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Old 02-02-2010, 06:14 PM
 
Location: San Francisco, CA
77 posts, read 176,586 times
Reputation: 110

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Don't take this too seriously as population growth rates will obviously not stay consistent for the the next 100 years. But hypothetically, if they did stay consistent and every city experienced their current growth rate (based off of 2000-2008 growth Table of United States primary census statistical areas - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia) for the next 100 years, these would be our 25 largest cities:

1.Los Angeles: 36,273,179
2.New York: 32,429,018
3.Dallas: 24,349,936
4.Atlanta: 24,320,895
5.Phoenix: 21,232,867
6.Houston: 21,183,381
7.Washington-Baltimore: 18,187,657
8.Chicago: 16,109,554
9.Miami: 10,917,534
10.Orlando: 10,898,100
11.San Francisco-San Jose: 10,860,838
12.Las Vegas: 10,419,710
13.Boston: 10,295,219
14.Seattle: 9,323,544
15.Charlotte: 9,136,864
16.Denver: 9,129,626
17.Philadelphia: 8,870,470
18.Austin: 8,523,635
19.Tampa: 7,552,014
20.Minneapolis: 7,516,419
21.Sacramento: 7,499,996
22.Raleigh: 7,734,298
23.San Antonio: 6,774,869
24.Portland: 6,208,486
25.Nashville: 5,346,997


Overpopulation is frightening.
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Old 02-02-2010, 06:34 PM
 
Location: Chicago
721 posts, read 1,572,527 times
Reputation: 449
Quote:
Originally Posted by San Fran Babe View Post
Don't take this too seriously as population growth rates will obviously not stay consistent for the the next 100 years. But hypothetically, if they did stay consistent and every city experienced their current growth rate (based off of 2000-2008 growth Table of United States primary census statistical areas - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia) for the next 100 years, these would be our 25 largest cities:

1.Los Angeles: 36,273,179
2.New York: 32,429,018
3.Dallas: 24,349,936
4.Atlanta: 24,320,895
5.Phoenix: 21,232,867
6.Houston: 21,183,381
7.Washington-Baltimore: 18,187,657
8.Chicago: 16,109,554
9.Miami: 10,917,534
10.Orlando: 10,898,100
11.San Francisco-San Jose: 10,860,838
12.Las Vegas: 10,419,710
13.Boston: 10,295,219
14.Seattle: 9,323,544
15.Charlotte: 9,136,864
16.Denver: 9,129,626
17.Philadelphia: 8,870,470
18.Austin: 8,523,635
19.Tampa: 7,552,014
20.Minneapolis: 7,516,419
21.Sacramento: 7,499,996
22.Raleigh: 7,734,298
23.San Antonio: 6,774,869
24.Portland: 6,208,486
25.Nashville: 5,346,997


Overpopulation is frightening.
I don't see 3-6 happening. The nations birthrate is slowing down and so has immigration. If anything we'll start to experience population decline. Interesting list, but next to impossible.

Also, urban living has made a comeback. Cities built around expressways will have a hard time reversing their sprawl (#s 3-6 especially). I suggest everyone read The Geography of Nowhere, it's a great book, as Tmac knows!
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Old 02-02-2010, 06:43 PM
 
Location: Pasadena
883 posts, read 1,975,007 times
Reputation: 451
Not to mention that some cities that were high growth in the beggining of the decade, have slowed, so its not likely anyways....(PHX, Las Vegas, etc)

Quote:
Originally Posted by San Fran Babe View Post
Don't take this too seriously as population growth rates will obviously not stay consistent for the the next 100 years. But hypothetically, if they did stay consistent and every city experienced their current growth rate (based off of 2000-2008 growth Table of United States primary census statistical areas - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia) for the next 100 years, these would be our 25 largest cities:

1.Los Angeles: 36,273,179
2.New York: 32,429,018
3.Dallas: 24,349,936
4.Atlanta: 24,320,895
5.Phoenix: 21,232,867
6.Houston: 21,183,381
7.Washington-Baltimore: 18,187,657
8.Chicago: 16,109,554
9.Miami: 10,917,534
10.Orlando: 10,898,100
11.San Francisco-San Jose: 10,860,838
12.Las Vegas: 10,419,710
13.Boston: 10,295,219
14.Seattle: 9,323,544
15.Charlotte: 9,136,864
16.Denver: 9,129,626
17.Philadelphia: 8,870,470
18.Austin: 8,523,635
19.Tampa: 7,552,014
20.Minneapolis: 7,516,419
21.Sacramento: 7,499,996
22.Raleigh: 7,734,298
23.San Antonio: 6,774,869
24.Portland: 6,208,486
25.Nashville: 5,346,997


Overpopulation is frightening.
Lol, City Data would not be happy in 100 years knowing these sunbelt cities make up the better part of the 25 largest cities.
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Old 02-02-2010, 08:28 PM
 
521 posts, read 1,145,670 times
Reputation: 318
Didn't Atlanta area suffer from water shortages just last year? Imagine adding millions more people who all need to do their bodily functions every day. Two words: water scarcity. Same reason I don't see cities like L.A., Phoenix, Dallas, and Vegas keep growing population at current rates. Unless those cities are going to get pipelined water from the Great Lakes. Even the vast aquifers such as the Ogalala are quickly being drained (no thanks to corn-based ethanol for that!).
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Old 02-02-2010, 08:36 PM
 
582 posts, read 1,199,753 times
Reputation: 343
People will be living on the moon by then.
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Old 02-02-2010, 08:37 PM
 
5,857 posts, read 14,043,096 times
Reputation: 3482
It's folly to project from today's largest cities. There are so many variables. Take a look at this list of the 25 largest cities in the US from 100 years ago, in rank order:

1 New York
2 Chicago
3 Philadelphia
4 St. Louis
5 Boston
6 Cleveland
7 Baltimore
8 Pittsburgh
9 Detroit
10 Buffalo
11 San Francisco
12 Milwaukee
13 Cincinnati
14 Newark
15 New Orleans
16 Washington
17 Los Angeles
18 Minneapolis
19 Jersey City
20 Kansas City
21 Seattle
22 Indianapolis
23 Providence
24 Louisville
25 Rochester
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Old 02-02-2010, 08:39 PM
 
1,694 posts, read 5,075,130 times
Reputation: 691
A time when Cleveland,Buffalo and St.Louis where bigger than SF,LA and D.C.,would've been interesting to see.
And I agree,unless they find a way to loop water in from another dimension L.A. couldn't support that many people let alone the rest of the Sun Belt.
It's already congested as is anyways,they better start leveling city blocks and rebuilding UP haha
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Old 02-02-2010, 08:40 PM
 
521 posts, read 1,145,670 times
Reputation: 318
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ben Around View Post
It's folly to project from today's largest cities. There are so many variables. Take a look at this list of the 25 largest cities in the US from 100 years ago, in rank order:

1 New York
2 Chicago
3 Philadelphia
4 St. Louis
5 Boston
6 Cleveland
7 Baltimore
8 Pittsburgh
9 Detroit
10 Buffalo
11 San Francisco
12 Milwaukee
13 Cincinnati
14 Newark
15 New Orleans
16 Washington
17 Los Angeles
18 Minneapolis
19 Jersey City
20 Kansas City
21 Seattle
22 Indianapolis
23 Providence
24 Louisville
25 Rochester

you've made your point very well! it is interesting to note that Dallas (Big D ) was such a podunk little town that it didn't even crack the top 25 list back then. Now it's in the top 10-15 (the city, not the metro area) and climbing fast...
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Old 02-02-2010, 09:11 PM
 
Location: Hell's Kitchen, NYC
2,271 posts, read 4,528,780 times
Reputation: 1594
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dncr View Post
I don't see 3-6 happening. The nations birthrate is slowing down and so has immigration. If anything we'll start to experience population decline. Interesting list, but next to impossible.

Also, urban living has made a comeback. Cities built around expressways will have a hard time reversing their sprawl (#s 3-6 especially). I suggest everyone read The Geography of Nowhere, it's a great book, as Tmac knows!
Are you talking about legal immigration?

In any case, I think we'll sooner get jet packs before "urban living" truly makes a comeback. Americans love their cars too much.
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Old 02-02-2010, 09:29 PM
 
3,970 posts, read 11,825,661 times
Reputation: 1576
Quote:
Originally Posted by bgNCATL View Post
People will be living on the moon by then.
Not if Obama has anything to do with it.
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