[Cambium]

Low Pressure System coming from South once again. It'll travel along the gulf coast and then up the east coast. The exact track obviously is uncertain but if air is cold enough, we'll get snow here.

The pattern continues with these systems coming up the coast thanks to El Nino being West bound more.

[mlassoff]

Not good news really. The storm last year decimated many of the First Night Events. A repeat performance may lead to the end of the (really cool) alcohol free alternative on New Years Eve.

[7 Wishes]

And the shame being (which I already noted in another forum so I won't re-bore with details), actualy snowstorms/blizzards on New Year's Eve are pretty rare.

[andthentherewere3]

For us New Year's Eve is a day like any other, I wouldn't mind snow. But not another foot like the last storm we had, that was too much of a good thing.

[kidyankee764]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

And the shame being (which I already noted in another forum so I won't re-bore with details), actualy snowstorms/blizzards on New Year's Eve are pretty rare.

How is it more rare on NYE than any other day during the winter season? I'm genuinely curious.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by kidyankee764

How is it more rare on NYE than any other day during the winter season? I'm genuinely curious.

Just luck of the date, not the climatology at all, good question. Kind of like if you look at "records for the date" for any winter month (I'll use Hartford for this example), the record lows for most days are in the "minus teens", but a couple of others are in the "minus 20s" because of unusually historic cold days, yet a couple of others are "only near 0" because by pure chance those dates did not get unusually cold days ever.

In the other thread, I used the ball-drop at Times Square since there's a site I noted there that chronicles the weather. The last time a significant snowstorm occured at the ball-drop was in 1967.

Maybe a more accurate statement is "we're overdue for a New Year's Eve/Day blizzard".

[Cambium]

There is now 2 different storms that could hit us. Still early but models are all in agreement.

And there is also a chance instead of 2 seperate storms,...we get hit with 1 major super storm when they collide together.

Stay tuned. Lots of interest on this storm.

You can go here- lots of pros who know about reading models and maps.
Scroll down to particular storm.
AccuWeather.com Forums -> Current Weather - United States

[alexei27]

CT has the "fortune" of being served by 3 National Weather Service offices...

If you are in Litchfield, your official forecast comes from Albany, NY - National Weather Service Forecast Office - Albany, New York

If you are in Fairfield/New Haven/Middlesex/New London - your forecast comes from NWS NY - National Weather Service Forecast Office - New York, NY

If you are in Hartford/Tolland/Windham - your forecast comes from NWS Taunton (Boston) - http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box


Avoid the TV and pay site (Accuweather) hype...they love to play up the holiday storms for ratings. Although I will say Fox in Hartfold has a good track record this past year.

[kidyankee764]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

Just luck of the date, not the climatology at all, good question. Kind of like if you look at "records for the date" for any winter month (I'll use Hartford for this example), the record lows for most days are in the "minus teens", but a couple of others are in the "minus 20s" because of unusually historic cold days, yet a couple of others are "only near 0" because by pure chance those dates did not get unusually cold days ever.

In the other thread, I used the ball-drop at Times Square since there's a site I noted there that chronicles the weather. The last time a significant snowstorm occured at the ball-drop was in 1967.

Maybe a more accurate statement is "we're overdue for a New Year's Eve/Day blizzard".

Interesting. Thanks!

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by alexei27

CT has the "fortune" of being served by 3 National Weather Service offices...

If you are in Litchfield, your official forecast comes from Albany, NY - National Weather Service Forecast Office - Albany, New York

If you are in Fairfield/New Haven/Middlesex/New London - your forecast comes from NWS NY - National Weather Service Forecast Office - New York, NY

If you are in Hartford/Tolland/Windham - your forecast comes from NWS Taunton (Boston) - Homepage of The National Weather Service Forecast Office in Taunton, MA.


Avoid the TV and pay site (Accuweather) hype...they love to play up the holiday storms for ratings. Although I will say Fox in Hartfold has a good track record this past year.

If you go to any of those NWS sites, there is a "forecast discussion" section where they actually talk about all of their uncertainties with a given forecast. You don't need to be a "weather expert" to understand what is said in their discussion and it's very interesting. Sometimes the "Boston" discussion may have a different take than the "Albany" or "NYC" discussion (sometimes I look at the "Philly" NWS site as well (http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi) because of where I live since they cover the entire southern 2/3 of NJ).