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Old 08-19-2009, 01:59 PM
 
Location: Zurich, Switzerland
24,923 posts, read 31,755,507 times
Reputation: 10577
Default Fairus' 2050 Population Projections; Would you still want to live in ur state?

These are fairus.org's most aggressive projections for 2050
rather ominous if you ask me...


Northeast 80,944,134

New York 29,301,275
New Jersey 15,543,405
Pennsylvania 14,547,975
Massachusetts 10,663,863
Connecticut 5,154,414
New Hampshire 1,810,013
Rhode Island 1,677,169
Maine 1,488,008
Vermont 758,012

Midwest 82,110,731
Illinois 21,044,748
Ohio 13,307,806
Michigan 13,124,190
Indiana 8,072,680
Minnesota 7,609,503
Wisconsin 7,474,785
Kansas 3,800,814
Iowa 3,671,635
Nebraska 2,421,479
South Dakota 898,333
North Dakota 684,758

South 190,037,215
Texas 49,036,997
Florida 33,455,308
Georgia 16,811,180
North Carolina 15,205,799
Virginia 12,147,984
Maryland 8,977,520
Tennessee 8,451,765
Missouri 7,263,865
South Carolina 6,373,401
Alabama 5,766,597
Kentuky 5,272,842
Louisiana 5,257,391
Oklahoma 4,688,819
Arkansas 3,782,770
Mississippi 3,528,137
West Virginia 1,880,541
Delaware 1,356,612
District of Columbia 1,113,687

West 144,938,381
California 82,183,113
Arizona 14,292,225
Washington 11,045,211
Colorado 9,419,955
Nevada 8,688,545
Oregon 6,322,147
Utah 4,515,503
New Mexico 3,231,327
Idaho 2,511,192
Hawaii 1,812,670
Montana 1,139,676
Alaska 981,925
Wyoming 607,562

Projecting the U.S. Population to 2050

Last edited by 18Montclair; 08-19-2009 at 02:08 PM..
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Old 08-19-2009, 02:08 PM
 
Location: Underneath the Pecan Tree
15,831 posts, read 19,329,059 times
Reputation: 6657
Ok wtf is with California having over 82 million. I just don't see that.
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Old 08-19-2009, 02:11 PM
 
Location: Zurich, Switzerland
24,923 posts, read 31,755,507 times
Reputation: 10577
Quote:
Originally Posted by jluke65780 View Post
Ok wtf is with California having over 82 million. I just don't see that.
Perhaps fairus thinks gold will be discovered again?

I think 60 Million is more realistic.
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Old 08-19-2009, 02:17 PM
 
Location: Underneath the Pecan Tree
15,831 posts, read 19,329,059 times
Reputation: 6657
Quote:
Originally Posted by 18Montclair View Post
Perhaps fairus thinks gold will be discovered again?

I think 60 Million is more realistic.
No the gold is in Texas now.
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Old 08-19-2009, 02:22 PM
 
Location: Zurich, Switzerland
24,923 posts, read 31,755,507 times
Reputation: 10577
50 States
California 82,183,113
Texas 49,036,997
Florida 33,455,308
New York 29,301,275
Illinois 21,044,748
Georgia 16,811,180
New Jersey 15,543,405
North Carolina 15,205,799
Pennsylvania 14,547,975
Arizona 14,292,225
Ohio 13,307,806
Michigan 13,124,190
Virginia 12,147,984
Washington 11,045,211
Massachusetts 10,663,863
Colorado 9,419,955
Maryland 8,977,520
Nevada 8,688,545
Tennessee 8,451,765
Indiana 8,072,680
Minnesota 7,609,503
Wisconsin 7,474,785
Missouri 7,263,865
South Carolina 6,373,401
Oregon 6,322,147
Alabama 5,766,597
Kentuky 5,272,842
Louisiana 5,257,391
Connecticut 5,154,414
Oklahoma 4,688,819
Utah 4,515,503
Kansas 3,800,814
Arkansas 3,782,770
Iowa 3,671,635
Mississippi 3,528,137
New Mexico 3,231,327
Idaho 2,511,192
Nebraska 2,421,479
West Virginia 1,880,541
Hawaii 1,812,670
New Hampshire 1,810,013
Rhode Island 1,677,169
Maine 1,488,008
Delaware 1,356,612
Montana 1,139,676
District of Columbia 1,113,687
Alaska 981,925
South Dakota 898,333
Vermont 758,012
North Dakota 684,758
Wyoming 607,562
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Old 08-19-2009, 02:24 PM
 
Location: Zurich, Switzerland
24,923 posts, read 31,755,507 times
Reputation: 10577
Quote:
Originally Posted by jluke65780 View Post
No the gold is in Texas now.
Actually your the silver medalist.
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Old 08-19-2009, 03:04 PM
 
Location: In them thar hills
7,876 posts, read 9,560,630 times
Reputation: 4009
These types of projections assume firstly that fecundity will be at the current level forever and secondly that immigration will continue at the same or even greater pace. In fact, fecundity amongst the domestic born continues to plummet and secondly, even in our current "source" areas for immigration, is on the verge of going below replacement if not already there.

So, domestic fecundity is on the way to Spain / Japan territory and the supply of immigrants will slowly but surely dry up.

By 2050 we'll probably have passed our peak US population (perhaps we'll be substantially past it), other major industrial countries will have abandoned cities, and the rest of the world will be freaking out wondering what happened to their export markets.
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Old 08-19-2009, 03:08 PM
 
Location: Zurich, Switzerland
24,923 posts, read 31,755,507 times
Reputation: 10577
Quote:
Originally Posted by BayAreaHillbilly View Post

So, domestic fecundity is on the way to Spain / Japan territory.
Not if Mormons have anything to do with it.

LOLjk

(Im mormon)

Quote:
secondly, even in our current "source" areas for immigration, is on the verge of going below replacement if not already there.
I think we're very, very close to peaking.

Fairus is a doomsday alarmist. But I found these projections to be entertaining-if not scary.
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Old 08-19-2009, 03:14 PM
 
Location: Closer than you think!
1,700 posts, read 1,600,180 times
Reputation: 1052
Wow....California is expected to have more people than the entire NE and slightly higher than the Midwest. That's interesting to say the least.
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Old 08-19-2009, 03:16 PM
 
Location: Long Island
7,760 posts, read 9,315,766 times
Reputation: 4923
I think that's disgusting, I don't plan on living in my state much longer and I definitely wouldn't live here with 30 million people.

82 million people in California is just too much.
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