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Old 10-28-2011, 09:04 AM
Status: "Slice like a ninja, cut like a razor blade" (set 11 days ago)
 
1,199 posts, read 725,415 times
Reputation: 486

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Quote:
Originally Posted by kidyankee764 View Post
I'm surprised Gil isn't forecasting 10-14".

Why they got rid of Geoff Fox and kept this clown is beyond me.
From past experience, I've learned to always compare Gil's forcast to others. When I switched over the Channel 3 this morning, Scot Haney seemed pretty blase about the whole thing, saying snow in the north, rain along the coast. No mention of 60 mph winds, no mention of power outages. I know a lot of people can't stand Scot Haney for his on-air antics, but he tends not to over-hype things.

The thing is, I actually like Gil as an on-air personality. But his pro-winter bias (snowmobiling) comes through all the time, and makes his winter forecasts hard to believe.
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Old 10-28-2011, 09:15 AM
 
8,473 posts, read 9,843,938 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike 75 View Post
From past experience, I've learned to always compare Gil's forcast to others. When I switched over the Channel 3 this morning, Scot Haney seemed pretty blase about the whole thing, saying snow in the north, rain along the coast. No mention of 60 mph winds, no mention of power outages. I know a lot of people can't stand Scot Haney for his on-air antics, but he tends not to over-hype things.

The thing is, I actually like Gil as an on-air personality. But his pro-winter bias (snowmobiling) comes through all the time, and makes his winter forecasts hard to believe.
I've found 30 to have the most reliable winter forecasts/predictions. I hope they're wrong this time, because i don't like their forecast for tomorrow..
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Old 10-28-2011, 09:20 AM
 
Location: USA East Coast
4,445 posts, read 4,758,391 times
Reputation: 1921
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike 75 View Post
From past experience, I've learned to always compare Gil's forcast to others. When I switched over the Channel 3 this morning, Scot Haney seemed pretty blase about the whole thing, saying snow in the north, rain along the coast. No mention of 60 mph winds, no mention of power outages. I know a lot of people can't stand Scot Haney for his on-air antics, but he tends not to over-hype things.

The thing is, I actually like Gil as an on-air personality. But his pro-winter bias (snowmobiling) comes through all the time, and makes his winter forecasts hard to believe.
This really is a tough call…but I think Haney is likely right; I think any real snow will be in points north/west, or from 1-84 northward. I think southern CT and the coastal cities will a mix or a mix to rain along the coast. Today is supposed to the lower 50’s …so that might make it tough for snow to stick in some places.

As far as Gil on Channel 8….lol - I agree - he starts looking for snowstorms in early October and keeps the hype up until mid April – so I wouldn’t go much by what he says. This past summer on a day that was 90 F he was showing his winter predictions
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Old 10-28-2011, 09:20 AM
 
Location: Republic of New England
633 posts, read 575,622 times
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Hey I like Scot Haney, although a strange one LOL
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Old 10-28-2011, 09:57 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,232 posts, read 14,284,596 times
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From NWS Watches: On Target including the low winds for Litchfield.. The more North you go the less winds from this NorEaster but the more snow.
Intellicast - Weather Alerts

TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

Northern Fairfield:
ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.
WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.


Southern Fairfield, Southern New Haven, Westchester
ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES.
WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

Hartford:
ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.
WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

Tolland

ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.
WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

Litchfield:

ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL OF 7 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW IN THE
WATCH AREA. LOCATIONS GREATER THAN 1000 FEET MAY POTENTIALLY
RECEIVE THE HIGHEST TOTALS...ESPECIALLY THE LITCHFIELD HILLS.

WINDS...NORTH WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

Windham:

ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.
WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

Power Outages Likely.
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Old 10-28-2011, 10:12 AM
 
Location: Fairfield County, CT
12,052 posts, read 12,829,173 times
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Interesting that Northern FF County is expected to get more than the Hartford area.
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Old 10-28-2011, 11:42 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,232 posts, read 14,284,596 times
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Here you go...a compilation of everyones thoughts. LOL
Top right is News12 Westchester...I'm trying to find News12CT

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Old 10-28-2011, 11:45 AM
 
Location: Republic of New England
633 posts, read 575,622 times
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I just hope it's not more than 2 inches LOL then they melt fast hahahah LOL
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Old 10-28-2011, 12:32 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,232 posts, read 14,284,596 times
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Default NYC & Vicinity October Snow Stats

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1200 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

WITH AN EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL ANTICIPATED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
TRI-STATE AREA...THIS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED
TO OFFER HISTORICAL EARLY SEASON SNOWFALL DATA. BELOW IS A LIST OF
THE EARLIEST RECORDED MEASURABLE SNOWFALL AT THE SIX MAJOR CLIMATE
SITES IN OUR AREA. ADDITIONAL DATA FOR CENTRAL PARK IS ALSO LISTED.

SITE DATE SNOWFALL RECORDS KEPT SINCE
KBDR-BRIDGEPORT OCT 4 1987 0.5 1948
KNYC-CENTRAL PARK OCT 15 1876 0.5 1869
KEWR-NEWARK OCT 20 1952 0.3 1931
KLGA-LAGUARDIA AIRPORT OCT 26 1962 1.2 1945
KJFK-KENNEDY AIRPORT OCT 26 1962 0.5 1948
KISP-ISLIP NOV 11 1987 0.2 1987

ADDITIONAL CENTRAL PARK DATA
EARLIEST 1 INCH SNOWFALL: NOV 5 1879 (1.5 INCHES)
EARLIEST 2 INCH SNOWFALL: NOV 6 1953 (2.2 INCHES)
EARLIEST 3 INCH SNOWFALL: NOV 23 1989 (4.4 INCHES)
EARLIEST 4 INCH SNOWFALL: NOV 23 1989 (4.4 INCHES)
EARLIEST 5 INCH SNOWFALL: NOV 26 1898 (5.0 INCHES)
EARLIEST 6 INCH SNOWFALL: NOV 30 1898 (6.0 INCHES)
National Weather Service Text Product Display

EXTRA STATS:
Newark,NJ, Bridgeport, CT, and New York City's Central Park should all break their October records for heaviest snow; the records are 0.5" for Bridgeport (10/4/1987), 0.5" for Central Park (10/15/1876; records started there in 1869), and 0.3" for Newark (10/20/1953).

Philadelphia will likely see its records fall too. The last time measurable snow fell in October in Philadelphia was 10/10/79, when 2.1" fell, making it a monthly record too. On this same date, 1" fell in Allentown, making a record there. The most snow to ever fall in Allentown was when 2.2" fell on 10/31/1925. Both records are likely to fall for Allentown.

Atlantic City has never had more than a trace of snow in October; the last time it received a trace was 10/28/2008. It is possible a trace may fall from this system, but most accumulating snow should be north/west of the NJ coastal cities.

In Wilmington, DE, 2.5" fell on 10/10/79 with no snow reported since then in the month of October. Wilmington's 3.0" record snowfall for the month was set in 1925. These records may be challenged by tomorrow evening's storm.
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Old 10-28-2011, 12:58 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,232 posts, read 14,284,596 times
Reputation: 4324
Moisture already in Mid Atlantic... Will go off the coast and quickly strengthen then move up. Watch the center folks... The center of the storm can shift while its right over us... Could mean everything from being rain to getting over half foot.

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