[Cambium]

Radar showing some light snow showers moving in SW CT

But first I wanted to show you the latest GFS for Tuesday Night/Wednesday morning. A 995mb Low off the coast is a decent storm even though it's a bit east of a good spot, but notice the lack of greens... That's a moisture starved system.

Islip data on bottom. Only 0.19" liquid falling from it and they are the eastern most location. We'll see how the trend goes but again, not a big storm happening.

[Cambium]

There's the snow showers heading into CT from Westchester/Putnam.

[dkm87183]

Youre killin me Cam

[Cambium]

WPC expresses and confirms what I've been saying for 2 weeks now. Goodbye blizzard chances for us.

The Window of opportunity for a huge snowstorm has been narrowed by 4 weeks now Feb 10-March 10 in my opinion.

“The Gulf of Mexico is basically closed for business in terms of moisture transport in a pattern like this”

WPC's Short Range Public Discussion

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
237 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2014

Valid 12Z Sun Jan 19 2014 - 12Z Tue Jan 21 2014

***Highly amplified weather pattern across the country***
***Arctic airmass arriving to the Eastern U.S.***
***Continued dry and warm across the Western U.S.***

The weather pattern across the continental U.S. through the beginning of
the work week will be featured with a strong ridge across the western
states and a large scale trough over the eastern half of the country.
There will be a few areas of light snow over the northern tier of the
country, but there is not enough moisture available for any widespread
areas of organized precipitation. The Gulf of Mexico is basically closed
for business in terms of moisture transport in a pattern like this.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by mikelizard860

LOL....We just had a major storm in nw ct. .

Lol. What makes you think it was a storm? Moisture falling from sky from orographic lifting is not a storm. I'm talking about a fully developed system not a wave of low pressure that was enhanced by hills with localized high amounts.

[mikelizard860]

I get what you mean though cam. A storm that doesn't affect nyc-hartford major cities I-95 corridor so the media hype machine can start with everyone running to get bread

[Poseidon3290]

Well I want a storm thursday or friday so lets hold out hope for that.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by JMagliola

Well I want a storm thursday or friday so lets hold out hope for that.

We might actually get a weak one Tuesday night. A clipper comes down and a coastal storm forms off the coast. Depending where it set up and moves will determine how much snow. It would be all snow for everyone.. Could be just a 1-3" event or a 3-5" event or a 5-7" event. I'm going for the 3-5" event right now. I feel safer with the lower end and I'll admit if I'm wrong about that.

But I'll have an update on the storm tomorrow so things could change. I'm just not impressed with the amount of moisture around lately and that's why I hesitate even for just 3"

[htfdcolt]

For what it's worth...I lived in the snow belt east of Cleveland for 6 years, and locals never referred to lake effect snow as a "storm". In fact, lake effect would often set up after a storm as the wind direction turned NW or WNW over Lake Erie.

[mikelizard860]

Originally Posted by htfdcolt

For what it's worth...I lived in the snow belt east of Cleveland for 6 years, and locals never referred to lake effect snow as a "storm". In fact, lake effect would often set up after a storm as the wind direction turned NW or WNW over Lake Erie.

So thunder"storms" are not storms. LOL And you can forecast storms weeks in advance with a high degree of certainty. My mistake I guess