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Old 10-28-2011, 05:38 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,296 posts, read 11,211,966 times
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Meteorlogist Steve DiMartino..NO HYPEMASTER. lol No I-95 snows. 3-6 elsewhere. 11 minute video but very detailed.


Forecast Discussion for October 28, 2011.mp4 - YouTube
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Old 10-28-2011, 06:00 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
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A shift East by 25 miles and that pink will be south more. Models have trended so slightly west over night.

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Old 10-28-2011, 06:17 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,296 posts, read 11,211,966 times
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And here's accuweathers forecast... Lets put it this way... 3-5 days ago accuweather had low temps around 32 for us, TWC had 41...I was LMAO .... It's 31 degrees now. ... In my opinion someone should be fired at TWC for being too conservative. Its always better to prepare people then them brushing it off.

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Old 10-28-2011, 06:18 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
A shift East by 25 miles and that pink will be south more. Models have trended so slightly west over night.
And the snow machine begins for you guys.... Wow...this is so so rare.....
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Old 10-28-2011, 07:22 AM
Status: "Getting to the choppa" (set 22 days ago)
 
982 posts, read 540,582 times
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The snow hype has begun early this year! Gil Simmons this morning saying wind gusts higher than Irene!
I don't doubt that most of the state will get something (a few inches), but the temps just don't seem cold enough to support the amount of snow predicted. And the ground is still warm. Am I missing something here?
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Old 10-28-2011, 07:30 AM
 
Location: Live in NY State, (sometimes) work in CT
6,402 posts, read 7,543,273 times
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I'm thinking it will be like the October 4, 1987 storm.......snow did (barely) stick on the coast from about Norwalk on east, but draw a line from Norwalk to the Tappan Zee Bridge and that was the rain snow line. But it was quite a doozy once you got north of I-84 with trees down and power outages over a wide area!

Though with 30s even in NYC this morning I wouldn't put sticking snow there even if just "dust" out of the possibility.
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Old 10-28-2011, 07:40 AM
 
Location: Fairfield County, CT
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I'm surprised Gil isn't forecasting 10-14".

Why they got rid of Geoff Fox and kept this clown is beyond me.
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Old 10-28-2011, 07:47 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,296 posts, read 11,211,966 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike 75 View Post
The snow hype has begun early this year! Gil Simmons this morning saying wind gusts higher than Irene!
I don't doubt that most of the state will get something (a few inches), but the temps just don't seem cold enough to support the amount of snow predicted. And the ground is still warm. Am I missing something here?
Correct and correct... few spots along the coast could see Tropical Storm force winds but for a short time as it moves quickly out. Watch the strength of it as it comes off the Carolina coast, the stronger it gets the higher the wind speed.

Ground is warm enough...subtract a few inches...problem is the air above us and the rate it will fall and the length of time...Just like Hartford and Putnam county seeing it accuulate on grass yesterday.. Surface was 37 degrees but it fell long and hard enough.
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Old 10-28-2011, 07:50 AM
 
Location: Republic of New England
633 posts, read 492,818 times
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I think it will be a wet snow like last year of early first week of November.

PS: This going to be interesting... have a Mimosa tree that is still pure green with most its leafs, so this going to be interesting LOL
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Old 10-28-2011, 07:55 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,296 posts, read 11,211,966 times
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From the GFS6z run Winds... Looks like Eastern Tip of Long Island sees over 55mph.. Legend is in kts
Coastal Flooding?

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