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Old 01-15-2018, 09:25 PM
 
Location: Western Colorado
11,067 posts, read 12,423,360 times
Reputation: 26042

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I washed my Jeep today and ate pineapple, it WILL snow! Science...

 
Old 01-18-2018, 10:58 AM
 
Location: Pueblo - Colorado's Second City
12,175 posts, read 20,977,124 times
Reputation: 4258
Now it looks like 60's and 70's Friday and Saturday then snow on Sunday with highs in the 30's in Pueblo proper lol.
 
Old 01-18-2018, 01:02 PM
 
Location: CO/UT/AZ/NM Catch me if you can!
4,703 posts, read 4,343,073 times
Reputation: 10302
So far it's been a very dry and mostly warm winter out here in the Lost Corners. I am becoming very concerned about the lack of snow pack in the San Juans as well as the La Platas. McPhee Reservoir looks like an overgrown mud puddle and the Dolores River has slowed to a rather sullen trickle as it comes down from the mountains and thru the town of Dolores. The good news is that a cold front bringing much needed precip is supposed to go through SW Colorado on Saturday. Keeping fingers crossed!

Maybe Jim could be persuaded to wash his jeep a few more times?
 
Old 01-18-2018, 09:11 PM
 
Location: Western Colorado
11,067 posts, read 12,423,360 times
Reputation: 26042
A Pacific storm is expected to move over the region beginning
late Friday night, continuing through Saturday night when the
highest precipitation rates are expected...snow then lingers over
the Colorado mountains into Sunday. Latest model guidance
indicated that the storm will arrive later than previously
predicted.

The early phase of the storm will feature warm southwesterly flow
ahead of its associated cold front. This will keep snow levels
elevated from around 7500 to 8500 feet through Saturday afternoon
limiting snowfall to the mountains.

Models are now consistent in bringing the cold front west to east
across the forecast area Saturday night. This should be the most
active period of the storm. As colder air filters into the area
behind the front expect snow levels to lower to the valley
floors.

Potential snow accumulations in the valleys are expected to be
fairly light with just 1 to 2 inches in the lower valleys and from
2 to 4 inches in the higher valleys. Potential snowfall
accumulations 6 to 12 inches are expected across the mountains
with higher accumulations for areas above 11,000 feet.
 
Old 01-19-2018, 07:50 AM
 
13,297 posts, read 25,491,832 times
Reputation: 20410
^^^^^
Jim, what is your weather report source? I'd like to subscribe also. Thx
 
Old 01-19-2018, 08:40 AM
 
Location: Western Colorado
11,067 posts, read 12,423,360 times
Reputation: 26042
Quote:
Originally Posted by brightdoglover View Post
^^^^^
Jim, what is your weather report source? I'd like to subscribe also. Thx
National Weather Service.
 
Old 01-19-2018, 03:11 PM
 
Location: CO/UT/AZ/NM Catch me if you can!
4,703 posts, read 4,343,073 times
Reputation: 10302
Quote:
Originally Posted by brightdoglover View Post
^^^^^
Jim, what is your weather report source? I'd like to subscribe also. Thx
You can also check out the scientific forecaster discussion on Weather Underground.

https://www.wunderground.com/Display...tyName=Ridgway

Here's a snip of the long range forecast for Western Colorado:

Have issued a Winter Storm Watch for the San Juan Mountains for
late Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. The warm phase of
the storm will be yielding to a strong cold front Saturday
evening as the main upper level low/trough nudges eastward out of
the Great Basin and across our forecast area. This will shift the
focus of the heavier precipitation from the south and southwest
facing slopes to the northwest and north facing slopes as the
front passes. Snow levels will be dropping to the valley floors
with widespread light accumulations anticipated. Model generated
snowfall for the lower valleys generally running in the 1 to 3
inch range, although locally higher amounts are expected.

Favored valley locations include the northwest plateau from
Dinosaur east through Craig and Hayden and over our higher ridges
across our southwest valleys. Reasoning differs for both locations
as the northern valleys will be seeing the colder air arrive a
little sooner with some expected overrunning of moisture above the
deepening cold pool. Southern valleys will be seeing a sliver
of drier air riding in aloft, helping to destabilize conditions
Saturday evening out ahead of the front. Convective element will
drive snow levels down and result in brief heavy precipitation
should this thing hold together. Higher ridges between Mesa Verde
National Park east to the Durango west area and over to the region
north of Bayfield have the potential to see enhanced precipitation
for a few hours Saturday evening just ahead of the front. Moisture
profiles stands back up (moisture levels improve again), after
midnight with areas of light snow expected to persist through
early Sunday morning.

 
Old 01-19-2018, 04:47 PM
 
Location: Washington Park, Denver
6,912 posts, read 6,515,565 times
Reputation: 7365
Quote:
Originally Posted by brightdoglover View Post
^^^^^
Jim, what is your weather report source? I'd like to subscribe also. Thx
I like this one a lot for snow forecasting. Lots of geeky meteorologist stuff.

https://opensnow.com/dailysnow/colorado
 
Old 01-20-2018, 08:05 AM
 
Location: Western Colorado
11,067 posts, read 12,423,360 times
Reputation: 26042
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
439 AM MST Sat Jan 20 2018

COZ003-017-210000-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0004.180120T2100Z-180121T2100Z/
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Including the cities of Rio Blanco, Ridgway, and Glade Park
439 AM MST Sat Jan 20 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 2 PM MST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Plan on slippery road
conditions. In addition, significant reductions in visibility
are expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with
localized amounts up to 12 inches, expected.

* WHERE...Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus and Uncompahgre Plateau and
Dallas Divide.

* WHEN...From 2 PM Saturday to 2 PM MST Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will
cause widespread blowing and drifting snow.
 
Old 01-20-2018, 09:45 AM
 
16,514 posts, read 20,931,210 times
Reputation: 47909
Quote:
Originally Posted by Colorado Rambler View Post
So far it's been a very dry and mostly warm winter out here in the Lost Corners. I am becoming very concerned about the lack of snow pack in the San Juans as well as the La Platas. McPhee Reservoir looks like an overgrown mud puddle and the Dolores River has slowed to a rather sullen trickle as it comes down from the mountains and thru the town of Dolores. The good news is that a cold front bringing much needed precip is supposed to go through SW Colorado on Saturday. Keeping fingers crossed!

Maybe Jim could be persuaded to wash his jeep a few more times?
There's very good reason to be concerned and though I've brought this location up before, this absolutely deserves a mention-Wolf Creek Pass. Last nights newscast on GJ's NBC affiliate KKCO ran through the ski report for the various bases around the state and Wolf Creek comes in with all of 21 inches. Usually at this time of the year they sit around 85 to 90 inches (JMHO).

They could get a foot of snow out of this latest storm rolling the state and it would still be woefully short on the snow pack situation.
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