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Old 03-29-2011, 05:30 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619

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One more post: Seems like they are keene on the brew now. See bolded

National Weather Service Text Product Display

12Z MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO CONVERGE ON A CONSENSUS...DEVELOPING
DEEP LOW PRES SOMEWHERE S OF LI THU NIGHT AND TRACKING THE FEATURE
NEWD OVER THE ATLANTIC ON FRI. ALPS SHOWS A DISTINCT DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN THE GFS ENSEMBLES AND THE SREF ENSEMBLES. GFS ENSEMBLES PROG
A MORE MERIDIONAL SOLN...WHILE THE SREF IS FLATTER. THE GFS ENSEMBLE
IS SUPPORTED BY THE OPERATIONAL GFS...ECMWF...GEM AND UKMET. THE
FCST IS THEREFORE BASED ON A DEEP LOW IMPACTING THE CWA THU NIGHT
AND FRI.

FROM THERE...THE FOCUS TURNS TO THE EXACT TRACK. RELATIVE TO MONTAUK
AT 12Z FRI...SOLNS RANGE FROM ABOUT 100 MILES S PER THE 12Z ECMWF TO
270 MILES SSE PER THE GEM. THE GFS IS 135 SE. THE CLOSER TO THE
COAST TRACK WILL BE MAINLY A RAIN STORM ACROSS THE CWA...WITH THE
EASTERN TRACKS A SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT. FOR NOW...FCST INDICATES MAINLY
RASN DUE TO UNCERTAINTY...WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR ALL SNOW
ACROSS NWRN ZONES.

IN ADDITION TO THE PCPN...WIND WILL BE A SERIOUS ISSUE IF THE STORM
EVOLVES AS PROGGED. BL WINDS CRANK UP TO ABOUT 50KT. THIS WOULD
RESULT IN 60 MPH NE WIND GUSTS AHEAD OF THE LOW...BACKING TO THE NNW
AS THE LOW PASSES.
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Old 03-29-2011, 06:16 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,297 posts, read 18,885,525 times
Reputation: 5126
The Weather Channel's take on it all:

No Joke! Possible April Fool's Winter Storm - weather.com
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Old 03-29-2011, 09:11 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
The Weather Channel's take on it all:

No Joke! Possible April Fool's Winter Storm - weather.com
Starting to get more worried about heavy wet accumulating snow with high winds. Utility companies should start planning for this.
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Old 03-30-2011, 04:40 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
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Please post in the new thread anything relating to the storm tomorrow. Thank you.

http://www.city-data.com/forum/conne...ter-storm.html
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Old 03-30-2011, 04:50 AM
 
Location: Woburn, MA / W. Hartford, CT
6,125 posts, read 5,097,494 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Based on last model....again...

Take off 2-3" for melting in beginning.
If this materializes, we'll call that the "sun angle discount"
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Old 03-31-2011, 06:30 AM
 
Location: CT
3 posts, read 8,226 times
Reputation: 13
hi all,
I am new here and weather here... is around 40F. Lower than yesterday's temperature.. but we are enjoying it..
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Old 03-31-2011, 11:31 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by lerrygibson View Post
hi all,
I am new here and weather here... is around 40F. Lower than yesterday's temperature.. but we are enjoying it..
Hi..Welcome to the weather thread. Hope to see more of your posts. Thanks.

Dont forget to post your observations and thoughts on tomorrows Storm in the new thread..

http://www.city-data.com/forum/conne...ter-storm.html
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Old 03-31-2011, 04:25 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
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We made it... Winter slowly letting go..

Warm up coming...South of I-80 you'll really feel it next week. Precip for NorthEast will hold back the true warmth next week but its coming soon...

No More Snow Events worth talking about until Next year.... (in 7 months)..

Lets think Spring now but not too hot please, I'll melt.
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Old 04-01-2011, 05:25 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
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60s temps on there way. I'm ready for it now, how about you?
Couple of big rain storms too.

Edit: Should be easier to hit 50s though. Battle ground will be I-70 & I-80 across the country where the 60s will have a hard time pushing north of there.

Might hit 70 once before mid month here. Complete opposite of last year.

The blue line I drew is where I think the warmth will have a hard time getting north of for next 2 weeks.

This map is a model showing temps for April 11th.


Last edited by Cambium; 04-01-2011 at 05:35 PM.. Reason: Added pic.
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Old 04-02-2011, 06:48 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Big Cold front sweeping through after warm temps surge from the south Sunday/Monday.

Looks like some squal lines forecasted to come through. Should start after 10pm Monday the 4th and last till early morning.

The 850mb Winds are shown to be in the 60s and 70 kts.

I "DOUBT" the severe stuff will make it this far North but worth watching..

Expect about an inch of rain. Euro model shows the storm/cold front moving slower and ends the rain for Tuesday night whereas the other one shows it to end Tuesday during day. .
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