, Texas
Population: 3,600,000
Houston is the perfect location for some, it offers suburban living in a major city. I think this will still be appleaing to many people come 2050.

5. Philadelphia, Pennslyvania
Population: 2,100,000
I think the spot for number five is going to be a battle. It will be VERY close between Pheonix, Philadelphia, and San Diego, but I hope Philadelphia can pull through and win it.
Philadelphia's population has been declining for 50-60 years now. It peaked at 2.07 million in 1950, declining to 1.52 million in 2000, and estimated at 1.45 million now. I don't see it going back up to 2.10 million in 41 years. Other sun belt cities like Dallas, San Antonio, and Phoenix will be much larger than Philly in 41 years and could be #4 or 5. (I agree Houston will probably be in the top 5). San Diego's growth has slowed a lot so I don't see it cracking the top 5.

Of course, who knows if a top 20 city will annex a large area or form a unified city-county government (similar to Indianapolis or Nashville), that could throw any large city into the top 5.
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Old 05-07-2009, 03:02 PM
 
Location: Phoenix
5,642 posts, read 7,442,969 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stevieD View Post
Philadelphia's population has been declining for 50-60 years now. It peaked at 2.07 million in 1950, declining to 1.52 million in 2000, and estimated at 1.45 million now. I don't see it going back up to 2.10 million in 41 years. Other sun belt cities like Dallas, San Antonio, and Phoenix will be much larger than Philly in 41 years and could be #4 or 5. (I agree Houston will probably be in the top 5). San Diego's growth has slowed a lot so I don't see it cracking the top 5.

Of course, who knows if a top 20 city will annex a large area or form a unified city-county government (similar to Indianapolis or Nashville), that could throw any large city into the top 5.
Phoenix already is the 5th largest city (not metro) in the U.S.
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Old 05-07-2009, 03:03 PM
 
Location: Concrete jungle where dreams are made of.
8,900 posts, read 13,230,919 times
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Yeah, duh...lol.
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Old 05-07-2009, 03:04 PM
 
14 posts, read 45,155 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ogre View Post
One that people seem to have forgotten so far is Atlanta. Given the fact that the trend still seems to favor Sun Belt growth, combined with Atlanta's central location as a hub for travel up and down the east coast, and between east--both the Northeast and the Southeast--and west, I'm guessing Atlanta may nudge into the top five by 2050. Although it's also possible that Atlanta may be an extreme example of major growth in the metro area while the city proper population grows fairly slowly, which leads me to speculate that Dallas, another centrally located city, which still shows a lot of growth in the city proper as well as the metro, may be another contender for the top five by 2050.
Atlanta is currently estimated at 519,000, and doesn't have large square mileage, so I don't see it making it anywhere near the top 5.

Fun topic to discuss though!
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Old 05-07-2009, 03:09 PM
 
686 posts, read 1,515,401 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Buffalonian4life View Post
Buffalo will make it back up to the top five like it once did someday...maybe even by 2050!?


lol, keep dreaming.
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Old 05-07-2009, 03:19 PM
 
14 posts, read 45,155 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AZLiam View Post
Phoenix already is the 5th largest city (not metro) in the U.S.
Correct. But he had Philly passing up Phoenix. I was pointing out that with Philly's decline in population, a city like Phoenix, San Antonio, Dallas, etc will be larger than Philly than in 2050.

The topic wasn't what is the top 5 most populous cities now, but what will be the top 5 in 2050. Phoenix easily has a better chance to be a top 5 city over Philly in 2050.
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Old 05-07-2009, 04:31 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
18,627 posts, read 27,037,620 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by grapico View Post
I think he meant the entire city feels suburban.
yeah. Hopefully the inner loop changes this soon.
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Old 05-07-2009, 04:32 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
18,627 posts, read 27,037,620 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by grapico View Post
sorry I meant the whole mia/fll/west palm metro plex. It was my dark horse :P I see we are doing just city limits... so nm.

Miami--Miami Beach--Kendall2,402,208Fort Lauderdale--Pompano Beach--Deerfield Beach1,787,636West Palm Beach--Boca Raton--Boynton Beach1,351,236
But even than, I don't think neither Houston or Miami passes Dallas/FW if we are talking about metro areas. Dallas is growing faster than both cities and is already bigger than Houston by over 500,000 and bigger than Miami by over a million.
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Old 05-07-2009, 04:56 PM
 
464 posts, read 969,869 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stevieD View Post
Philadelphia's population has been declining for 50-60 years now. It peaked at 2.07 million in 1950, declining to 1.52 million in 2000, and estimated at 1.45 million now. I don't see it going back up to 2.10 million in 41 years. Other sun belt cities like Dallas, San Antonio, and Phoenix will be much larger than Philly in 41 years and could be #4 or 5. (I agree Houston will probably be in the top 5). San Diego's growth has slowed a lot so I don't see it cracking the top 5.

Of course, who knows if a top 20 city will annex a large area or form a unified city-county government (similar to Indianapolis or Nashville), that could throw any large city into the top 5.
Spot five for me was all with my heart. I don't think Pheonix, or even Houston, deserve to be in the top five. Houston has something like 3,300 people per square mile. That's lower than Suburban Chicago for the most part. Same thing applys to Pheonix. I'd really like it if Philadelphia turn around. I'm sure in the 70's and 80's no one predicted NYC would turn around, but it did .
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Old 05-07-2009, 05:01 PM
 
Location: Teaneck, NJ
1,576 posts, read 5,134,955 times
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Houston will probably surpass Chicago for sure
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