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Old 11-06-2012, 09:17 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read 18,885,525 times
Reputation: 5126

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Upton says if NAM is right "few" inches of snow would happen everywhere.

SHOULD THE AXIS OF NAM`S PRETTY IMPRESSIVE OMEGA IN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE VERIFY AND
ALIGN WITH THE AXES OF ITS MID-LEVEL MAX FRONTOGENESIS AND QPF...A
FEW INCHES OF SNOW COULD BE ACCUMULATE IN SPITE OF THE GROUND
TEMPERATURES. AND THIS WOULD NOT BE LIMITED TO JUST NORTH AND WEST
OF THE CITY.

Snow map for now.
If Central Park even gets 0.1" of snow, it would be their first measurable November snow since 1996. And (not counting Snowtober), the earliest measurable (OK to be fair I'll call it "earliest November measurable") since 1987. A trace would not be so unusual (except that it's early Nov. instead of late Nov.) on average that happens every 2-3 years.

 
Old 11-06-2012, 09:18 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Models go back west now.

Mike D explains it better than I can.

Models head west 11:00AM
 
Old 11-06-2012, 09:34 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
Bradley tied it's record low of 21 set in 1992. I don't believe any other new daily record lows were tied or broken in CT (Bridgeport bottomed out at 29, record is 25 in 1962), but Newark got down to 27 and broke their record (29 set in 1953 and 1951). Islip broke theirs too (low was 26), but their record only goes down to 1986. Central Park came very close to it's first record low (even tieing) in years, it bottomed out at 31, record low was 27 in 1874.
Yes, thanks for posting that and the NYC November snow stat.

Here's the official Statements these are the only Record Lows I can find for the NorthEast for today.
Impressive lows being 20 degrees below normal.

Quote:
1030 AM EDT TUE NOV 6 2012
...RECORD DAILY MINIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT HARTFORD CT...
A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE WAS SET AT BRADLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
FOR NOV 6 2012. THE TEMPERATURE DROPPED TO 20 AT 623 AM.
THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 21 SET BACK IN 1991.
Quote:
1014 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012
...RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT PROVIDENCE RI ON NOVEMBER 6...
THE LOW TEMPERATURE DROPPED TO 24 AT 556 AM THIS MORNING. THIS SETS
A RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR NOVEMBER 6 AT T.F. GREEN AIRPORT IN
WARWICK. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 25 DEGREES SET BACK IN 1951.
Quote:
827 AM EDT TUE NOV 06 2012
...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT NEWARK NJ...
A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 27 DEGREES WAS SET AT 512 AM AT NEWARK
NJ TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 29 SET IN 1951 AND 1953.
Quote:
806 AM EDT TUE NOV 06 2012
...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT ISLIP NY...
A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 26 DEGREES WAS SET AT 650 AM AT ISLIP
NY TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 27 SET IN 1991 AND 1995.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 09:37 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Accuweather is going to bust with this map. Should of extended it south more.

 
Old 11-06-2012, 09:45 AM
 
754 posts, read 1,018,041 times
Reputation: 208
so confused
 
Old 11-06-2012, 10:06 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mixum View Post
so confused
lol. Your not alone. This is one nobody will know until its over us. LOL. I'm still saying 1-3" in CT. The higher you are the more chance you get close to 3". Starting after 4pm. Mixing will be an issue after midnight & towards morning. It could be snowing for a good couple hours straight!

Winds gusting to 40mph not out of question
 
Old 11-06-2012, 10:40 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read 18,885,525 times
Reputation: 5126
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Accuweather is going to bust with this map. Should of extended it south more.
Here's the Weather Channel's current take on snow....only a little south of Accuweather's:

 
Old 11-06-2012, 12:45 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read 18,885,525 times
Reputation: 5126
Latest "shift south" from AccuWeather:

 
Old 11-06-2012, 01:29 PM
 
Location: New Britain, CT
1,572 posts, read 1,560,859 times
Reputation: 511
I like the looks of that map! No accumulating snow for New Britain or Hartford!
 
Old 11-06-2012, 01:49 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
They Upgraded the Wind to a Warning now for the coast.. Just adds to the confusion.

Models 24hrs out still dont know whats going on. Its like the Earth vs technology this time. I think Evap cooling will be the key factor and models arent handling that well.

322 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS LONG ISLAND...NEW YORK CITY...AND COASTAL CONNECTICUT...

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE TRI-STATE...

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM
WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT...HUDSON COUNTY...AND SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY.
* HAZARDS...DAMAGING WINDS.
* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.
* TIMING...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...AS WELL AS MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE.
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