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Old 02-03-2011, 10:00 AM
 
754 posts, read 357,799 times
Reputation: 195
one thing about nature.... like everything else

it usually balances out.
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Old 02-03-2011, 11:47 AM
 
29 posts, read 14,886 times
Reputation: 15
Saturday's Event, Latest: I am thinking we could see several inches of snow away from the major cities and immidiate shoreline, but on the shore itself, mostly rain with up to an inch of snow.
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Old 02-03-2011, 12:58 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
23,942 posts, read 12,481,216 times
Reputation: 3930
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Something Catching my eye is the 18th and the 11th!

8th looks like snow and cold. 1-3 inches.
11th looks like snow & fridgid .20 qpf = 4-6"
18th is rain right now. 1" qpf. but a shift east and its a 1 foot blizzard
After 14th warmup coming, 50 is possible.

BLIZZARD IN THE MAKING FOR FEBRUARY 10TH-11TH

1 MODEL NOW SHOWING OVER A FOOT FOR CT. BOMBS OUT NEAR THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND.
1 MODEL HAS THE SAME BOMB BUT FURTHER WEST... So a shift east on that and we'll have 2 models showing over a foot.

FRIDGID AIR ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE SOUTH. RECORD BREAKING TEMPS IN THE SOUTH FOR SURE.

INSANE 20:1 SNOW RATIOS FOR US.

GFS has 1" qpf.... Thats 20 inches of snow if this solution verifys.

Seeing that suprised me since it was so out to sea last few runs giving us half foot...Now has a monster.. Are you kidding? Is this pattern still around??? I may have been wrong about the pattern change.. We'll see.
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Old 02-03-2011, 01:05 PM
 
Location: Texas
1,718 posts, read 1,839,288 times
Reputation: 910
Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemycomputer90 View Post
Welcome to winter. Some are severe. Some are not. There's nothing we can do about it.
I hope to do something about it. It involves distance.
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Old 02-03-2011, 01:51 PM
 
Location: Rural Western TN
6,047 posts, read 8,399,187 times
Reputation: 7759
so cam, still thinking 1-3 inches for sat?
ive come to the distinct conclusion id rather have 3 inches of snow than even a thin coat of ice pellets, and with the temps being the way they are, id rather not have rain thats going to freeze into an ice rink either...least snow can be moved.

i just spent 2 hours hacking away at the ice on the drive so mum could get her car up. salt and sand was doing nothing
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Old 02-03-2011, 01:57 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
23,942 posts, read 12,481,216 times
Reputation: 3930
Quote:
Originally Posted by foxywench View Post
so cam, still thinking 1-3 inches for sat?
ive come to the distinct conclusion id rather have 3 inches of snow than even a thin coat of ice pellets, and with the temps being the way they are, id rather not have rain thats going to freeze into an ice rink either...least snow can be moved.

i just spent 2 hours hacking away at the ice on the drive so mum could get her car up. salt and sand was doing nothing
Depends what part of the state. Hang on..I'll do by county...Hang on a sec.. and yes 10000% agree... but I'll take it further....I'd rather have 5 feet of snow then a thin coat of ice! I'm hacking away because the salt melts it then refreezes within an hour. lol All because of the stupid warmth its melting. Man I hate heat.

edit: Yes, Generally 2-4" statewide with Central and Northern CT getting at least 3". Coastal will be tough to accumulate after the rain. I would be SUPRISED to see more than 4 inches.

Last edited by Cambium; 02-03-2011 at 02:12 PM..
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Old 02-03-2011, 02:09 PM
 
Location: Rural Western TN
6,047 posts, read 8,399,187 times
Reputation: 7759
lol, i like it when it melts...i dont like it when it refreezes....so it either needs to stay clod enough that it not melt, or stay warm enough that it doesnt refreeze :P

my dad said the same thing, because weve got a sno blower its easiler to mover feet of snow than it is to clear a tiny bit of ice. i Hate ice...ive fallen, alot...suprised i havent broken anything yet.

im in fairfeild county (bethel)
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Old 02-03-2011, 02:46 PM
 
Location: Live in NY State, (sometimes) work in CT
6,496 posts, read 7,882,032 times
Reputation: 2220
Quote:
Originally Posted by ctwhitechin View Post
If these winters become the norm, we are out of here, but I still think this one is an anamoly.
Here's an interesting thought that makes one wonder....

Houston, TX is expected to get "sticking" snow and sleet tomorrow, a city on the same latitude as Jacksonville, FL (but a bit in from the coast though not too much).

If this happens it will be the first time they had THREE straight winters with measurable snow. Now when before the last 2 years did they have TWO straight winters with measureable snow?

NEVER (OK, well in the 100+ years that weather was recorded regularly).

So hard to say......
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Old 02-03-2011, 03:25 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
23,942 posts, read 12,481,216 times
Reputation: 3930
Just so you can see I'm not making this up....... This is as perfect placement for a blizzard as you can get... Latest GFS model at Hr168, snowing in CT by this time Feb 10th..then....



BOOM....EXPLOSION. To a 976mb Low off RI. Dec. 26th was 969.

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Old 02-03-2011, 03:27 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
23,942 posts, read 12,481,216 times
Reputation: 3930
Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
Here's an interesting thought that makes one wonder....

Houston, TX is expected to get "sticking" snow and sleet tomorrow, a city on the same latitude as Jacksonville, FL (but a bit in from the coast though not too much).

If this happens it will be the first time they had THREE straight winters with measurable snow. Now when before the last 2 years did they have TWO straight winters with measureable snow?

NEVER (OK, well in the 100+ years that weather was recorded regularly).

So hard to say......
Excellent stats, keep em coming.
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