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Old 12-27-2010, 04:34 AM
 
Location: Tower of Heaven
4,023 posts, read 6,211,009 times
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So, what about the trends nationally ? More/less murders in 2010 than 2009 ?
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Old 12-27-2010, 05:47 AM
 
Location: Pittsburgh, USA
3,133 posts, read 8,074,282 times
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^^^ I ran a tally on 18 major cities and the difference is that 2009 was 32 higher than now, but that could be about even at the end of the year. 2463 vs 2495
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Old 12-27-2010, 08:39 AM
 
Location: Brooklyn, NY $$$
6,836 posts, read 12,209,430 times
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a quick question about Juarez, Mexico. If someone on that city wants to take a quick walk or jog what is the chance that they'll make it back home alive??

is the whole city going through this mes??
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Old 12-27-2010, 12:52 PM
 
452 posts, read 1,196,979 times
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According to the L.A. Times, the city is going to finish the year just under 300 murders and have the lowest raw number of murders since 1967! The murder rate is roughly the same as the 1950's. Congrats to the city of L.A. for being one of the safest major cities in the country with a homicide rate that is in the same league as New York City and Phoenix. Just 20 years ago the city had more homicides than any other in the country with over 1,000 murders.

Here is a map of homicide locations in 1992 on the left. The right side is 2010. Notice the vast improvement in the Westlake area to the west of downtown, the area north of downtown, Venice Beach, and South L.A. in general is much less dense with homicides. Westside is pretty much murder free.

http://www.latimes.com/media/graphic/2010-12/58462687.jpg (broken link)
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Old 12-27-2010, 01:49 PM
 
788 posts, read 1,330,546 times
Reputation: 275
Dallas Tx. - 147


last one, there were two more after this one but this was just upgraded today.



Quote:
Offense Date: 12/24/2010
Incident #: 0350571-X
AS SIGNAL: 19
DISPATCHED AT: 06:52

BEAT: 244 REPORTING AREA: 1053 WATCH: 1
-------------

NAME: ****************
HOME ADDRESS:
BUSINESS ADDRESS:
DALLAS TX 75***

RACE: B SEX: M AGE: 59 DOB:
-------------


OFFENSE DESCRIPTION: AGG ASSAULT (MURDER)

M/O: UNKNOWN SUSPECT FIRED SHOTS INTO RESIDENCE STRIKING COMPLAINANT
-------------


OFFENSE LOCATION: 08110 SKILLMANST
PREMISES: 503 - APARTMENT R
-------------


FAMILY VIOLENCE: N
GANG ACTIVITY CRIME: N


Narrative
-------------

ON TODAY'S DATE AT AROUND 6:56 AM BOTH WITNESSES AND THE COMPLAINANT WERE SITTING INSIDE THEIR APARTMENT
SMOKING CRACK AND TALKING WHEN AN UNIDENTIFIED SUSPECT FIRED GUN SHOTS THROUGH THE CLOSED WINDOW OF THEIR
APARTMENT. THE COMPLAINANT WAS STRUCK IN THE HEAD AND FELL ONTO THE BED. THE COMPLAINANT WAS TRANSPORTED TO
BAYLOR HOSIPIAL IN CRITICAL CONDIDTION AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO SURVIVE. THE WITNESS DID NOT SEE A SUSPECT. NFI END OF ELEMENTS
2010 map





2004-2010 map




yellow balloons = double murders
red balloons = triple murders
black balloons = 4+ murders
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Old 12-28-2010, 01:23 AM
 
815 posts, read 925,457 times
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L.A. did have over 1000 murders 20 yrs. ago but it didn't have the highest total in any year during the early 90's. New York City averaged over 2000 murders per year in the 6 yr. period from 88-93
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Old 12-28-2010, 02:11 PM
 
788 posts, read 1,330,546 times
Reputation: 275
Austin, TX.

1979 - 43
1980 - 43
1981 - 39
1982 - 59
1983 - 58
1984 - 59
1985 - 52
1986 - 48
1987 - 39
1988 - 43
1989 - 31
1990 - 46
1991 - 49
1992 - 37
1993 - 37
1994 - 37
1995 - 46
1996 - 40
1997 - 40
1998 - 32
1999 - 21
2000 - 32
2001 - 26
2002 - 25
2003 - 27
2004 - 26
2005 - 26
2006 - 20
2007 - 30
2008 - 23
2009 - 22 -- 2.86
2010 - 37




Quote:
Date: Thursday, December 23, 2010
Time: 5:00 p.m.
Location: 8700 block Birmingham Drive
Deceased: Sylvia Reyes Holt, Hispanic Female, (D. O. B. 08-14-1974)

Narrative:
On Thursday, December 23, 2010 at 5:00 p.m., Austin Police Officers responded to
a check welfare call at a residence in the 8700 block of Birmingham Drive. Austin
Police and Austin-Travis County EMS made entry into the residence and found a
36-year-old female inside the residence. She was pronounced deceased at the
scene.

Austin Police Homicide Detectives responded to the scene as is standard
procedure. The Travis County Medical Examiners Office conducted an autopsy and
ruled the death a homicide.

The case remains under investigation by the Austin Police Department Homicide
Unit. Anyone with information is asked to call the Homicide tip line at 512-477-3588,
Crime Stoppers at 512-472-TIPS or text "Tip 103" + your message to CRIMES.
You may be eligible for a cash reward of up to $1,000 if your tip leads to an arrest
or charges being filed.

This is Austinís 37th murder of 2010. There were 21 murders at this time in 2009.
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Old 12-28-2010, 08:47 PM
 
815 posts, read 925,457 times
Reputation: 634
New Orleans 12/28

2010-175
2009-173
2008-178
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Old 12-29-2010, 01:24 AM
 
Location: Brooklyn, NY $$$
6,836 posts, read 12,209,430 times
Reputation: 1552
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aceter View Post
New Orleans 12/28

2010-175
2009-173
2008-178
that's just sad smh.
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Old 12-29-2010, 09:41 AM
 
10,970 posts, read 21,321,929 times
Reputation: 10516
Looks like we're going to come in at around 436 (432 as of right now). 15.1/100,000. Fairly average for big cities, but higher than the top 2 cities.

It's isolated though in certain areas of the city. I divied up different areas of the city based on their community area (there are 77) and their population/murders in 2010:

25 community areas had a population of 828,200, and had a combined 11 murders so far in 2011. Those areas are generally everything in an arch from Hyde Park up through the Loop, and up across the northwest side of the city (Lincoln Park, Lakeview, Lincoln Square, Jefferson Park, etc). That's around 1.3/100,000 as far as the murder rate.

From the above area, from Lincoln Square over to Lakeview and down into the Near North Side has seen 2 murders for 308,000 people, or 0.7/100,000

As for other areas, in many years Logan Square and West Town can be quite violent, but so far in 2010 its 3 murders for 170,000 people, 1.8/100,000.

Then I looked at 8 other community areas. Places like Bridgeport, Dunning, Rogers Park, Edgewater, Uptown, Irving Park. Places that are generally decent and quite dense, but have their rough spots and/or incidents. Those community areas had 28 murders for 445,000 people. That's around 6.3/100,000.

Then you have your Auburn Gresham, W. Englewood, Greater Grand, Humbolt Park, North Lawndale, Chicago Lawn, Roseland, etc. They've seen 184 murders for 402,000 people. Around 43% of the city's total murders and 14% of the population, for a rate of 46/100,000.

Austin and Englewood are actually seeing roughly half the number of murders this year compared to the previous two years. Austin is at 23 after seeing 80 in the two years prior. Englewood is at 11 after seeing 42 in the two years prior. 33 murders for 157,000 people, or 21/100,000.

A huge difference though, you rapidly start tallying a majority of the murders in places with a fraction of the population:

Best areas: 3 murders for 559,000 people. - roughly the northwest side, near north areas, hyde park, southwest sides, midway area.
Worst of the worst: 218 murders for 559,000 people - half the murders and less than 20% of the population.



From Hyde Park up through the Loop, over to West Town, Logan Square, Avondale, Portage Park, Dunning and all points north have seen 37 murders for 1,232,000 people. Or around 3.0/100,000. This is the main residential areas on the north side of the city. When people talk about the "north side" and "the rest of the city", this is basically the area they mean. Not that the rest of the city is all bad by any means. Areas around Midway, the Southwest side and areas near Hyde Park have only seen 1 murder for their 150,000 people, or around 0.5/100,000.

If you just want to do the Loop up through the Near North, Lincoln Park, Lakeview, over to Lincoln Square and points to the north/northwest (excluding Portage Park, Dunning, Avondale, Logan Square), then you have 19 murders for 756,600 people, or 2.5/100,000. Although really 12 of those murders happened in spots around Uptown, Rogers Park, and the random spate of violence along Sheridan in Edgewater. Cut out those areas and you're down to 6 murders for 600,000 people, or 1.0/100,000. Even then though, the murders in Uptown/Edgewater/Rogers Park are fairly concentrated, and not effect all 180,000 people in those neighborhoods. I live in Buena Park, which is in Uptown, but I live in a much different place than those along Wilson.

Last edited by Chicago60614; 12-29-2010 at 10:17 AM..
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