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Old 01-10-2019, 04:28 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
Reputation: 16619

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Quote:
Originally Posted by beer belly View Post
Walked the pup at 5:20am.....30*F and very, very light flurries, hardly worth mentioning. Wife just said the Scott Haney sez no snow for us, possible flurries.....the storm goes South of us.

I must of saw something happening even before the North Carolina/Virginia snowstorm in Mid December.


This was December 5th.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Flashbacks to 2009-10 when snows would miss us to the south.

Scattered snow around but its all staying south of NYC. We all have to share I guess.

Check out the Atlantic City Webcam.: https://www.atlanticcitywebcam.com/

Snowing in Philly and Richmond as well right now.

The fact that it was able to snow south of us so easily early December made me have flashbacks to 2009-10. Happened again mid December. And here we go again. Just one of those years.

Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
As I noted in there, my "weather nut" teenage son claims he has read that the GFS is more "unreliable" and more of an "outlier" than usual because as the "American" model supposedly the gov't shutdown means that NWS personnel aren't available to "adjust" it. Not sure how true that is though.....official forecasts now simply have "chance of light snow" (which usually means up to an inch) Sat. night into Sun. morning.

Nahh, computer models run no matter if the offices or government are closed. don't have to be adjusted. They get updated once in a while but not adjusted to produce an outcome. It's operating fine. It's just garbage. Never will match the Euro. As you can see Euro has won again. GFS will be wrong. Took 2 days for GFS to start agreeing with the Euro that the storm stays south. That's 100% typical of it for many years.

Check out the latest model snow maps for this weekends storm. HOW SAD!!!


http://www.city-data.com/forum/weath...l#post54107696

 
Old 01-10-2019, 04:59 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
Reputation: 16619
December 16, 2009: Mid Atlantic Blizzard
January 29, 2010: Mid Atlantic Snowstorm down to South Carolina
Feb 5-6, 2010: Mid Atlantic Blizzard (NYC did get in on it, not Boston) Hartford only 1.7"
Feb 27, 2010: Mid Atlantic blizzard (NYC did get in on it, not Boston) Hartford only 1.2"

Mid March temps hit 60s/70s
 
Old 01-10-2019, 05:23 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
Reputation: 16619
Will it really be end of January and the Mid November snowstorm is the biggest snowfall still??????

Thats nuts!!

Snowfall since that Mid November snowstorm....

Worchester: 0.5"
Philly, Hartford & Providence 0.3"
Boston: 0.1"
Harrisburg, Newark, NYC, Islip & Bridgeport: 0
 
Old 01-10-2019, 05:33 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
Reputation: 16619
Next precip event.
Friday January 18th.
Rain.
Still far out but why not
 
Old 01-10-2019, 06:20 AM
 
2,668 posts, read 4,495,418 times
Reputation: 1996
I've given up on this winter for snow. I just want cold temps at this point.
 
Old 01-10-2019, 06:54 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,511 posts, read 75,269,804 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by clutchrider View Post
I've given up on this winter for snow. I just want cold temps at this point.
Yup. And in 7 short weeks I'll be ready for warmth but you know what will probably happen. maybe snow in May for all we know. Lol
 
Old 01-10-2019, 07:01 AM
 
Location: Northeast states
14,053 posts, read 13,926,968 times
Reputation: 5198
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Yup. And in 7 short weeks I'll be ready for warmth but you know what will probably happen. maybe snow in May for all we know. Lol
Next weekend, Jan 24th and first week of February there a possibility
 
Old 01-10-2019, 08:21 AM
 
Location: Baltimore, MD
833 posts, read 500,091 times
Reputation: 233
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
I must of saw something happening even before the North Carolina/Virginia snowstorm in Mid December.


This was December 5th.



The fact that it was able to snow south of us so easily early December made me have flashbacks to 2009-10. Happened again mid December. And here we go again. Just one of those years.




Nahh, computer models run no matter if the offices or government are closed. don't have to be adjusted. They get updated once in a while but not adjusted to produce an outcome. It's operating fine. It's just garbage. Never will match the Euro. As you can see Euro has won again. GFS will be wrong. Took 2 days for GFS to start agreeing with the Euro that the storm stays south. That's 100% typical of it for many years.

Check out the latest model snow maps for this weekends storm. HOW SAD!!!


http://www.city-data.com/forum/weath...l#post54107696
I think the JMA was the best. Euro was too far south for the majority of the time
 
Old 01-10-2019, 01:21 PM
 
Location: Baltimore, MD
833 posts, read 500,091 times
Reputation: 233
Been tracking all these recent storms, but the one storm signal that has really caught my eye was the Jan 18-20 one.

My thoughts (thread created 1/4/19) are located here

Seem to have some decent long range modeling support. HOPEFULLY this one can be the one that strings it together for us... getting tiring watching January slowly waste away\

OH YEAH some other interesting / sad statistic. Based of Stamford ACIS average temperatures start to go up on Jan 20th, hard to believe we have gotten this far through winter without a big storm...

Last edited by Solstodur; 01-10-2019 at 01:37 PM..
 
Old 01-10-2019, 01:26 PM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,158,193 times
Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by Solstodur View Post
I think the JMA was the best. Euro was too far south for the majority of the time
Euro model is usually king., When the GFS predicts a snowstorm more than 3 days out..I ignore it. lol
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