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Old 09-20-2012, 05:11 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,254 posts, read 14,284,596 times
Reputation: 4328

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Anyone else tired of storms yet? I am... Apparently another chance Saturday but not like 2 days ago. Man those rains were torrential!

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
H5 TROF DIGS SEWD ON SAT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING MID LVL SW FLOW AND THETA-E. WITH SLY LLVL FLOW...MOST
UNSTABLE AREAS WILL BE THE WRN ZONES WITH SBCAPE OVER 1K J/KG. LOW
BRN SHOULD RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED TSTMS. IF THIS
TIMING HOLDS...A ROUND OF SVR POSSIBLE SAT AFTN INTO THE EARLY EVE.


From KBOX: Sunday night will be the coolest night of the weekend.

DIMINISHING WIND WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY NIGHT. DEWPOINTS AT THAT TIME WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S AND
40S...SO THIS IS OUR TARGET FOR MIN TEMPS.

 
Old 09-20-2012, 06:29 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,254 posts, read 14,284,596 times
Reputation: 4328
Default September 20, 2012 Actual Low Temps

September 20 Lows:

WINDSOR LOCKS: 45
BRIDGEPORT: 52
DANBURY: 41
HARTFORD: 48
OXFORD: 48

NANTUCKET: 56
NORTH ADAMS: 38
BOSTON: 51

BERLIN: 32
CONCORD: 34
WHITEFIELD: 31

ALBANY: 41
WHITE PLAINS: 51
ISLIP: 52
NYC-LAGUARDIA: 58
POUGHKEEPSIE: 42
SARANAC LAKE: 26

ATLANTIC CITY: 48
 
Old 09-21-2012, 05:31 AM
 
Location: Live in NY State, (sometimes) work in CT
6,628 posts, read 8,352,318 times
Reputation: 2263
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
September 20 Lows:

WINDSOR LOCKS: 45
BRIDGEPORT: 52
DANBURY: 41
HARTFORD: 48
OXFORD: 48

NANTUCKET: 56
NORTH ADAMS: 38
BOSTON: 51

BERLIN: 32
CONCORD: 34
WHITEFIELD: 31

ALBANY: 41
WHITE PLAINS: 51
ISLIP: 52
NYC-LAGUARDIA: 58
POUGHKEEPSIE: 42
SARANAC LAKE: 26

ATLANTIC CITY: 48
For comparison (since so many use it as a "benchmark"), Central Park's low was 54. By the way, any idea if Provincetown (Cape Cod) stayed above 60 and "beat" LGA? It was 62 when LGA was 58....
 
Old 09-21-2012, 06:33 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,254 posts, read 14,284,596 times
Reputation: 4328
Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
For comparison (since so many use it as a "benchmark"), Central Park's low was 54. By the way, any idea if Provincetown (Cape Cod) stayed above 60 and "beat" LGA? It was 62 when LGA was 58....
If PVC is the station then yes...it hit 61 as the low. Check the date when clicking this link because it will update. Just click on the 2nd page at the top for previous day.
http://forecast.weather.gov/product....n=1&glossary=0
 
Old 09-21-2012, 09:01 AM
 
Location: USA East Coast
4,445 posts, read 4,762,100 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
For comparison (since so many use it as a "benchmark"), Central Park's low was 54. By the way, any idea if Provincetown (Cape Cod) stayed above 60 and "beat" LGA? It was 62 when LGA was 58....
I fell to 53.1 F this morning. I doubt Provincetown beat LGA - SST in Mass Bay off Boston area already below 65 F I think (?). As of this morning NWS Bridgeport MMT has fallen to just +1.4 F. I'll bet it will go under +1 F once they average in this mornings low and the two cool nights (sun/mon).
 
Old 09-21-2012, 06:21 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
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Default GFS Tuesday Morning Temps

GFS has 30s making it to northern tier of CT for Tuesday morning.. It was looking like Sunday night was going to be the coolest night but now its looking like Monday night.

In any case... Thats A lot Of 30s on the map for September!

 
Old 09-22-2012, 05:48 AM
 
Location: Live in NY State, (sometimes) work in CT
6,628 posts, read 8,352,318 times
Reputation: 2263
I actually find that map to be a bit hard to believe. I know there can be big differences between the coast and inland, especially in fall, but 40 degrees? I don't see 30s in norther CT translating to 70s on the coast, more like mid-upper 50s. If we were comparing the coast to Saranac Lake in upstate NY's Adirondacks (which were 26 degrees the other day) then maybe. And eastern LI is usually (despite the ocean influence) not the ultimate warmest lows of the area, it shows it as 20 degrees warmer than NYC. I think the upper 50s to near 60 it shows for NYC is about what LI and the CT coast would bottom out in an upper 30s inland scenario.
 
Old 09-22-2012, 06:29 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,254 posts, read 14,284,596 times
Reputation: 4328
Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
I actually find that map to be a bit hard to believe. I know there can be big differences between the coast and inland, especially in fall, but 40 degrees? I don't see 30s in norther CT translating to 70s on the coast,...
Thats probably because the GFS isnt High Resolution like the Euro and NAM so the maps arent as "clean" (especially for coast situations).

Here are the forecasted Lows for Monday (Sunday Night) from the GFS MOS data found here.
AVN-MOS STATION TEXT FORECASTS

WINDSOR LOCKS 42
BRIDGEPORT 51
DANBURY 41
GROTON 47
HARTFORD-BRAINARD 46
NEW HAVEN 48
WILLIMANTIC 41
MERIDEN 43
OXFORD 42
 
Old 09-22-2012, 03:51 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,254 posts, read 14,284,596 times
Reputation: 4328
I was surprised we didnt get warmer today. I thought the coast would hit upper 70s at least. Man this trough is working magic.

Aside from the chance of rain, I think the more interesting story is the very Cool nights coming up... Back after the first cold night I said 3 more times... Will this be the third or forth? I lost track.

This is from latest NAM. Has 30s getting into areas of CT Sunday night.


Location ....... Monday Lows... Tuesday Lows
WINDSOR LOCKS ..... 42 ........... 43
BRIDGEPORT ........... 51 ........... 53
DANBURY ............... 39 ........... 41
GROTON ................ 44 ........... 47
HARTFORD ............. 45 ........... 47
NEW HAVEN ........... 45 ........... 49
WILLIMANTIC ......... 39 ........... 41
MERIDEN ............... 41 ........... 44
OXFORD ................ 40 ........... 45
 
Old 09-22-2012, 04:56 PM
 
885 posts, read 719,402 times
Reputation: 722
Another day of boat plans ruined.

My phone/the weather guys - were saying 79 and beautiful today, all the way up untill 8amish this morning. I had plans in stone and then at 11am clouds rolled in, never got about 68 and the day was done.

Sigh.
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