[htfdcolt]

Now that the ground is all clear here in Hartford, wouldn't mind another snow (which would be short-lived anyway). Looks like another waste of cold air next week though...

[Cambium]

Frame by Frame.... Hour 120 The Low comes from Ohio valley. Hour 126 starts diving south over West Virginia. Hour 132 it exits off Virginia into Atlantic.

Enough moisture is north of the system that falls as snow above the blue line (32 degree line).. This one showing snow for about 12hrs and just 2-3".

NOAA sending in flights tomorrow. Lets keep an eye on this... and FYI... This is the same system that brought snow to Japan yesterday.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

Here comes a chance of a snowstorm!!!!


…and there goes the chance of a snowstorm: lol


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
546 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TOWARD
NOVA SCOTIA WILL DRAG A TRAILING COLD FRONT THROUGH MON NIGHT...WITH
BRISK CONDITIONS INTO TUE MORNING. H8-10 THICKNESSES WILL BE A
LITTLE LOWER...BUT RELATIVE LACK OF CLOUD COVER SHOULD RESULT IN MAX
TEMPS ON TUE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THOSE OF MON.
HIGH PRESSURE NOSING DOWN FROM ONTARIO TUE INTO WED AND WEAK RIDGING
ALOFT SHOULD HELP KEEP A WARM FRONT AT BAY TO OUR SW...WITH ONLY
SOME HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED IN THE NYC METRO AREA...WITH
SUNNY SKIES FARTHER EAST.


THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL FLATTEN FURTHER WED NIGHT...ALLOWING A
NORTHERN STREAM VORT TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST. THE ASSOCIATED SFC
LOW SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE APPALACHIANS AND REDEVELOP
OFF THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST...AND THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME
LIGHT SNOW LATE WED NIGHT INTO THU MORNING AS THE SECONDARY
REDEVELOPMENT TAKES PLACE. BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS SHOULD WARM UP
ENOUGH BY AFTERNOON THAT ANY LINGERING PRECIP SHOULD MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO RAIN. OPERATIONAL MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE HEAVIEST
PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM TO REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH...SO ONCE AGAIN WILL
STRESS THAT ANY PRECIP WOULD BE LIGHT...BUT COULD STILL PRESENT SOME
MINOR PROBLEMS FOR THE THU MORNING COMMUTE.

One, they have changed this discussion for a snowier forecast, and two, this is mostly talking about NYC itself and immediate suburbs.

I think this Accuweather piece says it best and agrees with both you and Cambium. It notes the potential for significant snow but also notes that in March it's tough to get it to stick well on the road, both of which I agree with:

AccuWeather.com - Weather News | Two Snowstorms in the Eastern US Next Week? (http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/47176/two-snowstorms-in-the-eastern.asp - broken link)

[Angelic_Avalon]

I still believe there wont be no chance of snow, sorry even if it did snow it be so little it would melt to the ground like I have predicted before and everyone said it going to be a major snow storm, and I was right they were wrong and I'm sure hell know that I'm going to be right for this one
LMAO hahahahaha

[Cambium]

Looks like they are going with a snow vs a rain event.

Expect 1-2 inches Sunday night interior sections then a shoveable (maybe plowable) snowstorm Thursday.

They are thinking a Norlun trough could setup. Last time that happened was January 7th and we got almost half foot. I dont expect over 5 inches with this one.

National Weather Service Text Product Display

[Cambium]

MARCH 24, 2011 WINTER STORM UPDATE::

Last model (Euro12z) has a January type setup with a strong Surface Low Pressure system (986mb) off the coast and air cold enough to support snow. It also was the most moist with 1" liquid which would make me wrong.... We would get over 5".

But I'm sticking to my first impression of this system. Nobody should be getting more then 5 inches of snow with this.

Bring your Shovels back out.

edit: They flown the winter flights into the storm today and when the data was fed into the models it showed a stronger system next to us with more snow.... Stay tuned.

[Cambium]

Quick Update:::: More moisture now showing up, I might be wrong after all...... Lube those snowblowers up and put that plow back on.

[wavehunter007]

Originally Posted by Angelic_Avalon

I still believe there wont be no chance of snow, sorry even if it did snow it be so little it would melt to the ground like I have predicted before and everyone said it going to be a major snow storm, and I was right they were wrong and I'm sure hell know that I'm going to be right for this one
LMAO hahahahaha

I agree it's a really long shot...and your right what ever would fall would really melt fast this time of year, as soon as the sun came out it would be gone. It will turn cooler this week with temps in the 40's, but then it looks like another warmer pattern by the last week of the month. Typical up/down this time of year I guess.

[Cambium]

Half inch to Inch of snow North of Merrit for Monday before it changes to rain...then bigger storm Wed/Thursday. Enjoy the SuperMoon tonight! Post some pics.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/StormTotalPrecip/StormTotalSnowFcst.png (broken link)

[jp03]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

I agree it's a really long shot...and your right what ever would fall would really melt fast this time of year, as soon as the sun came out it would be gone. It will turn cooler this week with temps in the 40's, but then it looks like another warmer pattern by the last week of the month. Typical up/down this time of year I guess.

Its the final chapter of the year for snow and heat miser!